Credit Bubble Weekly

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Credit Bubble Weekly • Jul 10 2021
July 9, 2021: Beijing Flinches

Please join Doug Noland and David McAlvany Thursday, July 15th, at 4:00 pm Eastern/ 2:00 pm Mountain time for the Tactical Short Q2 recap conference call, [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jul 10, 2021
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jul 03 2021
July 2, 2021: Hedge Fund Treasury Trading and Funding Fragility

Last week’s CBB focused on a fundamental flaw in contemporary central bank doctrine – using securities markets as the primary mechanism for managing system [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jul 3, 2021
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jun 26 2021
June 25, 2021: Mester on Financial Stability

“When I refer to financial stability, I mean a financial system that is resilient to shocks. That is, one in which banks and nonbank financial institutions [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jun 26, 2021
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jun 19 2021
June 18, 2021: Heels Dislodged

It was a fascinating set up. A pivotal FOMC meeting two days ahead of quarterly “quadruple witch” expiration of options and other derivatives. Option [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jun 19, 2021
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jun 11 2021
June 11, 2021: Historic Monetary Inflation: Q1 2021 Z.1

Total Non-Financial Debt (NFD) expanded $879 billion during Q1 to a record $62.032 TN. NFD expanded an unprecedented $7.671 TN, or 14.1%, over the past five [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jun 11, 2021
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jun 05 2021
June 4, 2021: Turned Tight

U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls increased 559,000 in May, about double April’s 278,000 gain, but still below the 675,000 consensus forecast. Average Hourly Earnings [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jun 5, 2021
Credit Bubble Weekly • May 29 2021
May 28, 2021: The Wisdom of Benjamin Anderson

It’s perhaps the greatest issue confronting today’s global markets. It didn’t work in the U.S. in the late-twenties. Arguably, it was an unmitigated [...]

Doug Noland Posted on May 29, 2021
Credit Bubble Weekly • May 21 2021
May 21, 2021: Just the Facts

For the Week: The S&P500 slipped 0.4% (up 10.6% y-t-d), and the Dow declined 0.5% (up 11.8%). The Utilities added 0.4% (up 4.7%). The Banks fell 1.0% (up [...]

Doug Noland Posted on May 21, 2021
Credit Bubble Weekly • May 15 2021
May 14, 2021: Un-Anchored

A big week on the inflation front. April CPI was reported up 0.8% versus estimates of 0.2%. And while the 4.2% y-o-y increase was partly a function of the year [...]

Doug Noland Posted on May 15, 2021
Credit Bubble Weekly • May 08 2021
May, 7, 2021: Generational Turning Point

There is an overarching issue I haven’t been able to get off my mind: Are we at the beginning of something new or in the waning days of the previous [...]

Doug Noland Posted on May 8, 2021
Credit Bubble Weekly • May 01 2021
April 30, 2021: Fed Guessing

“I’m not sure why they think they know that it’s transitory. How do they know that when there’s plenty of money printing that’s been going on and [...]

Doug Noland Posted on May 1, 2021
Credit Bubble Weekly • Apr 24 2021
April 23, 2021: Peak Monetary Stimulus

Not again. Bloomberg is referring to “the bond market riddle.” The Financial Times went with the headline, “US Government Bond Investors Left Bewildered [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Apr 24, 2021
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