Credit Bubble Weekly

Weekly credit market analysis and commentary to stay ahead.

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Credit Bubble Weekly • Jan 21 2023
January 20, 2023: Inflation Complacency

Some headlines from the week: “Fed Officials Signal Slower Pace of Rate Hikes.” “Top Fed Officials Foreshadow Further Slowdown in Rate Increases.” [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jan 21, 2023
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jan 14 2023
January 13, 2023: Market Messaging

Please join Doug Noland and David McAlvany this coming Thursday, January 19th, at 4:00 pm Eastern/ 2:00 pm Mountain time for the Tactical Short Q4 recap [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jan 14, 2023
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jan 07 2023
January 6, 2023: Issues 2023

Bubble: A self-reinforcing, but inevitably unsustainable inflation. Bubbles are a monetary phenomenon, fueled by some underlying source of Credit expansion. If [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jan 7, 2023
Credit Bubble Weekly • Dec 31 2022
December 30, 2022: 2022 Year in Review

“US Stocks Suffer Worst Year Since Financial Crisis.” “Stock and Bond Markets Shed More Than $30tn in ‘Brutal’ 2022.” “Nasdaq Closes Out its [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Dec 31, 2022
Credit Bubble Weekly • Dec 23 2022
December 23, 2022: Just the Facts

For the Week: The S&P500 slipped 0.2% (down 19.3% y-t-d), while the Dow increased 0.9% (down 8.6%). The Utilities rallied 1.5% (down 1.8%). The Banks [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Dec 23, 2022
Credit Bubble Weekly • Dec 17 2022
December 16, 2022: Credit Downturn Acceleration

Interesting week. The FOMC statement and “dot plot” were viewed as somewhat more hawkish than expected. In his press conference, it was a solid “Balanced [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Dec 17, 2022
Credit Bubble Weekly • Dec 10 2022
December 9, 2022: Blackstone, Inflection Points and the Z.1

I’ve been eagerly anticipating the Fed’s Q3 Z.1 report. As expected, Credit growth slowed somewhat. At a seasonally-adjusted and annualized (SAAR) $3.284 [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Dec 10, 2022
Credit Bubble Weekly • Dec 02 2022
December 2, 2022: Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Hyde

Bloomberg’s Jonathan Ferro: “What is it that Chairman Powell did on Wednesday that you disagree with?” Mohamed El-Erian: “I said it contributed to [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Dec 2, 2022
Credit Bubble Weekly • Nov 25 2022
November 25, 2022: Market Thoughts

Greed and Fear. “Risk On” and “Risk Off.” “Markets will do what markets will do.” It’s not unreasonable to accept that today’s markets are [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Nov 25, 2022
Credit Bubble Weekly • Nov 18 2022
November 18, 2022: SBF, FTX and QE

An outlandish aberration, or a distressing sign of the times – and of what’s to come? Curious readers for centuries have been fascinated by the great [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Nov 18, 2022
Credit Bubble Weekly • Nov 12 2022
November 11, 2022: Derivatives, Squeezes and Fiascos Aplenty

How does one chronicle a week like this one? “Sam Bankman-Fried’s $32bn FTX Crypto Empire Files for Bankruptcy.” “What’s Next for Crypto as FTX [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Nov 12, 2022
Credit Bubble Weekly • Nov 04 2022
November 4, 2022: Powell Building Credibility

The guy sounds like a discerning traditional central banker. Powell is an admirer of Paul Volcker’s fortitude, and he’s clearly drawing inspiration from [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Nov 4, 2022
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