Credit Bubble Weekly

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Credit Bubble Weekly • Nov 23 2019
November 22, 2019: Weak Link

Last week from The Institute of International Finance (IIF) (a summary from a members-only report): “Global debt has topped $250 billion – 320% of GDP: [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Nov 23, 2019
Credit Bubble Weekly • Nov 16 2019
November 15, 2019: China Update

We shouldn’t read too much into one month. With a holiday week, October is typically a sluggish period for lending in China. But at $88 billion, the growth [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Nov 16, 2019
Credit Bubble Weekly • Nov 09 2019
November 8, 2019: Extraordinary Monetary Disorder

M2 money supply has increased $796 billion y-t-d to $15.245 TN. With two months to go, 2019 M2 growth is on track to easily exceed 2016’s record $854 billion [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Nov 9, 2019
Credit Bubble Weekly • Nov 01 2019
November 1, 2019: Music to the Markets

October non-farm payrolls expanded a stronger-than-expected 128,000 (estimate 85k), in a month when the GM strike reduced payroll growth by upwards of 42,000 [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Nov 1, 2019
Credit Bubble Weekly • Oct 26 2019
October 25, 2019: Whatever It Takes to Never Give Up

Any central bank head that passes through an eight-year term without once raising rates has some explaining to do. To leave monetary policy extremely loose for [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Oct 26, 2019
Credit Bubble Weekly • Oct 18 2019
October 18, 2019: China Watch

I’ve held the view that Chinese finance has been at the epicenter of international market unease. The U.S./China trade war was not the predominant global [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Oct 18, 2019
Credit Bubble Weekly • Oct 12 2019
October 11, 2019: What the Heck is Happening in the Cayman Islands?

Please join Doug Noland and David McAlvany Thursday, October 17th, at 4:00PM Eastern/ 2:00pm Mountain time for the Tactical Short Q3 recap conference call, [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Oct 12, 2019
Credit Bubble Weekly • Oct 04 2019
October 4, 2019: Resurrecting M2

This week’s disappointing ISM reports dominated business headlines: “US Manufacturing Survey Shows Worst Reading in a Decade.” “U.S. Factory Gauge [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Oct 4, 2019
Credit Bubble Weekly • Sep 28 2019
September 27, 2019: Q2 2019 Z.1 and Repos

Non-Financial Debt (NFD) expanded $408 billion during Q1 to a record $53.015 TN. This was down from Q1’s $765 billion expansion. On a seasonally-adjusted and [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Sep 28, 2019
Credit Bubble Weekly • Sep 21 2019
September 20, 2019: No Coincidences

September 20 – Wall Street Journal (Daniel Kruger): “The Federal Reserve Bank of New York will offer to add at least $75 billion daily to the financial [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Sep 21, 2019
Credit Bubble Weekly • Sep 14 2019
September 14, 2019: Just the Facts

For the Week: The S&P500 gained 1.0% (up 20.0% y-t-d), and the Dow rose 1.6% (up 16.7%). The Utilities were unchanged (up 18.8%). The Banks surged 7.8% (up [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Sep 14, 2019
Credit Bubble Weekly • Sep 06 2019
September 7, 2019: $150 Billion Global Bond Binge

After an extraordinary August, markets are showing no inclination for stability to begin September. Jumping 1.3% Thursday on news of an October restart of [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Sep 6, 2019
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