Credit Bubble Weekly

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Credit Bubble Weekly • Aug 31 2019
August 30, 2019: Dudley Sticks His Neck Out

What a fascinating environment; each week bringing something extraordinary. Yet there is this dreadful feeling that things are advancing toward some type of [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Aug 31, 2019
Credit Bubble Weekly • Aug 24 2019
August 23, 2019: Trade War Escalation and Bombs

August 23 – Reuters (Se Young Lee and Judy Hua): “China said on Friday it will impose retaliatory tariffs against about $75 billion worth of U.S. goods, [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Aug 24, 2019
Credit Bubble Weekly • Aug 16 2019
August 16, 2019: Comeuppance

The Chinese Credit machine sputtered in July. Growth in Total Aggregate Financing dropped to $144 billion, almost 40% below consensus estimates. This was less [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Aug 16, 2019
Credit Bubble Weekly • Aug 10 2019
August 9, 2019: “Hot Money” Watch

In the People’s Bank of China’s (PBOC) Monday daily currency value “fixing,” the yuan/renminbi was set 0.33% weaker (vs. dollar) at 6.9225. Market [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Aug 10, 2019
Credit Bubble Weekly • Aug 03 2019
August 2, 2019: Trump’s China Tariff Tweets

Twenty-four hours that confounded – as well as clarified. Chairman Powell has, again, been widely criticized for his messaging. With the markets and [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Aug 3, 2019
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jul 27 2019
July 26, 2019: Fanning the Flames

The Federal Reserve abandoned “data dependent” – at least for next week’s FOMC meeting. December futures imply a 1.78% Fed funds rate, up six bps [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jul 27, 2019
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jul 20 2019
July 19, 2019: Living Life at the ZLB

There must be members of the FOMC feeling they are about to be railroaded into a 50 bps cut a week from Wednesday. Chairman Powell essentially pre-committed to [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jul 20, 2019
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jul 13 2019
July 12, 2019: Central Banker to the World

Please join Doug Noland and David McAlvany next Thursday, July 18th, at 4:00PM EST/ 2:00pm MST for the Tactical Short Q2 recap conference call, [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jul 13, 2019
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jul 06 2019
July 5, 2019: Abject Monetary Disorder

Please join Doug Noland and David McAlvany Thursday, July 18th, at 4:00PM EST/ 2:00pm MST for the Tactical Short Q2 recap conference call, “What’s [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jul 6, 2019
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jun 29 2019
June 28, 2019: History Rhymes

President Trump and President Xi are meeting in Osaka as I write. We’ll know much more in the morning. Pre-meeting reports had the two sides agreeing to a [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jun 29, 2019
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jun 21 2019
June 21, 2019: Rejoicing Central Banker Capitulation

June 21 – Neel Kashkari, Minneapolis Fed president: “In the Federal Open Market Committee meeting that concluded on Wednesday of this week, I advocated [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jun 21, 2019
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jun 15 2019
June 14, 2019: Q1 2019 Z.1 “Flow of Funds”

Total Non-Financial Debt (NFD) expanded (nominal) $721 billion (strongest growth since Q2 ’18) during the quarter to a record $52.579 TN. NFD expanded $2.504 [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jun 15, 2019
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