Credit Bubble Weekly

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Credit Bubble Weekly • Feb 09 2019
February 8, 2019: Delusional

February 8 – Bloomberg (Brian Chappatta): “Bond traders are dusting off their tried and true post-crisis playbook after the Federal Reserve’s pivot last [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Feb 9, 2019
Credit Bubble Weekly • Feb 01 2019
February 1, 2019: No Mystery

January 30 – Financial Times (Sam Fleming): “After putting traders on notice six weeks ago to expect further increases in US interest rates in 2019, the [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Feb 1, 2019
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jan 25 2019
January 25, 2019: Just the Facts

For the Week: The S&P500 slipped 0.2% (up 6.3% y-t-d), while the Dow added 0.1% (up 6.0%). The Utilities increased 0.7% (up 0.6%). The Banks added 0.7% (up [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jan 25, 2019
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jan 18 2019
January 18, 2019: Monetary Disorder 2019

Please join Doug Noland and David McAlvany this Thursday, January 24th, at 4:00PM EST/ 2:00pm MST for the Tactical Short Q4 recap conference call, “The [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jan 18, 2019
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jan 12 2019
January 11, 2019: Issues 2019

Please join Doug Noland and David McAlvany Thursday, January 24th, at 4:00PM EST/ 2:00pm MST for the Tactical Short Q4 recap conference call, “The 2019 [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jan 12, 2019
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jan 04 2019
January 4, 2019: Global Markets’ Plumbing Problem

“Goldilocks with a capital ‘J’,” exclaimed an enthusiastic Bloomberg Television analyst. The Dow was up 747 points in Friday trading (more than erasing [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jan 4, 2019
Credit Bubble Weekly • Dec 29 2018
December 28, 2018: Thoughts on Liquidity

“Money” challenged – and often confounded – economic thinkers for centuries. It functions both as a “medium of exchange” and “unit of [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Dec 29, 2018
Credit Bubble Weekly • Dec 22 2018
December 21, 2018: Powell Federal Reserves Lowers “Fed Put” Strike Price

I have little confidence history will get this right. Today’s overwhelming consensus view holds that Powell this week committed a major policy blunder. After [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Dec 22, 2018
Credit Bubble Weekly • Dec 15 2018
December 14, 2018: The Perils of Inflationism

December 13 – Financial Times (Chris Giles and Claire Jones): “When the European Central Bank switches off its money-printing press at the turn of this [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Dec 15, 2018
Credit Bubble Weekly • Dec 07 2018
December 7, 2018: Q3 2018 Z.1 and THE Cycle Peak

Total Non-Financial Debt (NFD) expanded at a 4.4% annual rate during Q3 to a record $51.324 TN. Since the end of 2008, NFD has increased $16.3 TN, or 46%. [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Dec 7, 2018
Credit Bubble Weekly • Nov 30 2018
November 30, 2018: Framework for Monitoring Financial Stability

Upon the public release of Jerome Powell’s Wednesday speech came the Bloomberg headline: “Powell: No Preset Policy Path, Rates ‘Just [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Nov 30, 2018
Credit Bubble Weekly • Nov 23 2018
November 23, 2018: Just the Facts

For the Week: The S&P500 dropped 3.8% (down 1.5% y-t-d), and the Dow fell 4.4% (down 1.8%). The Utilities declined 1.4% (up 1.4%). The Banks lost 2.3% [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Nov 23, 2018
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