Credit Bubble Weekly

Weekly credit market analysis and commentary to stay ahead.

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Credit Bubble Weekly • Nov 16 2018
November 16, 2018: Canary in the Credit Market’s Coal Mine

What ever happened to “Six Sigma”? GE was one of the most beloved and hyped S&P500 stocks during the late-nineties Bubble Era. With [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Nov 16, 2018
Credit Bubble Weekly • Nov 09 2018
November 9, 2018: Back to Fundamentals

The Dow (DJIA) jumped 545 points (2.1%) in Wednesday’s post-midterms trading. The S&P500’s 2.1% rise was overshadowed by the Nasdaq [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Nov 9, 2018
Credit Bubble Weekly • Nov 02 2018
November 2, 2018: MBS and the Core

The Dow (DJIA) traded as low as 24,122 in late-Monday afternoon trading. By Friday’s open, the Dow had rallied 1,457 points, or 6.0%, to 25,579. [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Nov 2, 2018
Credit Bubble Weekly • Oct 29 2018
October 26, 2018: “Whatever They Want” Coming Home to Roost

Let’s begin with global. China’s yuan (CNY) traded to 6.9644 to the dollar in early-Friday trading, almost matching the low (vs. dollar) from [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Oct 29, 2018
Credit Bubble Weekly • Oct 19 2018
October 19, 2018: Moscovici and the National Team

From the perspective of monitoring an unfolding global crisis, things turned only more concerning this week. The Shanghai Composite declined to 2,450 in early [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Oct 19, 2018
Credit Bubble Weekly • Oct 12 2018
October 12, 2018: Rude Awakening Coming

Please join Doug Noland and David McAlvany this Thursday, October 18th at 4:00PM EST/ 2:00pm MST for the Tactical Short Q3 recap conference call, “Market [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Oct 12, 2018
Credit Bubble Weekly • Oct 06 2018
October 5, 2018: Contemporary Finance’s Defect

October 3 – CNBC (Jeff Cox): “Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said the central bank has a ways to go yet before it gets interest rates to [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Oct 6, 2018
Credit Bubble Weekly • Sep 29 2018
September 28, 2018: Portending an Interesting Q4

“Those who do not learn history are doomed to repeat it.” I’ll add that those that learn the wrong lessons from Bubbles are doomed to face [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Sep 29, 2018
Credit Bubble Weekly • Sep 21 2018
September 21, 2018: Q2 2018 Z.1 Flow of Funds

Non-Financial Debt (NFD) expanded at a seasonally-adjusted and annualized rate (SAAR) of $2.283 TN during the second quarter. While this was down from [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Sep 21, 2018
Credit Bubble Weekly • Sep 16 2018
September 16, 2018: Just the Facts

For the Week: The S&P500 gained 1.2% (up 8.7% y-t-d), and the Dow added 0.9% (up 5.8%). The Utilities increased 0.4% (up 1.9%). The Banks dropped 2.1% (up [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Sep 16, 2018
Credit Bubble Weekly • Sep 07 2018
September 7, 2018: Approaching the 10-Year Anniversary

We’re rapidly Approaching the 10-year Anniversary of the 2008 financial crisis. Exactly one decade ago to the day (September 7, 2008), Fannie Mae and [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Sep 7, 2018
Credit Bubble Weekly • Aug 31 2018
August 31, 2018: Unassailable

I’ve been here before and, candidly, it’s not much fun. Lodged in my mind this week was the brilliant quote from the 19th century German [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Aug 31, 2018
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