Credit Bubble Weekly

Weekly credit market analysis and commentary to stay ahead.

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Credit Bubble Weekly • Aug 31 2018
August 31, 2018: Unassailable

I’ve been here before and, candidly, it’s not much fun. Lodged in my mind this week was the brilliant quote from the 19th century German [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Aug 31, 2018
Credit Bubble Weekly • Aug 24 2018
August 24, 2018: Powell, Greenspan and Whatever it Takes

Fed Chairman Powell is in a tough spot, one made no easier now that he’s on the receiving end of disapproving presidential tweets. The global Bubble has [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Aug 24, 2018
Credit Bubble Weekly • Aug 17 2018
August 17, 2018: Instability

With the Turkish lira down another 6.6% in Monday trading, global “Risk Off” market Instability was turning acute. The U.S. dollar index jumped to [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Aug 17, 2018
Credit Bubble Weekly • Aug 11 2018
August 10, 2018: Turkey (Nudged Over the Cliff)

The Turkish lira sank 13.7% in chaotic Friday trading. The lira’s 21.0% “worst week in 17 years” collapse pushed y-t-d losses to 41.1%. [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Aug 11, 2018
Credit Bubble Weekly • Aug 03 2018
August 3, 2018: “Periphery to Core Crisis Dynamics”

The renminbi traded at 6.8935 in early-Friday trading, with intensified selling pushing the Chinese currency to its lowest level (vs. the $) since May 26, [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Aug 3, 2018
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jul 27 2018
July 27, 2018: Latent Fragilities

I have a rather simple Bubble definition: “A self-reinforcing but inevitably unsustainable inflation.” Most Bubble discussions center on the [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jul 27, 2018
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jul 21 2018
July 20, 2018: Intimidate Nobody

Strangely perhaps, but late in the week my thoughts returned to James Carville’s 1992 comment: “I used to think that if there was reincarnation, I [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jul 21, 2018
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jul 13 2018
July 13, 2018: $247 Trillion and (Rapidly) Counting

Please join us Thursday, July 19th, at 4:30 pm Eastern for the McAlvany Wealth Management Tactical Short Q2 Recap (“Cracks in the Global Bubble”) [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jul 13, 2018
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jul 07 2018
July 6, 2018: BIS Annual Economic Report (for posterity)

With attention focused on unfolding trade wars and summer vacations, the release of the Bank of International Settlement (BIS) Annual Report garnered scant [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jul 7, 2018
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jun 30 2018
June 29, 2018: A Decisive Quarter

June 29 – Financial Times (Peter Wells): “The buck is back. Tighter domestic monetary policy and global trade turmoil have set the US dollar for [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jun 30, 2018
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jun 23 2018
June 22, 2018: Performance Chase

The Nasdaq Composite, Nasdaq 100, small cap Russell 2000, Value Line Arithmetic and the NYSE Arca Biotechnology were among U.S. indices trading to all-time [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jun 23, 2018
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jun 16 2018
June 15, 2018: The Great Fallacy

A big week in the world of monetary management: The Federal Reserve raised rates 25 bps, the ECB announced plans to wind down its historic QE program, and the [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jun 16, 2018
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