Credit Bubble Weekly

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Credit Bubble Weekly • Jan 19 2018
January 19, 2018: You Can Only Worry For So Long

Ten-year Treasury yields jumped 11 bps this week to 2.66%, moving decisively above the key 2.60% technical level – to the highest yields since July 2014. [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jan 19, 2018
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jan 12 2018
January 12, 2018: Mania

This might be the most fascinating market backdrop of my career. Not yet as dramatic as 1987, 1990, 1994, 1997, 1998, 1999, 2000, 2002, 2007, 2008, 2009 or [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jan 12, 2018
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jan 05 2018
January 5, 2018: Issue 2018: Market Structure

Financial conditions are much too loose. They remain too loose at home; they remain too loose abroad. January 3 – ETF.com (Heather Bell): “…ETF flows [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jan 5, 2018
Credit Bubble Weekly • Dec 30 2017
December 29, 2017: A Phenomenal Year

2017 was phenomenal in so many ways. The year will be remembered for a tumultuous first year of the Trump Presidency, the passage of major tax legislation and [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Dec 30, 2017
Credit Bubble Weekly • Dec 22 2017
December 22, 2017: Epic Stimulus Overload

Ten-year Treasury yields jumped 13 bps this week to 2.48%, the high going back to March. German bund yields rose 12 bps to 0.42%. U.S. equities have been [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Dec 22, 2017
Credit Bubble Weekly • Dec 15 2017
December 15, 2017: Chronicling for Posterity

Janet Yellen’s Wednesday news conference was her final as Fed chair. Dr. Yellen has a long and distinguished career as an economist and public servant. Her [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Dec 15, 2017
Credit Bubble Weekly • Dec 08 2017
December 8, 2017: Q3 2017 Flow of Funds

In nominal dollars, Total U.S. System (Non-Financial, Financial and Foreign) borrowings expanded $1.007 TN during the third quarter to a record $68.012 TN. [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Dec 8, 2017
Credit Bubble Weekly • Dec 01 2017
December 1, 2017: China Initiating a Global Bear Market?

Chair Yellen is widely lauded for her accomplishments at the Federal Reserve. For the most part, her four-year term at the helm boils down to four (likely soon [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Dec 1, 2017
Credit Bubble Weekly • Nov 24 2017
November 24, 2017: Just the Facts

For the Week: The S&P500 gained 0.9% (up 16.2% y-t-d), and the Dow rose 0.9% (up 19.2%). The Utilities added 0.2% (up 14.4%). The Banks slipped 0.3% (up [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Nov 24, 2017
Credit Bubble Weekly • Nov 17 2017
November 17, 2017: “Not Sure What That Means”

November 15 – Bloomberg (Nishant Kumar and Suzy Waite): “Hedge-fund manager David Einhorn said the problems that caused the global financial crisis a [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Nov 17, 2017
Credit Bubble Weekly • Nov 10 2017
November 10, 2017: “Money” on the Move

It’s been awhile since I’ve used this terminology. But global markets this week recalled the old “Bubble in Search of a Pin.” It’s too early of [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Nov 10, 2017
Credit Bubble Weekly • Nov 03 2017
November 3, 2017: End of an Era

Of the diverse strains of inflation, asset inflation is by far the most dangerous. A bout of consumer price inflation would be generally recognized as [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Nov 3, 2017
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