Credit Bubble Weekly

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Credit Bubble Weekly • Dec 22 2017
December 22, 2017: Epic Stimulus Overload

Ten-year Treasury yields jumped 13 bps this week to 2.48%, the high going back to March. German bund yields rose 12 bps to 0.42%. U.S. equities have been [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Dec 22, 2017
Credit Bubble Weekly • Dec 15 2017
December 15, 2017: Chronicling for Posterity

Janet Yellen’s Wednesday news conference was her final as Fed chair. Dr. Yellen has a long and distinguished career as an economist and public servant. Her [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Dec 15, 2017
Credit Bubble Weekly • Dec 08 2017
December 8, 2017: Q3 2017 Flow of Funds

In nominal dollars, Total U.S. System (Non-Financial, Financial and Foreign) borrowings expanded $1.007 TN during the third quarter to a record $68.012 TN. [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Dec 8, 2017
Credit Bubble Weekly • Dec 01 2017
December 1, 2017: China Initiating a Global Bear Market?

Chair Yellen is widely lauded for her accomplishments at the Federal Reserve. For the most part, her four-year term at the helm boils down to four (likely soon [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Dec 1, 2017
Credit Bubble Weekly • Nov 24 2017
November 24, 2017: Just the Facts

For the Week: The S&P500 gained 0.9% (up 16.2% y-t-d), and the Dow rose 0.9% (up 19.2%). The Utilities added 0.2% (up 14.4%). The Banks slipped 0.3% (up [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Nov 24, 2017
Credit Bubble Weekly • Nov 17 2017
November 17, 2017: “Not Sure What That Means”

November 15 – Bloomberg (Nishant Kumar and Suzy Waite): “Hedge-fund manager David Einhorn said the problems that caused the global financial crisis a [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Nov 17, 2017
Credit Bubble Weekly • Nov 10 2017
November 10, 2017: “Money” on the Move

It’s been awhile since I’ve used this terminology. But global markets this week recalled the old “Bubble in Search of a Pin.” It’s too early of [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Nov 10, 2017
Credit Bubble Weekly • Nov 03 2017
November 3, 2017: End of an Era

Of the diverse strains of inflation, asset inflation is by far the most dangerous. A bout of consumer price inflation would be generally recognized as [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Nov 3, 2017
Credit Bubble Weekly • Oct 27 2017
October 27, 2017: Must Stop Digging

Amazon, Google, Microsoft, Intel and Draghi all handily beat expectations. Booming technology earnings confirm the degree to which Bubble Dynamics have become [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Oct 27, 2017
Credit Bubble Weekly • Oct 20 2017
October 20, 2017: Arms Race in Bubbles

The week left me with an uneasy feeling. There were a number of articles noting the 30-year anniversary of the 1987 stock market crash. I spent “Black [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Oct 20, 2017
Credit Bubble Weekly • Oct 13 2017
October 13, 2017: Arms Race

Bloomberg: “Treasuries Surge as December Hike Odds Drop After CPI Miss.” Year-over-year CPI was up 2.2% in September, with consumer inflation above 2% [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Oct 13, 2017
Credit Bubble Weekly • Oct 06 2017
October 6, 2017: Kevin Warsh to Lead the Fed in a New Direction

The threat of nuclear crisis with North Korea. Two destructive hurricanes. Puerto Rico devastated and about out of money. The start of a major comprehensive [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Oct 6, 2017
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