Credit Bubble Weekly

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Credit Bubble Weekly • Mar 02 2018
March 2, 2018: Cracks

After posting an intra-week high of 25,800 on Tuesday, the DJIA then dropped 1,583 points (6.1%) at the week’s Friday morning low (24,217) – before [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Mar 2, 2018
Credit Bubble Weekly • Feb 24 2018
February 23, 2018: Anbang and China’s Mortgage Bubble

The Shanghai Composite traded as high as 3,587 intraday on Monday, January 29th, a more than two-year high. This followed the S&P500’s all-time closing [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Feb 24, 2018
Credit Bubble Weekly • Feb 16 2018
February 16, 2018: Permanent Market Support Operations

U.S. stocks posted the strongest week of gains since 2013 (would have been 2011 if not for late-day selling). The S&P500 surged 4.3%, and the Nasdaq [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Feb 16, 2018
Credit Bubble Weekly • Feb 09 2018
February 9, 2018: Subprime and Short Vol

February 6 – Wall Street Journal (Spencer Jakab): “Only very rarely has a trade gone from being so good to being so bad so quickly. Among the most [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Feb 9, 2018
Credit Bubble Weekly • Feb 02 2018
February 2, 2018: The Grand Crowded Trade of Financial Speculation

Even well into 2017, variations of the “secular stagnation” thesis remained popular within the economics community. Accelerating synchronized global growth [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Feb 2, 2018
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jan 26 2018
January 26, 2018: America First and the Decapitation of King Dollar

The U.S. ran a $71.6 billion Goods Trade Deficit in December, the largest goods deficit since July 2008’s $76.88 billion. The U.S. likely accumulated a near [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jan 26, 2018
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jan 19 2018
January 19, 2018: You Can Only Worry For So Long

Ten-year Treasury yields jumped 11 bps this week to 2.66%, moving decisively above the key 2.60% technical level – to the highest yields since July 2014. [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jan 19, 2018
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jan 12 2018
January 12, 2018: Mania

This might be the most fascinating market backdrop of my career. Not yet as dramatic as 1987, 1990, 1994, 1997, 1998, 1999, 2000, 2002, 2007, 2008, 2009 or [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jan 12, 2018
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jan 05 2018
January 5, 2018: Issue 2018: Market Structure

Financial conditions are much too loose. They remain too loose at home; they remain too loose abroad. January 3 – ETF.com (Heather Bell): “…ETF flows [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jan 5, 2018
Credit Bubble Weekly • Dec 30 2017
December 29, 2017: A Phenomenal Year

2017 was phenomenal in so many ways. The year will be remembered for a tumultuous first year of the Trump Presidency, the passage of major tax legislation and [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Dec 30, 2017
Credit Bubble Weekly • Dec 22 2017
December 22, 2017: Epic Stimulus Overload

Ten-year Treasury yields jumped 13 bps this week to 2.48%, the high going back to March. German bund yields rose 12 bps to 0.42%. U.S. equities have been [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Dec 22, 2017
Credit Bubble Weekly • Dec 15 2017
December 15, 2017: Chronicling for Posterity

Janet Yellen’s Wednesday news conference was her final as Fed chair. Dr. Yellen has a long and distinguished career as an economist and public servant. Her [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Dec 15, 2017
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