Credit Bubble Bulletin

Presented by Doug Noland since 2012

Credit Bubble Daily
Tuesday, July 15, 2025
[CNBC] S&P 500 rises after Nvidia gains, CPI comes in as expected: Live updates [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Gold Climbs as Market Digests Mixed US Messages on Trade Talks [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Japan Bond Rout Touches New Pain Point as 10-Year Yield Rises [Reuters] Investors brace for Japan bond market blowout as national election nears [AP] US inflation accelerated in June as Trump’s tariffs start to bite [CNBC] Nvidia says it will resume H20 AI chip sales to China ‘soon,’ following U.S. government assurances [Yahoo/Reuters] US Treasury Secretary Bessent says ‘formal process’ for Powell successor has started, Bloomberg News reports [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Bessent Suggests Powell Should Leave Fed Board in May [Axios] How the Fed sets rates — and why Powell can't do what Trump wants alone [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Fed Chair Contender Is Now in Favor of Cutting Rates, Just as Trump Wants [Yahoo/Reuters] JPMorgan CEO Dimon says Fed independence 'absolutely critical' [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Trump’s 50% Copper Tariffs Jolt US Market as Buyers Slash Imports and Delay Orders [MarketWatch] Housing market is sending a stark warning to the U.S. economy, Moody’s economist says [Yahoo/Bloomberg] BlackRock Hits Record $12.5 Trillion in Assets Amid Turmoil [CNBC] China’s second-quarter GDP tops expectations at 5.2%, easing stimulus pressure [Reuters] China's June new home prices fall at fastest monthly pace in 8 months [Bloomberg] Bessent Tells Markets Not to Worry About China Tariff Deadline [Bloomberg] Dudley: Bessent’s Interest Rate Bet Could Be a Big Loser [Bloomberg] Brazilians Back Lula Against Trump, Calling Tariffs Unjustified [Bloomberg] Japanese Bonds Risk Liz Truss Moment as Election Jolts Market [Bloomberg] European Long Bonds Are Near Their Sell-By Date [Bloomberg] Japan’s Ruling Parties at Risk of Losing Upper House Majority [Bloomberg] Is the Dollar’s Era of Exorbitant Privilege Ending? [Bloomberg] Drought Spreads in England After Driest Start to Year Since 1976 [NYT] For Big Banks, the Trump Era Is Proving Profitable Thus Far [NYT] PBS and NPR’s Last-Ditch Fight to Save Funding [WSJ] Trump Bets Constantly Shifting Tariff Strategy Can Remake Global Trade [WSJ] Europe Draws Up Retaliatory Tariffs for U.S. Goods in Case No Trade Deal Is Reached [WSJ] Post-Crisis Rules to Keep Banks Safe Are on the Way Out [WSJ] Japan Bond Yields’ Surge Signals Growing Fiscal Fears as Election Looms [WSJ] China’s Economy Slows in Line With Expectations [FT] Japan’s 10-year yield hits highest level since 2008 financial crisis [FT] Donald Trump asked Volodymyr Zelenskyy if Ukraine could hit Moscow, say people briefed on call
Tuesday, July 15, 2025
[CNBC] S&P 500 rises after Nvidia gains, CPI comes in as expected: Live updates [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Gold Climbs as Market Digests Mixed US Messages on Trade Talks [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Japan Bond Rout Touches New Pain Point as 10-Year Yield Rises [Reuters] Investors brace for Japan bond market blowout as national election nears [AP] US inflation accelerated in June as Trump’s tariffs start to bite [CNBC] Nvidia says it will resume H20 AI chip sales to China ‘soon,’ following U.S. government assurances [Yahoo/Reuters] US Treasury Secretary Bessent says ‘formal process’ for Powell successor has started, Bloomberg News reports [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Bessent Suggests Powell Should Leave Fed Board in May [Axios] How the Fed sets rates — and why Powell can't do what Trump wants alone [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Fed Chair Contender Is Now in Favor of Cutting Rates, Just as Trump Wants [Yahoo/Reuters] JPMorgan CEO Dimon says Fed independence 'absolutely critical' [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Trump’s 50% Copper Tariffs Jolt US Market as Buyers Slash Imports and Delay Orders [MarketWatch] Housing market is sending a stark warning to the U.S. economy, Moody’s economist says [Yahoo/Bloomberg] BlackRock Hits Record $12.5 Trillion in Assets Amid Turmoil [CNBC] China’s second-quarter GDP tops expectations at 5.2%, easing stimulus pressure [Reuters] China's June new home prices fall at fastest monthly pace in 8 months [Bloomberg] Bessent Tells Markets Not to Worry About China Tariff Deadline [Bloomberg] Dudley: Bessent’s Interest Rate Bet Could Be a Big Loser [Bloomberg] Brazilians Back Lula Against Trump, Calling Tariffs Unjustified [Bloomberg] Japanese Bonds Risk Liz Truss Moment as Election Jolts Market [Bloomberg] European Long Bonds Are Near Their Sell-By Date [Bloomberg] Japan’s Ruling Parties at Risk of Losing Upper House Majority [Bloomberg] Is the Dollar’s Era of Exorbitant Privilege Ending? [Bloomberg] Drought Spreads in England After Driest Start to Year Since 1976 [NYT] For Big Banks, the Trump Era Is Proving Profitable Thus Far [NYT] PBS and NPR’s Last-Ditch Fight to Save Funding [WSJ] Trump Bets Constantly Shifting Tariff Strategy Can Remake Global Trade [WSJ] Europe Draws Up Retaliatory Tariffs for U.S. Goods in Case No Trade Deal Is Reached [WSJ] Post-Crisis Rules to Keep Banks Safe Are on the Way Out [WSJ] Japan Bond Yields’ Surge Signals Growing Fiscal Fears as Election Looms [WSJ] China’s Economy Slows in Line With Expectations [FT] Japan’s 10-year yield hits highest level since 2008 financial crisis [FT] Donald Trump asked Volodymyr Zelenskyy if Ukraine could hit Moscow, say people briefed on call
Monday, July 14, 2025
[CNBC] Stocks slide on more Trump tariff letters, but are off worst levels of session: Live updates [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Japanese Bonds Tumble as Fiscal Worries Mount Before Election [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Silver Extends Surge to Almost 14-Year High on Tight Market [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Oil Rises on Strong Chinese Data, US Moves on War in Ukraine [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Gold Gains as Trump Doubles Down on Tariffs Before Deadline [Reuters] Hassett says White House probing Fed renovation costs, authority to fire Powell [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Trump Tariff Salvos Push Economies to Seek to Broaden Trade Ties [Reuters] Why Trump's push for a 1% Fed policy rate could spell trouble for US economy [Yahoo/Reuters] Hedge funds dump banks, buy the dip in consumer staples, Goldman Sachs says [Axios] Trump to announce "aggressive" Ukraine weapons plan [Reuters] Trump says US will send Patriot missiles to Ukraine [BBC] The 'strongman' PM who inspired Trump's playbook - but now finds his power crumbling [Yahoo/Bloomberg] China Emerges From Trade Chaos With Record Exports, Surplus [Yahoo/Bloomberg] China Banks Stoke Controversy With Loans to Boost Pensions [Bloomberg] EU Warns Trump’s Tariff Threat Is Danger to Transatlantic Trade [Bloomberg] BOJ Is Said Likely to Consider Raising Inflation Forecast [Bloomberg] China Credit Growth Tops Forecasts as PBOC Watches Easing Impact [NYT] Companies in Europe Are Frozen as Tariff Uncertainty Drags On [WSJ] Jamie Dimon Says Private Credit Is Dangerous—and He Wants JPMorgan to Get In on It [WSJ] The Federal Government Is Retreating From Student Lending [WSJ] How China’s Military Is Flexing Its Power in the Pacific [FT] EU warns Trump’s 30% tariffs would eliminate transatlantic trade [FT] Japan faces an era-defining reset with the US [Ft] Chinese biotech shares surge as Big Pharma looks to license cancer treatments
Saturday, July 12, 2025
[Yahoo/Reuters] Trump announces 30% tariffs on EU, Mexico [AP] 30% US tariff on European goods threatens to shake up a key trade relationship [Politico] EU ready to retaliate after Trump hits bloc with 30 percent tariff [Politico] White House probe fuels speculation Trump could oust Fed chief Powell [AP] Trump’s sudden shifts make his policies baffling to countries trying to negotiate lower tariffs [Yahoo/Reuters] US online spending surges $24.1 billion as steep discounts boost sales, Adobe says [Yahoo/Reuters] Oil Market’s Focus Shifts to Demand as Trump Reignites Trade War [AP] Russia warns US, South Korea and Japan against forming security alliance targeting North Korea [Axios] "You could never have enough": Militaries scramble for air defense interceptors [Bloomberg] Trump Says US to Impose 30% Tariffs on EU, Mexico Next Month [Bloomberg] Risk of Powell Ouster Is Underpriced, Deutsche Bank Strategist Says [NYT] Fed Defends Renovations as White House Widens Attacks on Central Bank [WSJ] Trump Threatens 30% Tariffs on EU, Mexico [WSJ] White House Seizes on Fed Renovations as Opening to Oust Powell [WSJ] ‘Tariff Man’ Strikes Again—at Canada [WSJ] America’s Brain Drain Could Become the World’s Brain Gain [WSJ] Investors Get New Breaks on Capital-Gains Taxes in Trump Law [WSJ] In the Hills of Australia, Pacific Allies Are Training to Fight China [FT] Trump says he will impose 30% tariffs on the EU and Mexico from August 1 [FT] US demands to know what allies would do in event of war over Taiwan
Friday, July 11, 2025
[CNBC] Stocks fall after Trump unveils 35% tariffs on Canada starting Aug 1: Live updates [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Silver Rises to Highest Since 2011 as US Premiums Grow [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Oil Swings With Focus on Trump’s Plan for Russia, Saudi Output [AP] Trump’s 35% Canada tariff plan deepens a rift between the neighbors [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Markets Embolden Trump on Tariffs, Stoking Fear of Overreach [Axios] Wall Street may be enabling tariff policy [Axios] "Not amnesty lite": Trump's new plan for migrant worker visas [Reuters] Rubio meets China's Wang amid trade tensions, says good chance of Trump-Xi talks [Yahoo/Bloomberg] PBOC Adviser Urges $209 Billion Stimulus to Counter US Tariffs [Yahoo/Reuters] Chinese banks stumble on Beijing's consumer lending push [Reuters] UK economy shrinks again in May, raising new worries over outlook [Politico] France warns of ‘extremely worrying’ Russian activity underwater and in space [Bloomberg] Trump Threatens 35% Canada Tariff, Floats Higher Global Rate [Bloomberg] Trump’s 35% Tariff Bulldozer Tests Carney’s Strategy of Avoiding Conflict [Bloomberg] Dudley: Three Reasons the Fed Will Stand Pat on Interest Rates [Bloomberg] How US Universities Became So Vulnerable to Government Threats [Bloomberg] In Ominous Sign, Sellers Are Vanishing as US Stocks Smash Record [NYT] Are Investors Too Complacent About Tariffs and Rates Uncertainty? [NYT] Trump’s Seesawing on Tariffs Gives the World Whiplash [WSJ] Trump Doubles Down on Using Tariffs as Tool of American Power [WSJ] Trump Threatens 35% Tariff on Some Canadian Goods [WSJ] Trump’s Unsung Economic Booster: Deregulation [WSJ] Taiwan Resists China With Military Displays and History Lessons [FT] Donald Trump threatens new tariffs on Canada [FT] The return of ‘tariff man’: the week Donald Trump revived the global trade war [FT] Tett: Trump is sowing confusion in the markets [FT] How Greece came back from the brink [FT] US needs to prepare markets for the risk of a Chinese invasion of Taiwan
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