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Tactical Short 4th Quarter Recap - “Historic ‘24 Excess Portends Precarious 2025”
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Tactical Short Calls
Tuesday, March 25, 2025
[Yahoo/Bloomberg] Stocks Stall on Trump’s New Tariff Salvo: Markets Wrap [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Gold edges higher as surge in ETF holdings continues [...]
Monday, March 24, 2025
[Yahoo/Bloomberg] Stocks Rally as Traders Dive Back Into Tech: Markets Wrap [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Emerging-Market Assets Rebound on Signs of Targeted Tariffs [...]
Sunday, March 23, 2025
[Yahoo Finance] The Fed’s preferred inflation gauge and tariff talk: What to know this week [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Sticky US Inflation and Tariffs Are Keeping [...]
The Detox Period – March 21, 2025
The Detox Period While Jay Powell and the Federal Reserve met this week for their latest FOMC meeting, little has changed in HAI’s overall outlook. Financial [...]
Saturday, March 22, 2025
[CNBC] Trump says ‘there’ll be flexibility’ on reciprocal tariffs [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Fannie, Freddie Speculation Mounts on Bessent Remark On Sovereign [...]
March 21, 2025: In Defense of the Constitution
Somehow, it staged a remarkable comeback. “Transitory” was spoken five times during the post-meeting press conference, twice by Chair Powell: “As I’ve [...]
Friday, March 21, 2025
[Yahoo/Bloomberg] Stocks Slip as Company Results Add to Tariff Gloom: Markets Wrap [Yahoo/Reuters] Gold set for third week of gains on global uncertainties, [...]
Thursday, March 20, 2025
[Yahoo/Bloomberg] US Stocks Drop as Fed’s Assurances Wear Off: Markets Wrap [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Oil Erases Gains as Traders Assess Fed Stance, Trump’s Rate [...]
Wednesday, March 19, 2025
[Yahoo/Bloomberg] Stocks Edge Higher as Traders Look to Fed: Markets Wrap [Yahoo/Reuters] Gold hovers near record high on safe-haven demand; Fed decision in [...]
Gold At Triple-Triple Zero
US Dollar Down 27.4% VS Gold Over 12 Months Hard Asset Stocks Clearly Outperforming Bond Index How To Multiply Stock Holdings With DOW/Gold Ratio “I [...]
Tuesday, March 18, 2025
[Yahoo/Bloomberg] US Stocks to Resume Slide as Growth Concerns Weigh: Markets Wrap [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Gold Climbs to Record on Fears for US Economy, Mideast [...]
Monday, March 17, 2025
[Yahoo/Bloomberg] Stocks Erase Losses After Retail Sales Data: Markets Wrap [Yahoo/Reuters] Gold Hovers Near Record as US Growth Concerns Fan Haven Demand [...]
Sunday, March 16, 2025
[AP] Tornadoes, wildfires and blinding dust sweep across US as massive storm leaves at least 33 dead [AP] New Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney seeks [...]
Signal and Noise – March 14, 2025
Signal and Noise This was an important week in the wild world of markets. The broad market is suddenly down big, down hard, and down fast. Given the abrupt [...]
Saturday, March 15, 2025
[AP] Monster storm across the US sparks threat of tornadoes and fire, killing at least five people [Axios] Economic alarm bells are ringing everywhere [Yahoo [...]
March 14, 2025: Q4 2024 Z.1 and the Start of Deleveraging
The thesis holds that a multi-decade super cycle Credit Bubble – over recent years succumbing to “terminal phase excess” – has turned [...]
Friday, March 14, 2025
[Yahoo/Bloomberg] Stocks Rise After Selloff; Gold Hits $3,000: Markets Wrap [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Gold Hits Fresh Record as US Economic Fears Stoke Haven Demand [...]
Thursday, March 13, 2025
[Yahoo/Bloomberg] Stock Futures Pare Drop as Inflation Print Soothes: Markets Wrap [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Oil Retreats as IEA Flags Trade War Risks to Global Demand [...]
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“Historic ‘24 Excess Portends Precarious 2025”
January 30, 2025 – at 4:00 pm EST / 2:00 pm MST.
David McAlvany
Doug Noland
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