Credit Bubble Bulletin

Presented by Doug Noland since 2012

Credit Bubble Daily
Friday, July 4, 2025
[Yahoo/Bloomberg] US Stock Futures Drop on Latest Trump Tariff Salvo: Markets Wrap [Yahoo/Reuters] Stocks and dollar dip as Trump's spending bill passes, trade deal deadline nears [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Trump Plans to Start Notifying Countries of US Tariffs Up to 70% [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Jane Street Curbed in India After $4.3 Billion Trading Gain [CNBC] Jane Street barred from Indian markets as regulator freezes $566 million over Nifty 50 manipulation claims [Yahoo/Reuters] Factbox-What is Jane Street, the US trading firm facing heat in India? [Yahoo/Bloomberg] China Adviser Says Time ‘Running Out’ to Set Up Xi-Trump Meeting [AP] Russia hammers Kyiv in largest missile and drone barrage since war in Ukraine began [Reuters] Ukraine's drones damage power infrastructure in Sergiyev Posad near Moscow, Russia says [Yahoo/Bloomberg] S&P 500 Is a Touch Away From Triggering Sell Signal, BofA Says [Bloomberg] Traders on Edge as India's Regulator Temporarily Bars Jane Street [WSJ] Trump Says Tariff Letters Imminent, Unsettling Markets [WSJ] Wall Street Worries as Crisis-Level Deficits Become the Government’s Default Mode [WSJ] How Trump Got His ‘Big, Beautiful Bill’ Across the Finish Line [WSJ] Putin Plots Summer of Relentless Attacks on Ukraine [WSJ] U.N. Pulls Nuclear Inspectors Out of Iran for Safety Reasons [WSJ] The Yellow Sea Is the New Flashpoint for China’s Regional Power Play [FT] Trump to step up tariff pressure with letters to trade partners on new rates [FT] Donald Trump tightens grip on power with ‘big, beautiful’ policy triumph [FT] The details of Jane Street’s alleged ‘sinister scheme’ in India [FT] Saudi Arabia sticks with Iran after Israel war
Friday, July 4, 2025
[Yahoo/Bloomberg] US Stock Futures Drop on Latest Trump Tariff Salvo: Markets Wrap [Yahoo/Reuters] Stocks and dollar dip as Trump's spending bill passes, trade deal deadline nears [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Trump Plans to Start Notifying Countries of US Tariffs Up to 70% [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Jane Street Curbed in India After $4.3 Billion Trading Gain [CNBC] Jane Street barred from Indian markets as regulator freezes $566 million over Nifty 50 manipulation claims [Yahoo/Reuters] Factbox-What is Jane Street, the US trading firm facing heat in India? [Yahoo/Bloomberg] China Adviser Says Time ‘Running Out’ to Set Up Xi-Trump Meeting [AP] Russia hammers Kyiv in largest missile and drone barrage since war in Ukraine began [Reuters] Ukraine's drones damage power infrastructure in Sergiyev Posad near Moscow, Russia says [Yahoo/Bloomberg] S&P 500 Is a Touch Away From Triggering Sell Signal, BofA Says [Bloomberg] Traders on Edge as India's Regulator Temporarily Bars Jane Street [WSJ] Trump Says Tariff Letters Imminent, Unsettling Markets [WSJ] Wall Street Worries as Crisis-Level Deficits Become the Government’s Default Mode [WSJ] How Trump Got His ‘Big, Beautiful Bill’ Across the Finish Line [WSJ] Putin Plots Summer of Relentless Attacks on Ukraine [WSJ] U.N. Pulls Nuclear Inspectors Out of Iran for Safety Reasons [WSJ] The Yellow Sea Is the New Flashpoint for China’s Regional Power Play [FT] Trump to step up tariff pressure with letters to trade partners on new rates [FT] Donald Trump tightens grip on power with ‘big, beautiful’ policy triumph [FT] The details of Jane Street’s alleged ‘sinister scheme’ in India [FT] Saudi Arabia sticks with Iran after Israel war
Thursday, July 3, 2025
[CNBC] Stocks pop after a better-than-expected June jobs report: Live updates [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Japanese Bond Yields Move Higher Despite Smooth 30-Year Sale [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Long Bonds the World Over Face Intense Trader Scrutiny Once More [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Oil Declines With Trade Deal Progress, OPEC+ Decision in Focus [Yahoo/Reuters] Traders pare bets on Fed rate cuts after jobs report [AP] US employers added a surprising 147,000 jobs last month despite uncertainty over economic policy [AP] U.S. applications for jobless aid fell to 233,000 last week as layoffs remain low [AP] House GOP struggles to win over holdouts on Trump’s tax bill in late-night session [Axios] GOP breaks record for longest House vote with "big, beautiful bill" [Yahoo/Bloomberg] US Lifts Chip Design Software Curbs on China in Trade Deal [Yahoo Finance] Trump: Fed's Powell 'should resign immediately' [Yahoo/Reuters] The bond vigilantes are resting, for now [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Trump’s Vietnam Deal Shows China Tariffs Won’t Fall Much Further [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Trump Aims to Shut Trade Loopholes China Uses to Evade Tariffs [Bloomberg] Powell Silence on His Future Complicates Trump Fed Chair Search [Bloomberg] Authers: Independence Is the Worst Form of Central Banking [Bloomberg] China Vows Retaliation If It’s Hurt by US-Vietnam Trade Deal [Bloomberg] US-Led Trade War Threatens a Global Economic Setback [Bloomberg] Trump’s Vietnam Deal Stokes Asia Concern as Trade Deadline Looms [Bloomberg] Japan Dodges Bond Market Dangers With Successful 30-Year Sale [Bloomberg] Lee Says Unsure South Korea Can Land US Trade Deal by Deadline [Bloomberg] China Services Activity Weakens to 9-Month Low in New Hurdle [NYT] Trump Wants the World to Squeeze Out China. He’s Starting With Vietnam. [NYT] Tax Cuts Now, Benefit Cuts Later: The Timeline in the Republican Megabill [WSJ] Trump’s Megabill Set for Final House Vote as GOP Holdouts Relent [WSJ] BOJ Should Stand Ready to Hike Rates, Board Member Takata Says [FT] Das: The trades that will shape a new financial crisis [FT] China criticises Donald Trump’s trade deal with Vietnam [FT] Copper prices surge as traders rush to beat Trump tariffs [FT] ECB officials question whether euro has strengthened too much
Wednesday, July 2, 2025
[CNBC] S&P 500 slips after unexpected decline in private payrolls data: Live updates [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Oil Extends Gain With US Stockpiles and OPEC+ Decision in Focus [AP] House Republicans race toward a final vote on Trump’s tax bill, daring critics to oppose [Yahoo/Reuters] US private payrolls unexpectedly decrease in June; layoffs remain low [Yahoo/Bloomberg] ‘Irrational Exuberance’ Stock Gauge Sparks Fresh Bubble Worries [Reuters] Morning Bid: Markets sit tight for trade progress [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Trump’s 35% Tariff Threat Feeds Japan’s Worst-Case Scenario Fear [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Beijing Braces for US Trade Deals That Seek to Shut Out China [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Traders’ Fear of Missing Out on Stock Gains Outweighs Tariff Concerns [CNBC] Homeowner’s insurance premiums vary widely from state to state, but they are all going up [Bloomberg] House Republican Hardliners Warn of a Delay to Tax Vote [Bloomberg] California Is Running Out of Safe Places to Build Homes Due to Fires, Rising Seas [Bloomberg] Manhattan Home Sales Surge 17% With Cash Buyers Leading the Way [WSJ] China Is Quickly Eroding America’s Lead in the Global AI Race [Bloomberg] Gold Holds Gains as Trump Tax Bill Stokes US Deficit Concerns [NYT] Despite Pressure From Trump, Powell Remains Patient on Rate Cuts [NYT] How Immigration Could Muddy the Jobs Numbers [WSJ] What’s in the Trump Tax Bill Passed by the Senate? [WSJ] Trump Said Trade Deals Would Come Easy. Japan Is Proving Him Wrong. [WSJ] Thought Markets Were Volatile Already? Watch Out. [FT] European junk bond sales hit record as investors cut US exposure [FT] Sabotage suspected as mystery blasts hit oil tankers [FT] UK bonds slump on doubts over Reeves’ future after tearful PMQs
Tuesday, July 1, 2025
[CNBC] Stocks slip to kick off second half of 2025, Tesla shares drop: Live updates [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Treasury Yields Drop to Lowest Level in Two Months Before Powell Speaks [AP] Senate grinds to a standstill as Republicans struggle with Trump’s big bill [Reuters] US manufacturing mired in weakness as tariffs bite [Reuters] US job openings unexpectedly rise in May, hiring falls [Reuters] Rare earth magnet users jolted into paying premium prices for ex-China supply [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Homes Are Taking Longer to Sell in US Markets That Once Flourished [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Japan’s Trade Strategy Tested as Trump Pushes for Quick Deals [Axios] Trump says DOGE may "go back and eat Elon" [Yahoo/Reuters] China's factory activity returns to growth in June, Caixin PMI shows [AP] Iran assesses the damage and lashes out after Israeli and US strikes damage its nuclear sites [Bloomberg] Bessent Says US Hopes to See China Magnets Flow at ‘Faster Rate’ [Bloomberg] Trump Says He’ll Have to ‘Take a Look’ at Deporting Musk [Bloomberg] Taiwan Life Insurers Caught in Dilemma With Costly FX Hedges [Bloomberg] Europe’s Junk Bonds Cap Record Month With €22.5 Billion of Sales [WSJ] Republicans’ Effort to Pass Megabill Stretches Into a New Day [WSJ] Republicans Charge Ahead With Megabill’s Fate Uncertain [WSJ] The Worst Housing Market in America Is Now Florida’s Cape Coral [WSJ] A Hot New Firm Opened the Private Market to the Little Guy. Now It Is in Big Trouble. [FT] When the president wants a ‘low rates guy’ [FT] Taiwan’s currency jumps as life insurers rush to hedge against weak US dollar [FT] EU toughens stance on Donald Trump’s tariffs as deadline looms [FT] Japan digs in on rice and cars as trade talks with US stall
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David McAlvany
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