Credit Bubble Bulletin

Presented by Doug Noland since 2012

Credit Bubble Daily
Wednesday, August 13, 2025
[CNBC] Stocks rise as S&P 500 and Nasdaq get set to build on record highs: Live updates [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Volatility Gauges Sink to Year’s Lows Across Markets [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Investors Jump Into Riskiest Assets After US Inflation Report [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Bets on Outsize Fed Cut Gain Steam as CPI Data Backs Doves [AP] ‘Crazy!!’: How Labor Statistics staff reacted to Trump firing commissioner after dismal jobs report [CNBC] Trump considering 11 candidates for Fed chair, including David Zervos and Rick Rieder, sources say [CNBC] How Big Tech is paying its way out of Trump’s tariffs [CNBC] Weekly mortgage refinancing demand shoots 23% higher, with riskier loans making a comeback [AP] Homeowners turn to cash-out refinancing to take advantage of big gains in home equity [Axios] Zelensky scrambles to avert disaster as Trump meets Putin [Reuters] Trump's unusual Nvidia deal raises new corporate and national security risks, lawmakers and experts say [Yahoo/Bloomberg] China Came Ready for This Trade Fight, and the US Has a Lot to Learn [Reuters] Exclusive: US embeds trackers in AI chip shipments to catch diversions to China, sources say [AP] European leaders to speak with Trump ahead of his Friday summit with Putin [Yahoo/Reuters] Japan's wholesale inflation slows for 4th month in July [Reuters] China's military says it 'drove away' US destroyer in waters of Scarborough Shoal [Bloomberg] Bessent Urges Fed to Lower Rates by 150 Basis Points or More [Bloomberg] Japan Five-Year Bond Sale Draws Weakest Demand Ratio Since 2020 [Bloomberg] Bessent Dismisses China Investing in US as Part of a Trade Deal [Bloomberg] Private Equity’s Latest Financial Alchemy Is Worrying Investors [Bloomberg] Americans Are Getting Priced Out of Homeowners [Bloomberg] China’s New Loans Fell in July for First Time in Two Decades [Bloomberg] China’s Property Crisis Hits New Low With Evergrande Delisting [NYT] Trump’s Pick to Lead Labor Data Agency Adds to Fears of Political Interference [NYT] Trump Has Made Himself Commander in Chief of the Chip Industry [NYT] Companies Are Pouring Billions Into A.I. It Has Yet to Pay Off. [NYT] Trump and Putin Could Decide Others’ Fates, Echoing Yalta Summit [WSJ] The Partisan Economist Trump Wants to Oversee the Nation’s Data [WSJ] Ahead of Trump-Putin Meeting, Zelensky Says He Won’t Exchange Land for Peace [WSJ] Why China Loves and Fears Nvidia’s H20 Chip [WSJ] Switzerland Asks Whether Its Famed Neutrality Is Fit for the Modern World [FT] Investors are frogs in a Trumpian pot [FT] No experts in the room: Donald Trump to meet Vladimir Putin after loss of Russia specialists [FT] Oil market faces risk of ‘large overhang’ as Saudi pumps more, warns IEA
Wednesday, August 13, 2025
[CNBC] Stocks rise as S&P 500 and Nasdaq get set to build on record highs: Live updates [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Volatility Gauges Sink to Year’s Lows Across Markets [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Investors Jump Into Riskiest Assets After US Inflation Report [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Bets on Outsize Fed Cut Gain Steam as CPI Data Backs Doves [AP] ‘Crazy!!’: How Labor Statistics staff reacted to Trump firing commissioner after dismal jobs report [CNBC] Trump considering 11 candidates for Fed chair, including David Zervos and Rick Rieder, sources say [CNBC] How Big Tech is paying its way out of Trump’s tariffs [CNBC] Weekly mortgage refinancing demand shoots 23% higher, with riskier loans making a comeback [AP] Homeowners turn to cash-out refinancing to take advantage of big gains in home equity [Axios] Zelensky scrambles to avert disaster as Trump meets Putin [Reuters] Trump's unusual Nvidia deal raises new corporate and national security risks, lawmakers and experts say [Yahoo/Bloomberg] China Came Ready for This Trade Fight, and the US Has a Lot to Learn [Reuters] Exclusive: US embeds trackers in AI chip shipments to catch diversions to China, sources say [AP] European leaders to speak with Trump ahead of his Friday summit with Putin [Yahoo/Reuters] Japan's wholesale inflation slows for 4th month in July [Reuters] China's military says it 'drove away' US destroyer in waters of Scarborough Shoal [Bloomberg] Bessent Urges Fed to Lower Rates by 150 Basis Points or More [Bloomberg] Japan Five-Year Bond Sale Draws Weakest Demand Ratio Since 2020 [Bloomberg] Bessent Dismisses China Investing in US as Part of a Trade Deal [Bloomberg] Private Equity’s Latest Financial Alchemy Is Worrying Investors [Bloomberg] Americans Are Getting Priced Out of Homeowners [Bloomberg] China’s New Loans Fell in July for First Time in Two Decades [Bloomberg] China’s Property Crisis Hits New Low With Evergrande Delisting [NYT] Trump’s Pick to Lead Labor Data Agency Adds to Fears of Political Interference [NYT] Trump Has Made Himself Commander in Chief of the Chip Industry [NYT] Companies Are Pouring Billions Into A.I. It Has Yet to Pay Off. [NYT] Trump and Putin Could Decide Others’ Fates, Echoing Yalta Summit [WSJ] The Partisan Economist Trump Wants to Oversee the Nation’s Data [WSJ] Ahead of Trump-Putin Meeting, Zelensky Says He Won’t Exchange Land for Peace [WSJ] Why China Loves and Fears Nvidia’s H20 Chip [WSJ] Switzerland Asks Whether Its Famed Neutrality Is Fit for the Modern World [FT] Investors are frogs in a Trumpian pot [FT] No experts in the room: Donald Trump to meet Vladimir Putin after loss of Russia specialists [FT] Oil market faces risk of ‘large overhang’ as Saudi pumps more, warns IEA
Tuesday, August 12, 2025
[CNBC] Stocks rally after lighter-than-expected inflation data: Live updates [CNBC] Consumer prices rise 2.7% annually in July, less than expected amid tariff worries [Axios] Trump names new Bureau of Labor Statistics chief amid economic data turmoil [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Trump Names Heritage’s EJ Antoni to Lead Bureau of Labor Statistics [Yahoo/Reuters] US small business optimism up but uncertainty clouds outlook [Yahoo/Bloomberg] China Urges Firms to Avoid Nvidia H20 Chips After Trump Ends Ban [Yahoo/Reuters] European Union awaits US follow-up on trade deal promises [Yahoo/Reuters] Switzerland wants binding Trump commitment on gold tariffs, lobby group says [Axios] Inside Trump's power play for more control in D.C. [AP] Australia’s central bank cuts interest rate for third time this year to 3.6% [Bloomberg] Bessent on Tariffs, Deficits and Embracing Trump’s Economic Plan [Bloomberg] Private Credit’s PIK Usage Nears Four-Year High, Lincoln Says [Bloomberg] Bond Traders’ High Hopes for September Rate Cut Hinge on CPI [Bloomberg] How Climate Change Is Fueling Stronger, Wetter and More Destructive Hurricanes [NYT] Trump, Seeking Friendlier Economic Data, Names New Statistics Chief [NYT] Gaming Out the Price of a Trump Trade Deal With China [WSJ] Russia Has High Hopes for Trump-Putin Summit. Peace Isn’t One of Them. [WSJ] With Billions at Risk, Nvidia CEO Buys His Way Out of the Trade Battle [WSJ] U.S. Small Businesses Brush Off Tariff Fears [WSJ] The Era of Big Raises for Low-Paid Workers Is Over [WSJ] How Trump Is Expanding the Role of the American Military on U.S. Soil [FT] Donald Trump picks Heritage economist to head US Bureau of Labor Statistics [FT] What would a Miran Fed look like? [FT] Beijing demands Chinese tech giants justify purchases of Nvidia’s H20 chips [FT] What if Trump picks an inflation nutter for Fed chair? [FT] The unprecedented feud between the US and Brazil [FT] ‘Manipulative’ Putin vs ‘emotional’ Trump: what past summits reveal about Alaska meeting [FT] The lines between monetary and fiscal policy have blurred [FT] Japanese banks brace for another era of turbulence [FT] Peso soars as ‘carry trade’ reignites after tariff delays
Monday, August 11, 2025
[CNBC] Stocks tick higher ahead of key inflation data expected this week: Live updates [Axios] U.S. government imposes fee on Nvidia, AMD exports to China [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Trump Bid for Cut of Nvidia, AMD Revenue Risks ‘Dangerous World’ [Axios] White House roils markets with giant tariff revisions [Yahoo/Bloomberg] US Consumers to Bear Brunt of Tariff Hit, Goldman Economists Say [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Small US Firms Paying Trump Tariffs Face $202 Billion Annual Hit [Axios] The 8 unanswered questions in Trump's trade war [Yahoo/Reuters] Gold Council awaiting U.S. clarity on gold bar tariffs, Barrick CEO says [Yahoo/Reuters] Tariff inflation worry, debt deluge to prop up longer-term US Treasury yields [Axios] Historic flash floods hit Milwaukee as Midwest faces heavy rains threat [Politico] Zelenskyy warns of Russian deception as Putin-Trump talks loom [Bloomberg] US Consumers Will Bear the Brunt of Tariff Costs, Goldman Says [Bloomberg] Private Credit Losers Emerge From Ruins of German Property Bust [NYT] Small Businesses Brace for the Punishing Side Effects of Trump’s Tariffs [WSJ] The U.S. Marches Toward State Capitalism With American Characteristics [WSJ] A New Generation of ‘Buy the Dip’ Investors Is Propping Up the Market [WSJ] American Companies Are Buying Their Own Stocks at a Record Pace [WSJ] The Engineering Marvel That China Hopes Will Help Wean It Off Foreign Energy [FT] Small businesses raise prices as Trump’s tariffs hit Main Street [FT] Trump, Putin and the future of Ukraine [FT] Pimco chief signals caution over private markets [FT] China has its own concerns about Nvidia H20 chips [FT] Big Oil heeds call to ‘drill, baby, drill’ as green transition slows [FT] US is planning new sanctions on Brazil, says Jair Bolsonaro’s son [FT] How Pakistan wooed Trump — and rattled India
Sunday, August 10, 2025
Saturday, August 9, 2025
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