Credit Bubble Bulletin

Presented by Doug Noland since 2012

Credit Bubble Daily
Wednesday, September 3, 2025
[CNBC] S&P 500 rises after Google avoids harsh antitrust penalty: Live updates [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Gold Extends Gains to Fresh Record on Rate-Cut Bets, Debt Fears [CNBC] Mortgage demand from homebuyers pulls back, after four weeks of gains [Axios] Xi, flanked by Putin and Kim, hosts China's largest-ever military parade [Reuters] 'Peace or War': China's Xi hosts massive military parade with Putin and Kim [CNBC] China’s Xi says the world faces ‘peace or war’ as Trump claims Beijing conspiring against U.S. [Axios] America's biggest adversaries "conspire" in Beijing [Reuters] U.S. Treasury Secretary to begin Fed chair interviews Friday, WSJ reports [Yahoo Finance] The Fed: All eyes on Stephen Miran’s nomination hearing Thursday as central bank remains under scrutiny [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Trump Accuses Xi of ‘Conspiring Against US’ With Putin, Kim [Yahoo/Reuters] U.S. workers are becoming more stressed about finances, BofA survey shows [Yahoo/Reuters] Central banks urged to pool dollar reserves as Fed help questioned [Politico] ‘I haven’t seen this much uncertainty since 1968’: Even a Macron resignation won’t save France [Bloomberg] Xi’s Guest List Is Shorter, More Authoritarian Than a Decade Ago [Bloomberg] Dudley: Tariff Chaos Reigns and America’s Economy Suffers [Bloomberg] Investors Snap Up CLOs at Record Pace, Betting on Loan Revival [Bloomberg] Global Bond Selloff Is Extending With Longer Debt Leading Losses [Bloomberg] Trump Accuses Xi of ‘Conspiring Against US’ With Putin, Kim [Bloomberg] Credit Markets Near Records After $90 Billion Bond Sale Spree [Bloomberg] Le Big Short: French Political Risk Runs Deep [Bloomberg] Japan’s Long Bonds Join Global Slide as Politics Adds to Jitters [WSJ] China Flaunts Military Might With Lavish Parade—and Sends Warning to Washington [WSJ] China Services PMI Expands at Fastest Pace in Over a Year [FT] Global bonds under pressure as 30-year Treasury yield hits 5% [FT] Xi Jinping hails ‘unstoppable’ China at landmark military parade [FT] Lasers, hypersonic missiles and the ‘nuclear triad’: China flexes its military muscle [FT] The hard data signals the Fed should not cut rates [FT] Global bond sell-off hits Japanese government debt [FT] Why memory chips are the new frontier of the AI revolution [FT] Jane Street revenue eclipses $10bn in a quarter for first time
Wednesday, September 3, 2025
[CNBC] S&P 500 rises after Google avoids harsh antitrust penalty: Live updates [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Gold Extends Gains to Fresh Record on Rate-Cut Bets, Debt Fears [CNBC] Mortgage demand from homebuyers pulls back, after four weeks of gains [Axios] Xi, flanked by Putin and Kim, hosts China's largest-ever military parade [Reuters] 'Peace or War': China's Xi hosts massive military parade with Putin and Kim [CNBC] China’s Xi says the world faces ‘peace or war’ as Trump claims Beijing conspiring against U.S. [Axios] America's biggest adversaries "conspire" in Beijing [Reuters] U.S. Treasury Secretary to begin Fed chair interviews Friday, WSJ reports [Yahoo Finance] The Fed: All eyes on Stephen Miran’s nomination hearing Thursday as central bank remains under scrutiny [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Trump Accuses Xi of ‘Conspiring Against US’ With Putin, Kim [Yahoo/Reuters] U.S. workers are becoming more stressed about finances, BofA survey shows [Yahoo/Reuters] Central banks urged to pool dollar reserves as Fed help questioned [Politico] ‘I haven’t seen this much uncertainty since 1968’: Even a Macron resignation won’t save France [Bloomberg] Xi’s Guest List Is Shorter, More Authoritarian Than a Decade Ago [Bloomberg] Dudley: Tariff Chaos Reigns and America’s Economy Suffers [Bloomberg] Investors Snap Up CLOs at Record Pace, Betting on Loan Revival [Bloomberg] Global Bond Selloff Is Extending With Longer Debt Leading Losses [Bloomberg] Trump Accuses Xi of ‘Conspiring Against US’ With Putin, Kim [Bloomberg] Credit Markets Near Records After $90 Billion Bond Sale Spree [Bloomberg] Le Big Short: French Political Risk Runs Deep [Bloomberg] Japan’s Long Bonds Join Global Slide as Politics Adds to Jitters [WSJ] China Flaunts Military Might With Lavish Parade—and Sends Warning to Washington [WSJ] China Services PMI Expands at Fastest Pace in Over a Year [FT] Global bonds under pressure as 30-year Treasury yield hits 5% [FT] Xi Jinping hails ‘unstoppable’ China at landmark military parade [FT] Lasers, hypersonic missiles and the ‘nuclear triad’: China flexes its military muscle [FT] The hard data signals the Fed should not cut rates [FT] Global bond sell-off hits Japanese government debt [FT] Why memory chips are the new frontier of the AI revolution [FT] Jane Street revenue eclipses $10bn in a quarter for first time
Tuesday, September 2, 2025
[Yahoo/Bloomberg] Gold Punches Through $3,500 to Hit Record High on Rate-Cut Bets [CNBC] Stock futures fall to start September amid new tariff uncertainty, jumping bond yields: Live updates: Live updates [CNBC] Treasury yields jump on prospect of U.S. having to refund tariff money; 30-year yield tops 4.98% [Yahoo/Bloomberg] UK Markets Slide as Debt Angst Drives 30-Year Yield to 1998 High [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Oil rises as Russia-Ukraine tensions stoke supply concerns [Reuters] Morning Bid: Dollar, gold and long yields surge [Yahoo/Bloomberg] World’s Long-Dated Bonds Face a Traditionally Terrible Month [Reuters] US Congress returns, with one month to avert government shutdown [Yahoo/Bloomberg] GOP Faces Headwinds on Push for Second Big Tax and Spending Bill [Yahoo/Bloomberg] America Inc. Swaps Decades for Days in Rush to Commercial Paper [CNBC] Trump calls India-U.S. trade relationship ‘a totally one sided disaster’ after Modi visits China [Yahoo/Bloomberg] China’s Xi Redraws Geopolitical Map With Embrace of Putin, Modi [Reuters] Xi to flaunt China's vision of new global order at military parade [AP] North Korea’s Kim Jong Un travels to Beijing to watch military parade alongside Putin and Xi Jinping [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Euro-Zone Inflation Quickens Beyond 2%, Backing Rate Pause [Politico] Bayrou’s last stand: Waking France up to the boomer pension timebomb [Politico] European Socialists mobilize against Trump’s trade deal [Bloomberg] Over 450 Economists Back Cook, Fed Independence in Open Letter [Bloomberg] Why Investors Can’t Seem to Get Enough of Gold [Bloomberg] China’s Margin Trades Surge to Record as Stock Rally Extends [Bloomberg] Russia’s Oil Cargoes Flood to China as Tariffs Crimp India Flows [Bloomberg] It’s a Strongman’s World and We’re Just Living in It [NYT] The Potentially Big Costs of Trump’s Fed Fight [NYT] After Court Defeat, Trump Warns of Economic Chaos From Loss of Tariffs [NYT] Why China Is Trying to Tame Its Electric Car Frenzy [WSJ] Americans Lose Faith That Hard Work Leads to Economic Gains, WSJ-NORC Poll Finds [WSJ] Trump’s September Is Filled With Tough Deadlines [WSJ] Xi Revisits WWII to Boost China in Great-Power Rivalry With U.S. [FT] US sliding towards 1930s-style autocracy, warns Ray Dalio
Monday, September 1, 2025
[Yahoo/WSJ] Gold Futures Rise to Record High on Fed Concerns, Rate-Cut Expectations [Reuters] Europe stocks steady, bonds struggle ahead of crucial US data this week [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Indonesian Stocks Slide After Weekend of Protests and Looting [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Oil Steadies as Putin and Modi Huddle in China After US Tariff [Yahoo/Reuters] Back to school: markets brace for September risks [Yahoo/Reuters] ECB's Lagarde warns of risk to world economy via Trump interference on Fed [Yahoo/Telegraph] Lagarde warns of ‘worrying’ risk of French government collapse [AP] 1.2M immigrants are gone from the US labor force under Trump, preliminary data shows [AP] A downturn in international travel to the US may last beyond summer, experts warn [Axios] How AI can kill you [Reuters] China's Xi pushes a new global order, flanked by leaders of Russia and India [Reuters] Modi says Russia and India stand together even in difficult times [Politico] China’s Xi slams ‘bullying practices’ in thinly veiled snipe at Trump [Politico] Marine Le Pen seizes her moment to shake France [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Asia factory activity shrinks as US tariffs bite, China bucks trend [AP] A look at the world leaders attending China’s SCO summit and military parade [Bloomberg] What Are Trump’s Options If His Tariffs Are Ruled Unlawful? [Bloomberg] Silver Climbs Past $40 as US Rate-Cut Bets Fuel Investor Demand [Bloomberg] China Banks Pressured by Rising Loan Losses, Low Margins [Bloomberg] Bond Market Watchers Expect India’s Central Bank to Step In as Yields Spike [Bloomberg] Hedge Funds Are Betting Yen Is About to Make a Bullish Breakout [NYT] Trump’s Plan to Pack the Fed With Loyalists [NYT] Smiles and Clasped Hands as Xi, Putin and Modi Try to Signal Unity [WSJ] Threats to Fed Independence Are ‘Very Worrying,’ ECB’s Lagarde Says [WSJ] Data Centers That Don’t Exist Yet Are Already Haunting the Grid [WSJ] Black Americans Are Losing Jobs in a Warning for the Economy [WSJ] With Another Government on the Brink of Collapse, Is France the New Italy? [WSJ] Chinese, Russian, Indian Leaders Pledge Cooperation, in a Message to Trump [WSJ] China Ups Surveillance of Troubled People to Quell Rising Unrest [FT] Trump’s fawning cabinet and the threat to US democracy [FT] Investors underestimate Donald Trump’s threat to the Federal Reserve, economists warn [FT] Ursula von der Leyen’s plane hit by suspected Russian GPS interference [FT] How the Trump administration gutted America’s disaster relief agency [FT] French business warns of recession risk as political turmoil deepens
Sunday, August 31, 2025
[Yahoo/Bloomberg] Tame US Job Growth Expected in Approach to Fed Meeting [Yahoo Finance] Trump's trade war just got more chaotic than ever [Yahoo/Reuters] US still working on trade deals despite court ruling, USTR says [Yahoo/Bloomberg] US Corporate Leverage Poised to Rise With $1 Trillion Deals Deluge [Reuters] Chicago mayor says police will not aid federal troops or agents [Politico] China’s Xi welcomes Putin and Modi as Trump roils global order [Bloomberg] US Trading Partners ‘Dazed and Confused’ After Tariff Court Loss [Bloomberg] Stock Market’s Fate Comes Down to the Next 14 Trading Sessions [Bloomberg] Emerging Markets’ Trump Rally at Risk as Tariff Reality Kicks In [Bloomberg] China’s Home Sales Slump Extends as Prices Continue to Decline [Bloomberg] Xi, Modi Vow to Rebuild Ties as US Trade War Adds Pressure [NYT] How Trump Could Overhaul the Fed [NYT] America Closed Malls, but China Kept Building Them. Now It Has Too Many. [WSJ] Fed Upheaval Sows New Uncertainty About Path of Rates [WSJ] China Has a Different Vision for AI. It Might Be Smarter. [WSJ] Mortgage Refinancing Starts to Thaw as Rates Trend Down [WSJ] Trump Turns to Small Group of Advisers, Shrinks National Security Council [FT] Wealthy Americans pour record sums into private credit funds [FT] Is Trump’s mission in Venezuela to fight drugs or to topple its leader? [FT] Indonesian finance minister’s home looted as unrest spreads [FT] Xi and Modi say they are ‘partners not rivals’ in bid to repair China-India ties [FT] Bitcoin boom spurs newly wealthy to splurge on luxury travel
Saturday, August 30, 2025
[AP] What happens to Trump’s tariffs now that a federal appeals court has knocked them down? [BBC] What happens next after Trump tariffs ruled illegal? [Axios] What to know about Trump's tariff plan post-court strike down [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Japan’s Akazawa Canceled US Trip Over Rice, Nikkei Says [AP] Colleges face financial struggles as Trump policies send international enrollment plummeting [Axios] Bonfire of expertise: Trump drives scientists, spies and soldiers out of government [Axios] Scoop: White House believes Europe secretly undoing Ukraine war's end [Bloomberg] Trump’s Revenge Summer Heats Up With Fed Ouster, Bolton Raid [Bloomberg] Ukraine Strikes Russian Refineries as It Faces Missile Barrage [NYT] Trump’s Sweeping Tariffs Invalidated by Appeals Court [WSJ] Risk-Taking Is Back in Debt Markets Too [WSJ] Six Months Into Tariffs, Businesses Have No Idea How to Price Anything [WSJ] The Properties at the Heart of the Allegations Against Lisa Cook [WSJ] Cutting-Edge AI Was Supposed to Get Cheaper. It’s More Expensive Than Ever. [WSJ] Bipartisan Proposal Would Ban Stock Trading by Lawmakers [WSJ] Trump’s Venezuelan War Games [WSJ] While Trump Rattles the World, China Basks in the Limelight [FT] Donald Trump’s tariffs ruled illegal by US appeals court but stay in place [FT] The calculated silence of America’s business and finance leaders [FT] Trump’s Fed meddling pushes investors closer to their red line [FT] François Bayrou, France’s isolated PM with his job on the line [FT] Xi Jinping to host Vladimir Putin and Narendra Modi as China presents rival front to US
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