Credit Bubble Weekly

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Credit Bubble Weekly • Nov 12 2022
November 11, 2022: Derivatives, Squeezes and Fiascos Aplenty

How does one chronicle a week like this one? “Sam Bankman-Fried’s $32bn FTX Crypto Empire Files for Bankruptcy.” “What’s Next for Crypto as FTX [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Nov 12, 2022
Credit Bubble Weekly • Nov 04 2022
November 4, 2022: Powell Building Credibility

The guy sounds like a discerning traditional central banker. Powell is an admirer of Paul Volcker’s fortitude, and he’s clearly drawing inspiration from [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Nov 4, 2022
Credit Bubble Weekly • Oct 29 2022
October 28, 2022: Blinked

The S&P500 jumped 4.0% this week, boosting the index’s two-week rally to 8.9%. The small caps rose 6.0% (two-week gain 9.8%), with the average stock [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Oct 29, 2022
Credit Bubble Weekly • Oct 22 2022
October 21, 2022: Dissecting Chairman Xi

Please join Doug Noland and David McAlvany this coming Thursday, October 27, at 4:00 pm Eastern/ 2:00 pm Mountain time for the Tactical Short Q3 recap [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Oct 22, 2022
Credit Bubble Weekly • Oct 15 2022
October 14, 2022: New Cycle Realities

It would have been a nonevent; inconsequential. Confirming New Cycle Dynamics, the Truss government’s “mini budget” has unleashed absolute mayhem. [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Oct 15, 2022
Credit Bubble Weekly • Oct 07 2022
October 7, 2022: McAlvany Wealth Management Client Conference

Adapted from my Friday, October 7, 2022, presentation at the annual McAlvany Wealth Management Client Conference in Durango, Colorado. I fell in love with [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Oct 7, 2022
Credit Bubble Weekly • Oct 01 2022
September 30, 2022: A Threatening Turn

Global de-risking/deleveraging has taken A Threatening Turn. It’s no exaggeration to write that the UK pension system was this week at the brink of [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Oct 1, 2022
Credit Bubble Weekly • Sep 24 2022
September 23, 2022: Putin & The Vigilantes

It really got going Tuesday. Chinese “big four” bank CDS each surged about 10 bps, the largest single-session gains since the July 15th peak “risk [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Sep 24, 2022
Credit Bubble Weekly • Sep 16 2022
September 16, 2022: Deflation and Policy Mistakes

Hotter-than-expected August CPI and quarterly options/derivatives expiration made for a toxic mix. “Core” CPI was reported up 0.6% for the month (7% [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Sep 16, 2022
Credit Bubble Weekly • Sep 10 2022
September 9, 2022: Valuable Insight from the Q2 ’22 Z.1

Reuters headline: “U.S. Household Wealth Suffers Record Drop in Second Quarter.” Bloomberg: “US Household Net Worth Falls Most on Record on Slump in [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Sep 10, 2022
Credit Bubble Weekly • Sep 03 2022
September 2, 2022: Super Credit Bubble

Global “Risk Off” gathers momentum by the week. Crisis Dynamics fester, as global central banks coalesce around a united front for battling inflation. The [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Sep 3, 2022
Credit Bubble Weekly • Aug 27 2022
August 26, 2022: New Cycle Monetary Management

I appreciate that Jay Powell is no ideologue. His Fed has made some historic missteps, and Powell as Chair has sometimes flailed. But I’m willing to cut him [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Aug 27, 2022
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