Credit Bubble Weekly

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Credit Bubble Weekly • Jun 30 2017
June 30, 2017: The Road to Normalization

The past week provided important support for the “peak monetary stimulus” thesis. There is mounting evidence that global central bankers are monitoring [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jun 30, 2017
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jun 24 2017
June 23, 2017: Washington Finance and Bubble Illusion

June 18 – Financial Times (Mohamed El-Erian): “In hiking rates and, more notably, reaffirming its forward policy guidance and setting out plans for the [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jun 24, 2017
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jun 17 2017
June 16, 2017: Peak Stimulus Has Passed

Bloomberg Radio/Television’s Tom Keene, Wednesday June 14, 2017: “Professor, what is the question you want to ask chair Yellen at the press conference here [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jun 17, 2017
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jun 09 2017
June 9, 2017: Crowded Longs, Shorts and a New Z1

It was a week that saw Mario Draghi cling stubbornly to ultra-dovish monetary policy, the UK’s Brexit strategy thrown into even greater disarray after Prime [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jun 9, 2017
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jun 02 2017
June 2, 2017: Liquidity Trade

It’s not quite 1999 at this point, but it’s been moving in that direction. In about five months’ time, the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) has posted a gain of 20.5%. [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jun 2, 2017
Credit Bubble Weekly • May 26 2017
May 26, 2017: Moody’s Downgrades China

Marie Diron, Moody’s associate managing director, Sovereign Risk Group, commenting Wednesday on Moody’s Chinese downgrade (Bloomberg Television): “It is [...]

Doug Noland Posted on May 26, 2017
Credit Bubble Weekly • May 19 2017
May 19, 2017: Just the Facts

For the Week: The S&P500 slipped 0.4% (up 6.4% y-t-d), and the Dow declined 0.4% (up 5.3%). The Utilities lost 0.5% (up 6.1%). The Banks fell 1.6% (down [...]

Doug Noland Posted on May 19, 2017
Credit Bubble Weekly • May 12 2017
May 12, 2017: The VIX and the Scheme

There was little market reaction to Emanuel Macron’s widely-anticipated big victory in the French presidential election. The euro actually retreated [...]

Doug Noland Posted on May 12, 2017
Credit Bubble Weekly • May 05 2017
May 5, 2017: Belly of the Beast

We’re at an important juncture for the global Bubble. There are growing divergences and anomalies. Market signals are increasingly conflicting and [...]

Doug Noland Posted on May 5, 2017
Credit Bubble Weekly • Apr 28 2017
April 28, 2017: Unsound Finance

With Emanuel Macron and Marine Le Pen moving on to next Sunday’s (May 7) runoff French presidential election, first-round results proved right in line with [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Apr 28, 2017
Credit Bubble Weekly • Apr 22 2017
April 21, 2017: Liquidity Supernova and the Big Ugly Flaw

April 21 – Reuters (Vikram Subhedar): “The $1 trillion of financial assets that central banks in Europe and Japan have bought so far this year is the best [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Apr 22, 2017
Credit Bubble Weekly • Apr 14 2017
April 14, 2017: “Risk Off” Making Some Headway

Global “Risk Off” has been Making Some Headway. This week saw ten-year Treasury yields drop 15 bps to 2.23%, the low since the week following the election. [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Apr 14, 2017
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