Credit Bubble Weekly

Weekly credit market analysis and commentary to stay ahead.

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Credit Bubble Weekly • Oct 08 2016
Weekly Commentary: Matthew, Near Misses and Flash Crashes

Clearly, the National Hurricane Center, The Weather Channel, meteorologists and disaster consultants have succumbed to the cult of fear mongering. “Extremely [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Oct 8, 2016
Credit Bubble Weekly • Oct 01 2016
Weekly Commentary: A Take on Deutsche Bank

September 30 – Wall Street Journal (James Mackintosh): “Lehman failed the way all banks fail: It ran out of cash and liquid assets it could quickly sell to [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Oct 1, 2016
Credit Bubble Weekly • Sep 24 2016
Weekly Commentary: Like Old Times: Q2 2016 Flow of Funds

The beginning of the year seems ages ago.  Recall how securities markets fell under significant stress. Global central bankers responded (Pavlovian) with [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Sep 24, 2016
Credit Bubble Weekly • Sep 24 2016
Weekly Commentary: Like Old Times: Q2 2016 Flow of Funds

The beginning of the year seems ages ago.  Recall how securities markets fell under significant stress. Global central bankers responded (Pavlovian) with [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Sep 24, 2016
Credit Bubble Weekly • Sep 17 2016
Weekly Commentary: Risk Off, the BOJ and China

Is a meaningful de-risking/de-leveraging episode possible with global central banks injecting liquidity at the current almost $2.0 TN annualized pace? Thus [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Sep 17, 2016
Credit Bubble Weekly • Sep 10 2016
Weekly Commentary: Reversals

Commenting on Friday’s jump in global bond yields, a fund manager on Bloomberg Television downplayed the move: “Yields are back to where they were last [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Sep 10, 2016
Credit Bubble Weekly • Sep 03 2016
Weekly Commentary: Just the Facts

For the Week: The S&P500 added 0.5% (up 6.7% y-t-d), and the Dow increased 0.5% (up 6.1%). The Utilities gained 0.9% (up 14.7%). The Banks jumped 2.2% [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Sep 3, 2016
Credit Bubble Weekly • Aug 27 2016
Weekly Commentary: Yellen Unveiling, Jackson Hole 2016

“The Global Financial Crisis and Great Recession posed daunting new challenges for central banks around the world and spurred innovations in the design, [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Aug 27, 2016
Credit Bubble Weekly • Aug 20 2016
Weekly Commentary: The “Neutral Rate”

“The neutral (or natural) rate of interest is the rate at which real GDP is growing at its trend rate, and inflation is stable. It is attributed to Swedish [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Aug 20, 2016
Credit Bubble Weekly • Aug 13 2016
Weekly Commentary: Inflation

(Email from reader T.B.) “These various stages of capitalism, or finance, are interesting and descriptive. But I think the progression is rather simply [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Aug 13, 2016
Credit Bubble Weekly • Aug 13 2016
Weekly Commentary: Inflation

(Email from reader T.B.) “These various stages of capitalism, or finance, are interesting and descriptive. But I think the progression is rather simply [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Aug 13, 2016
Credit Bubble Weekly • Aug 06 2016
Weekly Commentary: Updating Government Finance Quasi-Capitalism

I found my thoughts this week returning to Hyman Minsky, financial evolution and Capitalism. Updating my 2013 Government Finance Quasi-Capitalism thesis seemed [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Aug 6, 2016
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