Credit Bubble Weekly

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Credit Bubble Weekly • Jul 08 2023
July 7, 2023: Thursday

Wednesday, July 5, 2023: ISI’s Ed Hyman speaking on Bloomberg Television: “Inflation is coming down around the world. They just reported this morning the [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jul 8, 2023
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jul 01 2023
June 30, 2023: Just the Facts

For the Week: The S&P500 gained 2.3% (up 15.9% y-t-d), and the Dow rose 2.0% (up 3.8%). The Utilities increased 0.5% (down 8.1%). The Banks rallied 3.4% [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jul 1, 2023
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jun 24 2023
June 23, 2023: Liquidity Risks

For the most part, things seem to look and feel as they did during the old cycle. Loose financial conditions persist, and securities markets remain energized. [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jun 24, 2023
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jun 17 2023
June 16, 2023: Nietzsche on Bubbles

Remember early in the Fed’s tightening cycle, when Chair Powell would invoke the legacy of Paul Volcker? And there were press conferences where “financial [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jun 17, 2023
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jun 10 2023
June 9, 2023: Q1 ’23 Z1: Shedding Light on Liquidity Dislocation

Not surprisingly, considering the March banking crisis, Non-Financial Debt (NFD) growth was tepid for the second straight quarter. At a 3.50% rate, Q1 NFD [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jun 10, 2023
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jun 03 2023
June 2, 2023: The Case Against Skip

It’s not a close call. If the Fed “Skips” policy tightening at the June 14th FOMC meeting, it will be yet another big policy mistake. The long string of [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jun 3, 2023
Credit Bubble Weekly • May 27 2023
May 26, 2023: Melt-up vs. Deleveraging

We have no reason to expect markets to function normally. So many facets of today’s environment are unique. For one, a once-in-a-century global pandemic [...]

Doug Noland Posted on May 27, 2023
Credit Bubble Weekly • May 20 2023
May 19, 2023: Too Loose

“Growing Debt Ceiling Deal Hopes Send Stocks Higher.” The S&P500 gained 1.6% this week, pushing the index to a nine-month high. The Nasdaq100’s 3.5% [...]

Doug Noland Posted on May 20, 2023
Credit Bubble Weekly • May 12 2023
May 12, 2023: China Bubble Deflation Watch

Two-year Treasury yields traded at 4.06% Wednesday, just ahead of the CPI data release. Yields sank to 3.87% intraday Wednesday and were as low as 3.81% [...]

Doug Noland Posted on May 12, 2023
Credit Bubble Weekly • May 05 2023
May 5, 2023: “Extraordinarily Sound”

Another humdrum week. The second largest bank failure in U.S. history – to start things off, making for three of the top four over just the past two [...]

Doug Noland Posted on May 5, 2023
Credit Bubble Weekly • Apr 29 2023
April 28, 2023: Animal or Lab?

For years, we’ve been told the banking system is sound and highly-capitalized – that lessons were learned from the 2008 crisis. Importantly, the Fed would [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Apr 29, 2023
Credit Bubble Weekly • Apr 21 2023
April 21, 2023: Plan B

It was an interesting week. The S&P500 traded little change and within a narrow range. The VIX (equities volatility) Index traded intraweek to the low [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Apr 21, 2023
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