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Credit Bubble Weekly • Jan 23 2021
January 22, 2021: Short-Term Unsustainable

Outstanding Treasury Securities began 2008 at $6.051 TN, or 41% of GDP. Treasuries ended 2019 at $19.019 TN, or 87% of GDP. And then, in only three quarters, [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jan 23, 2021
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jan 16 2021
January 15, 2021: The Reality of Financial Dominance

Please join Doug Noland and David McAlvany this Thursday, January 21st, at 4:00pm Eastern/ 2:00pm Mountain time for the Tactical Short Q4 recap conference [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jan 16, 2021
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jan 09 2021
January 8, 2021: Issues 2021

Fragility. Last year exposed myriad fragilities. The U.S. stock market went from all-time highs to an emergency FOMC meeting in ten sessions. The S&P500 [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jan 9, 2021
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jan 02 2021
January 1, 2021: 2020 Year in Review

Over 350,000 Americans dead, with the Covid death toll projected to rise another 150,000 by the end of January. Confirmed Covid cases have exceeded 20 million [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jan 2, 2021
Credit Bubble Weekly • Dec 25 2020
December 25, 2020: Just the Facts

For the Week: The S&P500 slipped 0.2% (up 14.6% y-t-d), while the Dow was little changed (up 5.8%). The Utilities declined 0.9% (down 2.9%). The Banks [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Dec 25, 2020
Credit Bubble Weekly • Dec 19 2020
December 18, 2020: $10.275 TN in Nine Months

Federal Reserve Assets surged $120 billion last week to a record $7.363 TN. Fed Assets inflated $3.593 TN, or 95%, over the past 66 weeks. M2 “money” [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Dec 19, 2020
Credit Bubble Weekly • Dec 12 2020
December 11, 2020: Unnecessary Head Scratching: Q3 2020 Z.1

Airbnb traded to $165 in early Thursday trading, more than doubling its Wednesday evening $68 IPO price – valuing the company north of $100 billion. [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Dec 12, 2020
Credit Bubble Weekly • Dec 05 2020
December 4, 2020: Monetary Disorder In Extremis

November non-farm payrolls gained 245,000, only about half the mean forecast – and down from October’s 610,000. It was the weakest job growth since [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Dec 5, 2020
Credit Bubble Weekly • Nov 28 2020
November 27, 2020: Pondering the New Treasury Secretary

The U.S. Goods Trade Deficit jumped to a then record $76 billion back in July 2008. A few short months later, financial chaos unleashed the “great [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Nov 28, 2020
Credit Bubble Weekly • Nov 21 2020
November 20, 2020: Scorched Earth

November 18 – Reuters (Rodrigo Campos): “Global debt is expected to soar to a record $277 trillion by the end of the year as governments and companies [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Nov 21, 2020
Credit Bubble Weekly • Nov 14 2020
November 13, 2020: Well, That’s Some Weird… Stuff

The “average stock” Value Line Arithmetic Index jumped 6.4% for the week. The NYSE Arca Oil Index surged 19.8%, with the Philadelphia Oil Services Index up [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Nov 14, 2020
Credit Bubble Weekly • Nov 07 2020
November 6, 2020: Critical Juncture

We’ve grown accustomed to the “new normal”: Stock market ebullience even as the country suffers through a distressing confluence of hardships. The [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Nov 7, 2020
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