Credit Bubble Weekly

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Credit Bubble Weekly • Dec 22 2018
December 21, 2018: Powell Federal Reserves Lowers “Fed Put” Strike Price

I have little confidence history will get this right. Today’s overwhelming consensus view holds that Powell this week committed a major policy blunder. After [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Dec 22, 2018
Credit Bubble Weekly • Dec 15 2018
December 14, 2018: The Perils of Inflationism

December 13 – Financial Times (Chris Giles and Claire Jones): “When the European Central Bank switches off its money-printing press at the turn of this [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Dec 15, 2018
Credit Bubble Weekly • Dec 07 2018
December 7, 2018: Q3 2018 Z.1 and THE Cycle Peak

Total Non-Financial Debt (NFD) expanded at a 4.4% annual rate during Q3 to a record $51.324 TN. Since the end of 2008, NFD has increased $16.3 TN, or 46%. [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Dec 7, 2018
Credit Bubble Weekly • Nov 30 2018
November 30, 2018: Framework for Monitoring Financial Stability

Upon the public release of Jerome Powell’s Wednesday speech came the Bloomberg headline: “Powell: No Preset Policy Path, Rates ‘Just [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Nov 30, 2018
Credit Bubble Weekly • Nov 23 2018
November 23, 2018: Just the Facts

For the Week: The S&P500 dropped 3.8% (down 1.5% y-t-d), and the Dow fell 4.4% (down 1.8%). The Utilities declined 1.4% (up 1.4%). The Banks lost 2.3% [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Nov 23, 2018
Credit Bubble Weekly • Nov 16 2018
November 16, 2018: Canary in the Credit Market’s Coal Mine

What ever happened to “Six Sigma”? GE was one of the most beloved and hyped S&P500 stocks during the late-nineties Bubble Era. With [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Nov 16, 2018
Credit Bubble Weekly • Nov 09 2018
November 9, 2018: Back to Fundamentals

The Dow (DJIA) jumped 545 points (2.1%) in Wednesday’s post-midterms trading. The S&P500’s 2.1% rise was overshadowed by the Nasdaq [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Nov 9, 2018
Credit Bubble Weekly • Nov 02 2018
November 2, 2018: MBS and the Core

The Dow (DJIA) traded as low as 24,122 in late-Monday afternoon trading. By Friday’s open, the Dow had rallied 1,457 points, or 6.0%, to 25,579. [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Nov 2, 2018
Credit Bubble Weekly • Oct 29 2018
October 26, 2018: “Whatever They Want” Coming Home to Roost

Let’s begin with global. China’s yuan (CNY) traded to 6.9644 to the dollar in early-Friday trading, almost matching the low (vs. dollar) from [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Oct 29, 2018
Credit Bubble Weekly • Oct 19 2018
October 19, 2018: Moscovici and the National Team

From the perspective of monitoring an unfolding global crisis, things turned only more concerning this week. The Shanghai Composite declined to 2,450 in early [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Oct 19, 2018
Credit Bubble Weekly • Oct 12 2018
October 12, 2018: Rude Awakening Coming

Please join Doug Noland and David McAlvany this Thursday, October 18th at 4:00PM EST/ 2:00pm MST for the Tactical Short Q3 recap conference call, “Market [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Oct 12, 2018
Credit Bubble Weekly • Oct 06 2018
October 5, 2018: Contemporary Finance’s Defect

October 3 – CNBC (Jeff Cox): “Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said the central bank has a ways to go yet before it gets interest rates to [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Oct 6, 2018
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