Credit Bubble Weekly

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Credit Bubble Weekly • Sep 29 2018
September 28, 2018: Portending an Interesting Q4

“Those who do not learn history are doomed to repeat it.” I’ll add that those that learn the wrong lessons from Bubbles are doomed to face [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Sep 29, 2018
Credit Bubble Weekly • Sep 21 2018
September 21, 2018: Q2 2018 Z.1 Flow of Funds

Non-Financial Debt (NFD) expanded at a seasonally-adjusted and annualized rate (SAAR) of $2.283 TN during the second quarter. While this was down from [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Sep 21, 2018
Credit Bubble Weekly • Sep 16 2018
September 16, 2018: Just the Facts

For the Week: The S&P500 gained 1.2% (up 8.7% y-t-d), and the Dow added 0.9% (up 5.8%). The Utilities increased 0.4% (up 1.9%). The Banks dropped 2.1% (up [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Sep 16, 2018
Credit Bubble Weekly • Sep 07 2018
September 7, 2018: Approaching the 10-Year Anniversary

We’re rapidly Approaching the 10-year Anniversary of the 2008 financial crisis. Exactly one decade ago to the day (September 7, 2008), Fannie Mae and [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Sep 7, 2018
Credit Bubble Weekly • Aug 31 2018
August 31, 2018: Unassailable

I’ve been here before and, candidly, it’s not much fun. Lodged in my mind this week was the brilliant quote from the 19th century German [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Aug 31, 2018
Credit Bubble Weekly • Aug 24 2018
August 24, 2018: Powell, Greenspan and Whatever it Takes

Fed Chairman Powell is in a tough spot, one made no easier now that he’s on the receiving end of disapproving presidential tweets. The global Bubble has [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Aug 24, 2018
Credit Bubble Weekly • Aug 17 2018
August 17, 2018: Instability

With the Turkish lira down another 6.6% in Monday trading, global “Risk Off” market Instability was turning acute. The U.S. dollar index jumped to [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Aug 17, 2018
Credit Bubble Weekly • Aug 11 2018
August 10, 2018: Turkey (Nudged Over the Cliff)

The Turkish lira sank 13.7% in chaotic Friday trading. The lira’s 21.0% “worst week in 17 years” collapse pushed y-t-d losses to 41.1%. [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Aug 11, 2018
Credit Bubble Weekly • Aug 03 2018
August 3, 2018: “Periphery to Core Crisis Dynamics”

The renminbi traded at 6.8935 in early-Friday trading, with intensified selling pushing the Chinese currency to its lowest level (vs. the $) since May 26, [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Aug 3, 2018
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jul 27 2018
July 27, 2018: Latent Fragilities

I have a rather simple Bubble definition: “A self-reinforcing but inevitably unsustainable inflation.” Most Bubble discussions center on the [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jul 27, 2018
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jul 21 2018
July 20, 2018: Intimidate Nobody

Strangely perhaps, but late in the week my thoughts returned to James Carville’s 1992 comment: “I used to think that if there was reincarnation, I [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jul 21, 2018
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jul 13 2018
July 13, 2018: $247 Trillion and (Rapidly) Counting

Please join us Thursday, July 19th, at 4:30 pm Eastern for the McAlvany Wealth Management Tactical Short Q2 Recap (“Cracks in the Global Bubble”) [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jul 13, 2018
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