Credit Bubble Weekly

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Credit Bubble Weekly • May 12 2023
May 12, 2023: China Bubble Deflation Watch

Two-year Treasury yields traded at 4.06% Wednesday, just ahead of the CPI data release. Yields sank to 3.87% intraday Wednesday and were as low as 3.81% [...]

Doug Noland Posted on May 12, 2023
Credit Bubble Weekly • May 05 2023
May 5, 2023: “Extraordinarily Sound”

Another humdrum week. The second largest bank failure in U.S. history – to start things off, making for three of the top four over just the past two [...]

Doug Noland Posted on May 5, 2023
Credit Bubble Weekly • Apr 29 2023
April 28, 2023: Animal or Lab?

For years, we’ve been told the banking system is sound and highly-capitalized – that lessons were learned from the 2008 crisis. Importantly, the Fed would [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Apr 29, 2023
Credit Bubble Weekly • Apr 21 2023
April 21, 2023: Plan B

It was an interesting week. The S&P500 traded little change and within a narrow range. The VIX (equities volatility) Index traded intraweek to the low [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Apr 21, 2023
Credit Bubble Weekly • Apr 15 2023
April 14, 2023: Perilous “Money”

Please join Doug Noland and David McAlvany this coming Thursday, April 20th, at 4:00 pm Eastern/ 2:00 pm Mountain time for the Tactical Short Q1 recap [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Apr 15, 2023
Credit Bubble Weekly • Apr 08 2023
April 7, 2023: U.S. Economy Slowing, Kuroda Going

April 7 – Bloomberg (Alexandre Tanzi): “US bank lending contracted by the most on record in the last two weeks of March, indicating a substantial [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Apr 8, 2023
Credit Bubble Weekly • Apr 01 2023
March 31, 2023: That Was Interesting

A quarter that began with The Big Squeeze – only to be interrupted by a banking crisis and intense policy response – concluded with a reemergence of [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Apr 1, 2023
Credit Bubble Weekly • Mar 25 2023
March 24, 2023: The Big Pivot

Germany’s Deutsche Bank CDS spiked 30 higher intraday Friday, to 210 bps – surpassing panicky market levels from last October and even March 2020. Deutsche [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Mar 25, 2023
Credit Bubble Weekly • Mar 18 2023
March 17, 2023: Fire

It is commonly believed that the “Great Financial Crisis” could have been avoided had the Federal Reserve bailed out Lehman Brothers. This is along the [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Mar 18, 2023
Credit Bubble Weekly • Mar 11 2023
March 10, 2023: Silicon Valley Bust

Especially from the Credit Bubble perspective, it was a troubling week. A more hawkish Fed Chair in the face of escalating systemic risk. Two bank failures, [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Mar 11, 2023
Credit Bubble Weekly • Mar 04 2023
March 3, 2023: Calm Before the Storm

Ten-year Treasury yields traded as high as 4.09% this week, the high since November 9th. Benchmark MBS yields rose to 5.67%, up 100 bps over the past month, [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Mar 4, 2023
Credit Bubble Weekly • Feb 25 2023
February 24, 2023: Perils of Unsound Money

Archaic perhaps, but I am an impassioned proponent of sound money – and have been for a long time. It’s vital – fundamental. The Austrian School of [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Feb 25, 2023
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