Precious Truth Our modern-market circus kicked off this week with the second largest bank failure in US history as First Republic Bank went bust. The [...]

Crisis is a Process The market narrative this week was split between stagflation, as economic growth slows but elevated inflation signals remain far [...]

Author Nassim Taleb accurately observed that, “experience in finance with a discount rate near zero is like having studied physics except without [...]

Famed Austrian economist Ludwig Von Mises warned that the Keynesian means of delivering “apparent prosperity” was inherently unsustainable. The [...]

Seat Belts Fastened; a Hard Landing Seems Likely Given the long holiday weekend and travel plans this week, HAI will merely offer weekly prices and a [...]

Return-Free Risk vs. the Economic Truth With the final March tally now in the books, the S&P 500 was up 3.51%, the 10-year US Treasury note [...]

Essentially Broken This week, the regional banking crisis in the US took a back seat to emerging troubles at major European banks. Adding to the [...]

The Ides of March In Shakespeare’s Julius Caesar, the seer warned, “beware the ides of March.” Well, it may not be Shakespeare, and it [...]

Precious Metals at a Crucial Macro Moment This week, BNP Paribas Senior US Economist Yelena Shulyatyeva told Bloomberg, “At this point, it’s [...]

Moment of Truth Over the past two weeks, HAI has highlighted the incredibly important technical support zone between 3,900 and 4,000 on the S&P [...]

The Heat is On Last week, HAI observed that the S&P 500 had broken below the rising trend channel that defined the rally off December lows. The [...]

Magical Disinflation Theory This week, the S&P 500 broke below its rising trend channel that has defined the rally off of December lows. The [...]