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November 21, 2025: Volatile and Fragile

“Nvidia’s Upbeat Forecast Soothes Concerns of AI Market Bubble.” After closing Wednesday at 185.52, Nvidia spiked to a post-earnings report high of 198.49 in early-Thursday trading. The stock then reversed 12% lower to a two-month low of 174.43 – closing Thursday’s session at 180.64. The stock traded back up to 184.56 in Friday trading, before […]

Friday, November 21, 2025

[CNBC] Stocks rebound after Fed’s Williams revives December rate cut hopes: Live updates [AP] Asian stocks track Wall Street’s drop, erasing previous day’s gains [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Wildest Trading Day Since Tariff Shock to Test Dip Buyers’ Nerve [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Big Tech’s Debt Binge Raises Risk in Race to Create an AI World [CNBC] New York Fed President […]

Proactive Positioning in a Lull

Gold and precious metals prices declined this week, relaxing slightly after a hectic autumn run up. The equities markets join the move lower and the dollar pushes back above 100. Even with the short-term pullback, the long-term patterns for gold signal this muli-year climb is not wrapped up yet. Let’s take a look at where […]

Thursday, November 20, 2025

[CNBC] Stocks higher as Nvidia’s strong forecast reignites the AI trade: Live updates [CNBC] Delayed September report shows U.S. economy added 119,000 jobs, more than expected; unemployment rate at 4.4% [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Corporate Insiders Buying Stock Dip at Fastest Pace Since May [Yahoo/Reuters] China imports no US soybeans for second month, Brazil arrivals up 29% [Yahoo/Reuters] […]

Wednesday, November 19, 2025

[CNBC] Stocks rise with Nvidia earnings ahead, S&P 500 and Dow try to snap 4-day losing streak: Live updates [Yahoo/Reuters] Investors pull record $523 million from BlackRock’s flagship bitcoin ETF [Reuters] What Fed cut? US repo rates still high as liquidity tightens into year-end [CNBC] Mortgage rates hit highest level in a month, pushing loan […]

Best Risk Hedge: Gold Or Crypto?

Bitcoin Behaving As A Stock Market Mirror & Not A Hedge Are Annuities Becoming The Bag Holders? Watch The Webinar – The Next Regime Playbook “Silver is a different animal. No central bank buying eats it up. Investor demand in competition with increasing industrial demand—those are the two most critical elements, and you’re dealing with […]

Tuesday, November 18, 2025

[CNBC] S&P 500 drops for a fourth day as tech shares slump, bitcoin breaks below $90,000: Live updates [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Japan Bond Rout Deepens on Fears Over Takaichi’s Fiscal Package [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Crypto Plunge Adds to Angst as Markets Extend Broad Retreat [CNBC] Bitcoin briefly falls below $90,000 to lowest since April as cryptocurrency gives up 2025 […]

Keep the Big Picture in Mind

The McAlvany analysts continue to emphasize that, whatever the societal and governmental effects of MAGA might be, the fiscal effects appear to be inadequate to overcome (or might exacerbate the effects of) decades of debt abuse, overspending, misspending, and policy errors. This, of course, has massive implications for the greater Trump agenda, but the analysts […]

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