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[Yahoo/Bloomberg] Stocks Steady After Selloff Rattles Globe: Markets Wrap [Reuters] Stocks sag, dollar up as ‘higher for longer’ rate view takes root [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Gold Pauses Rally as Israel Weighs Response to Iran Strike [Yahoo/Bloomberg] China Loosens Grip on Yuan by Weakening Fix Amid Dollar Strength [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Japan’s Yen Hits a Fresh Three-Decade Low of 154 […]

Is the Trend Your Friend? Trend following is such a strong inclination that many people will stick with it right into the teeth of destruction. They believe that people who buck the trend are rude, crude, and socially unacceptable. And that, of course, is a fate worse than death. If you’re in the cohort of […]

[Yahoo/Bloomberg] Oil Steadies, Treasuries Dip as Iran Stresses Ease: Markets Wrap [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Metals Whipsawed as Sanctions on New Russian Supplies Rattle LME [Reuters] Asia stocks slide, gold rises as Middle East conflict sparks safety rush [Reuters] Dollar stands tall, yen slides as US rate-cut bets recede [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Hot Commodity Markets Are Dogging Inflation-Wary Central Banks […]

[Reuters] Gulf markets dip in sign of investor concern after Iran attacks Israel [Reuters] Oil seen opening up after Iran’s attack on Israel, but further gains may depend on response [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Markets weigh risk of retaliation cycle after Iran hits Israel [Reuters] Iran warns Israel against retaliation, global powers urge restraint [Reuters] Iran and Israel’s […]

Under Pressure Last week HAI featured a very notable comment from economist Mohamad El-Erian. This week let’s start there. Following the latest FOMC meeting and Powell presser El-Erian said, “It would not surprise me if future economic history books were to look back at the last week in central banking as marking a move away […]

[Reuters] Iran seizes cargo ship in Strait of Hormuz after threats to close waterway [Reuters] Wall St Week Ahead Surging US energy shares reflect robust growth, inflation worries [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Blackstone Leads $2 Billion Private Loan for Data Center Firm [Reuters] Ukraine’s army chief says eastern front under intense Russian assault [Yahoo/Bloomberg] War in Ukraine Enters […]

Unique “global government finance Bubble” dynamics some years back compelled an adjustment to one of my favorite maxims. Instead of doubling, Bubbles inflate to unimaginable extremes – and then quadruple. Bubbles can inflate for a long time, sustained by loose financial conditions and government rescues. There will always be ebbs and flows. Scares and shocks […]

[Yahoo/Bloomberg] Gold Jumps to Top $2,400 as Middle East Risks Stoke Demand [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Stocks Drop as Traders Parse Big Bank Earnings: Markets Wrap [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Oil Resumes Gain as Israel Prepares for Potential Iran Attack [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Japan’s Five-Year Yield Rises to Highest Since 2011 on BOJ Bets [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Emerging-Market Currencies Hit Two-Month Low on Flight From […]