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Thinking Very Big – February 14, 2025

Thinking Very Big Ahead of the Presidents’ Day long weekend, HAI will be reduced to just a few short comments on the latest week in the wild, wild world of markets. This week’s reports for both consumer price inflation (CPI) and producer price inflation (PPI) came in hot—pretty much across the board—for January. The data […]

Saturday, February 15, 2025

[AP] Trump’s reciprocal tariffs will overturn decades of trade policy [Reuters] Wall St Week Ahead Walmart to shed light on consumer health as inflation bites, tariffs swirl [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Charting the Global Economy: US Inflation Picks Up Ahead of Tariffs [Fortune] How does a VAT work? Here’s why Europe’s consumption tax has Trump vowing reciprocal tariffs […]

February 14, 2025: Declaring the Reciprocal Tariff Regime

February 13, 2025: For the record, the S&P500 gained 1.04% for the session, and the Nasdaq100 jumped 1.43%. The Semiconductors rose 1.29% and the Russell 2000 1.17%. The Goldman Sachs Most Short Index surged 3.4%. The VIX declined 0.8 to a three-week low of 15.1. The MOVE (bond volatility) index fell two to a two-month […]

Friday, February 14, 2025

[Reuters] Gold set for seventh weekly gain as trade war risks lift demand [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Stocks Edge Lower After Days of Tariff Drama: Markets Wrap [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Oil Nudges Higher as Bessent Says US Wants to Cut Iran Exports [Yahoo/Bloomberg] AI Hype Supercharges Chinese Stocks to Near Three-Year High [AP] US retail sales plunged last month as […]

Gold Hits New All-Time Highs | Market Insights & Inflation Concerns

Gold and platinum continue to march higher, while silver and palladium buck the overall trend. Let’s take a look at where prices stand as of our recording on February 12: The price of gold is up 1.25% to around $2904 — not a huge change week over week. However, gold did reach a high of […]

Thursday, February 13, 2025

[Yahoo/Bloomberg] Euro Erases Gains as Trump Signals New Tariffs: Markets Wrap [Yahoo/Bloomberg] US Bonds Rise After Hot Inflation Fuels Worst Day Since December [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Oil Falls Further as Trump Flags Russia Talks to End Ukraine War [Yahoo/Reuters] Trump says reciprocal tariffs are coming on Thursday: ‘Today is the big one’ [AP] Trump says he’ll sign […]

Wednesday, February 12, 2025

[Yahoo/Bloomberg] Stocks Slide and Bond Yields Spike on Strong CPI: Markets Wrap [CNBC] 10-year Treasury yield shoots above 4.6% after hot CPI report [Reuters] Oil prices fall on rising US crude stocks, hawkish Fed comments [CNBC] Consumer prices rise 0.5% in January, higher than expected [AP] US inflation worsened last month in latest sign of […]

A Weaker Dollar Is On Trump’s Agenda

Gold Price In Dollars To Rise China Approves Gold Now In Its Insurance Company Portfolios Russian Consumer Demand For Gold Up 60% Since Ukraine Invasion “A weaker dollar is on the agenda, and this is a decided shift to force the dollar lower on a managed basis, ultimately will require a multilateral currency agreement that […]

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