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David looks at why private credit may be setting the stage for the next major financial break. They walk through the growing risks in insurance portfolios, private equity, and commercial banking, and why more of that exposure may be finding its way toward everyday investors. The episode also covers recession pressure, energy shocks, interest rates, […]
If the times were a-changin’ for Bob Dylan in 1963, how should we describe them in 2026? When Δeverything = ∞, or seems to, you’ll be excused if you need to sit down and wait for your head to stop spinning. Such a rate of change makes analysis challenging—not because a given analyst lacks insight, […]
Grand Global Economic Reordering? The most important factor determining the fate of asset prices across the board in the very short-term is greater clarity on the outcome of events in the Middle East, as HAI sees it. That means that unless one knows the detailed inner dealings of all sides involved in the conflict, this […]
Volatility continued to shake the markets this week as ongoing geopolitical developments drive markets in short-term swings. Despite the volatility, precious metals continue their climb with gold posting modest gains and silver nearing $75. Platinum and palladium lead the way with strong gains of 7% and 9% respectively. With the metals holding strong against volatility, […]
Iranian Oil Toll System Accelerates Petroyuan We Are Handing Monetary Transition To Chinese On A Silver Platter U.S. Is Having A Hard Time Selling Enough U.S. Treasuries “We’re handing this monetary transition to the Chinese on a silver platter. And Trump may have had a plan in Iran when he started, but I doubt he […]
Mike Tyson once cogently observed that, “everyone has a plan till they get punched in the mouth.” Is Donald Trump living through this fact of life today? There is trouble in Iran. The war is not going as planned. Is it the beginning of the end for President Trump and America as the world’s heavyweight […]
This week, in an article titled “Foreign central banks sell U.S. Treasuries in wake of Iran war,” the Financial Times reported that since the Iran war started, international official holdings of U.S. Treasuries held at New York Federal Reserve have fallen to the lowest levels since 2012. According to the FT: “Foreign central banks have slashed their […]
The long-term trend in gold and silver remains constructive, even if the path higher is uneven. Gold and silver both posted strong first-quarter gains, yet March delivered the kind of correction that tests conviction and rewards discipline. Let’s take a look at where precious metals prices stand as of Wednesday, April 1: The price of […]
