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[Reuters] Russia steps up assault on east Ukraine, Putin threatens countries that intervene [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Ukraine Latest: EU Says Ruble Accounts for Gas Violate Sanctions [Reuter] Russia warns West: Don’t test our patience [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Nasdaq Jumps as Tech Earnings Soothe Nerves: Markets Wrap [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Oil Extends Bumpy Week as Traders Weigh China’s Demand Hit [Yahoo/Bloomberg] BOJ […]

The five causes of prolonged warfare The pathways to avoiding prolonged warfare Realizing the economics of the War decision can lead to peaceful compromise Why We Fight: Interview with Christopher Blattman April 26, 2022 “Narratives can unravel this interdependence and they can actually accentuate our misperceptions. They are very powerful, so they work both ways, […]

[Yahoo/Bloomberg] Ukraine Latest: EU Warns Ruble Payments for Gas Breach Sanctions [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Russia to Cut Gas to Poland, Bulgaria Until Pay Demands Met [Reuters] EU brands Russian gas halt ‘blackmail’, working on response [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Stocks Rebound as Dip Buyers Swoop In: Markets Wrap [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Euro’s Five-Year Low Puts Parity in Spotlight as Russia Ups Ante […]

[AP] Russia pounds eastern Ukraine as West promises Kyiv new arms [Reuters] Moscow cites risk of nuclear war as U.S., allies pledge heavier arms for Ukraine [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Ukraine Latest: Austin Hosts Talks on Boosting Kyiv’s Military [AP] Russia hits faraway targets; diplomat warns of risk of WWIII [Reuters] Kremlin voices concern after blasts hit breakaway […]

[MSN/WP] U.S. wants Russian military ‘weakened’ from Ukraine invasion, Austin says [AP] Russia hits rail, fuel facilities in attacks deep in Ukraine [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Ukraine Latest: U.S. Pledges Aid as Blinken, Austin Visit Kyiv [Reuters] Russia warns United States against sending more arms to Ukraine [Reuters] Brussels prepares to hit Russia with ‘smart sanctions’ on oil […]

[Yahoo/Bloomberg] Ukraine Latest: Fresh Calls for Mariupol Ceasefire, Evacuations [AP] Ukraine leader pushes for more arms; US officials to visit [MSN/NYT] As Western Arms Pour Into Ukraine, Zelensky Promises Victory [AP] Macron vs Le Pen: France votes in tense presidential runoff [CNN] Beijing races to contain ‘urgent and grim’ Covid outbreak as Shanghai lockdown continues […]

The Markets Open One Eye to Danger Last week’s HAI pointed out that a storm is brewing. We are facing a complicated set of interrelated problems. Some of these problems are already present. Some are incubating and maturing. They are well on their way to joining the gathering storm shortly, just as surely as “the […]

[Yahoo/Bloomberg] Ukraine Latest: Russian Strikes on Mariupol; Easter Curfews Set [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Zelenskiy Warns on Russian Ambitions After General’s Comments [AP] Sanctions hit Russian economy, although Putin says otherwise [Reuters] Fierce winds drive wildfires in U.S. Southwest [Reuters] Anger mounts among locked-down Shanghai residents as city reports more COVID deaths [Reuters] Russia to deploy Sarmat missiles […]