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The content creators whose work is summarized below continue to evaluate market, investor, national, and consumer reactions to Trump Administration policies. Things are moving very fast, and Trump policies vary from day to day, so long-term predictions are difficult. However, stress in the markets and in the minds of consumers are real. Recession is possible. […]

[Yahoo/Bloomberg] US Stocks Fall With Dollar, Crude Oil Sinks: Markets Wrap [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Gold Rises After Weekly Loss Before Fed Rate Decision This Week [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Oil Drops as OPEC+ Supply Surge Threatens to Swamp Global Market [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Taiwan’s Markets Jolted as Currency Surges Most Since 1980s [Yahoo/Reuters] Dollar under water as surge in Taiwan dollar spills […]

[Reuters] Wall St Week Ahead Fed outlook in focus as US stocks rally picks up steam [CNBC] ‘Dumpster fire’: Retailers urge shoppers to buy now before tariffs raise prices [Reuters] Exclusive: OPEC+ to further speed up oil output hikes, five sources say [BBC] How Carney’s election win will change direction of trade war [Reuters] Russia’s […]

The Uncertainty Variable In HAI‘s view, the current uncertainty variable for markets and the economy ranks as off the charts. That’s no insignificant matter given that the natural human reaction to uncertainty and volatility is to freeze up. As such, a potential freezing up of the economy this summer is a clear and present risk. […]

[Yahoo/Bloomberg] In Wall Street’s Epic Comeback, Unsolved Market Mysteries Abound [Yahoo/Reuters] Trump says US in transition period, downplays impact of short-term recession [Axios] The biggest winners and losers in Trump’s budget [Reuters] US equity funds see outflows for third straight week [Reuters] OPEC+ agrees another accelerated oil output hike for June [Reuters] Hong Kong authority […]

In a way, it’s all going down as it typically would. “Risk off” gains sufficient momentum to spark destabilizing deleveraging. Markets approach the abyss, before well-timed policy responses trigger a powerful market recoil. Huge bearish derivatives positions – for hedging and downside bets – foment instability. On the market’s downside, the sellers of put options […]

[CNBC] Stocks gain on solid jobs report, hope for China trade talks: Live updates [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Oil Set for Weekly Loss Amid Trade War, Iran Risks, OPEC+ Moves [CNBC] U.S. payroll growth totals 177,000 in April, topping expectations [Yahoo/Bloomberg] No Fed Cuts Until September Despite Rising Risks, Economists Say [AP] White House will unveil Trump’s 2026 […]

This week gold and silver took a small decline. Gold is still up 5% over April, holding strong in the long-term trend. Let’s take a look at where prices stand as of Wednesday, April 30: The price of gold is down about 1.2%, sitting at $3,290 as of this recording. But it is up 5% […]