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Credit Bubble Weekly • Jun 11 2016
Weekly Commentary: Historic Crazy

Friday was one of those market days that left an uncomfortable feeling in the pit of my stomach. U.S. markets have been resilient thus far, with the S&P500 [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jun 11, 2016
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jun 04 2016
Weekly Commentary: Monkey with Money at Your Own Peril

With markets on the rather quiet side, I awoke Friday anticipating a more theoretical focus for this week’s CBB. But then May’s surprisingly dismal jobs [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jun 4, 2016
Credit Bubble Weekly • May 28 2016
Weekly Commentary: Just the Facts

For the week: The S&P500 jumped 2.3% (up 2.7% y-t-d), and the Dow gained 2.1% (up 2.6%). The Utilities increased 1.0% (up 11.7%). The Banks jumped 3.2% [...]

Doug Noland Posted on May 28, 2016
Credit Bubble Weekly • May 21 2016
Weekly Commentary: Unambiguous Signals Disregarded

May 20 – Bloomberg (Susanne Walker Barton): “Treasuries fell, heading for their biggest weekly drop since November, as Federal Reserve officials indicated [...]

Doug Noland Posted on May 21, 2016
Credit Bubble Weekly • May 14 2016
Commentary: Ominous Portents

Friday headlines from Bloomberg: “Retail Sales Rise Most in a Year, Marking U.S. Consumer Comeback” and “Consumers Turn Out to Be U.S. Growth Lifeline [...]

Doug Noland Posted on May 14, 2016
Credit Bubble Weekly • May 07 2016
Weekly Commentary: Inflection Point for EM

Don’t let a relatively tame week in the S&P 500 engender complacency. Perhaps it was not obvious, yet the trading week provided important confirmation [...]

Doug Noland Posted on May 7, 2016
Credit Bubble Weekly • Apr 30 2016
Weekly Commentary: The Red Line

April 25 – Financial Times (Jennifer Hughes): “Stand easy — or easier, at least. Ten basis points might not be the biggest one-day change for borrowing [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Apr 30, 2016
Credit Bubble Weekly • Apr 23 2016
Weekly Commentary: More on China

Let’s return to last week’s theme of China as the “marginal source of global Credit and liquidity” for a runaway global Bubble that has been pierced at [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Apr 23, 2016
Credit Bubble Weekly • Apr 16 2016
Weekly Commentary: Pushing Desperate Measures Too Far

Another unsettled week for global markets. Japan’s Nikkei equities index rallied 6.5%. Italian bank stocks surged 10%, with the Europe STOXX 600 Bank Index [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Apr 16, 2016
Credit Bubble Weekly • Apr 09 2016
Weekly Commentary: Bubble Economy or Not?

“The US economy has made tremendous progress in recovering from the damage from the financial crisis. Slowly but surely the labor market is healing. For [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Apr 9, 2016
Credit Bubble Weekly • Apr 02 2016
Weekly Commentary: Another Coin in the Fuse Box

It’s not as if we’re lacking history as to how this works. Some two decades ago the Greenspan Fed’s “asymmetrical” (baby-step “tightening” [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Apr 2, 2016
Credit Bubble Weekly • Mar 26 2016
Weekly Commentary: All is Not Well

The 1987 stock market crash raised concerns for the dangers associated with mounting U.S. “twin deficits.” Fiscal and trade deficits were reflective of [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Mar 26, 2016
Credit Bubble Weekly • Mar 19 2016
Weekly Commentary: Q4 2015 Flow of Funds

I’d been waiting patiently for the Fed’s Q4 2015 Z.1 “flow of funds” report. The fourth quarter was a period of financial instability and tightened [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Mar 19, 2016
Credit Bubble Weekly • Mar 12 2016
Weekly Commentary: Thesis Update

With global risk markets staging a significant rally, it’s an appropriate time to update my bursting global Bubble thesis. Three weeks ago I titled a CBB [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Mar 12, 2016
Credit Bubble Weekly • Mar 12 2016
Weekly Commentary: Thesis Update

With global risk markets staging a significant rally, it’s an appropriate time to update my bursting global Bubble thesis. Three weeks ago I titled a CBB [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Mar 12, 2016
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