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Credit Bubble Weekly • Sep 17 2016
Weekly Commentary: Risk Off, the BOJ and China

Is a meaningful de-risking/de-leveraging episode possible with global central banks injecting liquidity at the current almost $2.0 TN annualized pace? Thus [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Sep 17, 2016
Credit Bubble Weekly • Sep 10 2016
Weekly Commentary: Reversals

Commenting on Friday’s jump in global bond yields, a fund manager on Bloomberg Television downplayed the move: “Yields are back to where they were last [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Sep 10, 2016
Credit Bubble Weekly • Sep 03 2016
Weekly Commentary: Just the Facts

For the Week: The S&P500 added 0.5% (up 6.7% y-t-d), and the Dow increased 0.5% (up 6.1%). The Utilities gained 0.9% (up 14.7%). The Banks jumped 2.2% [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Sep 3, 2016
Credit Bubble Weekly • Aug 27 2016
Weekly Commentary: Yellen Unveiling, Jackson Hole 2016

“The Global Financial Crisis and Great Recession posed daunting new challenges for central banks around the world and spurred innovations in the design, [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Aug 27, 2016
Credit Bubble Weekly • Aug 20 2016
Weekly Commentary: The “Neutral Rate”

“The neutral (or natural) rate of interest is the rate at which real GDP is growing at its trend rate, and inflation is stable. It is attributed to Swedish [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Aug 20, 2016
Credit Bubble Weekly • Aug 13 2016
Weekly Commentary: Inflation

(Email from reader T.B.) “These various stages of capitalism, or finance, are interesting and descriptive. But I think the progression is rather simply [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Aug 13, 2016
Credit Bubble Weekly • Aug 13 2016
Weekly Commentary: Inflation

(Email from reader T.B.) “These various stages of capitalism, or finance, are interesting and descriptive. But I think the progression is rather simply [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Aug 13, 2016
Credit Bubble Weekly • Aug 06 2016
Weekly Commentary: Updating Government Finance Quasi-Capitalism

I found my thoughts this week returning to Hyman Minsky, financial evolution and Capitalism. Updating my 2013 Government Finance Quasi-Capitalism thesis seemed [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Aug 6, 2016
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jul 30 2016
Weekly Commentary: Bubble Battles

July 29 – Wall Street Journal (Anjani Trivedi): “The Bank of Japan is retreating into some much-needed introspection. And while it prepares to do this, it [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jul 30, 2016
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jul 23 2016
Weekly Commentary: Don’t Mess with Turkey

July 20 – Financial Times (Eric Platt): “The Turkish lira weakened a new record low against the greenback on Wednesday after the country was cut deeper [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jul 23, 2016
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jul 16 2016
Weekly Commentary: Scary Time

Just another week of the “new normal”. Celebratory talk of “helicopter money,” a melt-up in stocks, another terrorist attack in France and a coup [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jul 16, 2016
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jul 09 2016
Weekly Commentary: Sovereign Market Dislocation and Derivatives Turmoil

Seven UK mutual funds thus far have halted withdrawals and/or taken significant write-downs on fund asset values. Combined fund assets are about 20 billion [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jul 9, 2016
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jul 02 2016
Weekly Commentary: Greenspan on Bubbles

Bloomberg’s Tom Keene (Monday, June 27, 2016): “If I take Paul Krugman and Alan Greenspan’s primal cry, ‘we want simple models.’ Is our solution now [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jul 2, 2016
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jun 25 2016
Weekly Commentary: Majority Mad as Hell

“In this unique exploration of the role of risk in our society, Peter Bernstein argues that the notion of bringing risk under control is one of the central [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jun 25, 2016
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jun 18 2016
Weekly Commentary: Reminiscing about 2012

Credit booms are powerfully reinforcing. New Credit provides additional purchasing power that spurs spending, economic output, corporate earnings/cash-flow and [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jun 18, 2016
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