Credit Bubble Weekly

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Credit Bubble Weekly • Apr 07 2017
April 7, 2017: Just the Facts

For the Week: The S&P500 slipped 0.3% (up 5.2% y-t-d), while the Dow was about unchanged (up 4.5%). The Utilities added 0.3% (up 5.3%). The Banks fell 1.2% [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Apr 7, 2017
Credit Bubble Weekly • Mar 31 2017
March 31, 2017: Q1: Sure Bets That Weren’t

An intriguing first quarter. The year began with bullish exuberance for the Trump policy agenda. With the GOP finally in control of Washington, there was now [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Mar 31, 2017
Credit Bubble Weekly • Mar 24 2017
March 24, 2017: Discussions on the Fed Put

Market focus this week turned to troubled healthcare legislation, with the GOP Friday pulling the vote on the repeal of Obamacare. This “Republican [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Mar 24, 2017
Credit Bubble Weekly • Mar 17 2017
March 17, 2017: Another Missed Opportunity

March 16 – Financial Times (Robin Wigglesworth, Joe Rennison and Nicole Bullock): “When Romeo impatiently hankered after Juliet, the sage friar Lawrence [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Mar 17, 2017
Credit Bubble Weekly • Mar 10 2017
March 10, 2017: Unparalleled Credit and Global Yields

New Fed Q4 Z.1 Credit and flow data was out this week. For the first time since 2007, annual Total Non-Financial Debt (NFD) growth exceeded $2.0 TN – a bogey [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Mar 10, 2017
Credit Bubble Weekly • Mar 03 2017
March 3, 2017: Reality vs. The Neutral Rate

How about a cursory look at recent economic data: February’s 57.7 ISM Manufacturing reading was the strongest since August 2014. New Orders at 65.1 matched [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Mar 3, 2017
Credit Bubble Weekly • Feb 24 2017
February 24, 2017: Risk On/Risk Off Face-off

The DJIA rose 11 straight sessions (“longest streak since the Reagan administration”) to end the week at a record 20,822. The S&P500 gained 0.7% this [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Feb 24, 2017
Credit Bubble Weekly • Feb 17 2017
February 17, 2017: China Credit and Global Inflationary Dynamics

February 14 – Bloomberg: “China added more credit last month than the equivalent of Swedish or Polish economic output, revving up growth and supporting [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Feb 17, 2017
Credit Bubble Weekly • Feb 10 2017
February 10, 2017: Bubbles, Money and the VIX

February 10 – Financial Times (John Authers): “The Importance of Bubbles That Did Not Burst:” “Is there really such a thing as a market bubble? I [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Feb 10, 2017
Credit Bubble Weekly • Feb 03 2017
February 3, 2017: The Wrath

It’s not the first time that a non-farm payrolls rally wiped away inklings of market anxiety. Coming early in the month – and on Fridays – the jobs [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Feb 3, 2017
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jan 27 2017
January 27, 2017: A Dubious Monetary Backdrop

Now that was one eventful week. President Trump wasted not even a minute in making good on a series of campaign promises. A bevy of executive orders moved to [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jan 27, 2017
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jan 20 2017
January 20, 2017 Weekly Commentary: Just the Facts

My sincere apologies. I’ll be back with a complete CBB next week. doug For the Week: The S&P500 was little changed (up 1.5% y-t-d), while the Dow [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jan 20, 2017
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