Credit Bubble Weekly

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Credit Bubble Weekly • Aug 26 2023
August 25, 2023: The Speculative Cycle

While economists won’t ratchet Q3 growth estimates up to match the Atlanta Fed GDPNow’s 5.9%, forecasts will be moving higher. The Unemployment Rate is [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Aug 26, 2023
Credit Bubble Weekly • Aug 19 2023
August 18, 2023: Crisis of Confidence

China’s Bubble deflation has entered the acceleration phase. Going forward, Crisis Dynamics will be increasingly unpredictable and difficult to control. [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Aug 19, 2023
Credit Bubble Weekly • Aug 12 2023
August 11, 2023: Junctures and New Cycles

The lazy days of such a sweltering summer are not when Wall Street would typically be on the lookout for market junctures. Bonds might be at a one: the [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Aug 12, 2023
Credit Bubble Weekly • Aug 05 2023
August 4, 2023: Shot Across the Bow

The two-year versus 10-year Treasury spread narrowed 20 bps this week, the largest narrowing since the banking crisis week of March 17th. Ten-year Treasury [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Aug 5, 2023
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jul 29 2023
July 28, 2023: Nirvana Scenario

Please join Doug Noland and David McAlvany this coming Thursday, August 3rd, at 4:00 pm Eastern/ 2:00 pm Mountain time for the Tactical Short Q2 recap [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jul 29, 2023
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jul 22 2023
July 21, 2023: Time for Resolve

Markets assume that a 25 bps rate increase at the FOMC’s meeting next Wednesday will wrap up the Fed’s tightening cycle. The rates market is pricing in [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jul 22, 2023
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jul 15 2023
July 14, 2023: Battle Lines are Drawn

I might have titled this week’s CBB “Wednesday.” But even I will (on occasion) draw a line on quirkiness. Wednesday was another extraordinary market [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jul 15, 2023
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jul 08 2023
July 7, 2023: Thursday

Wednesday, July 5, 2023: ISI’s Ed Hyman speaking on Bloomberg Television: “Inflation is coming down around the world. They just reported this morning the [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jul 8, 2023
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jul 01 2023
June 30, 2023: Just the Facts

For the Week: The S&P500 gained 2.3% (up 15.9% y-t-d), and the Dow rose 2.0% (up 3.8%). The Utilities increased 0.5% (down 8.1%). The Banks rallied 3.4% [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jul 1, 2023
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jun 24 2023
June 23, 2023: Liquidity Risks

For the most part, things seem to look and feel as they did during the old cycle. Loose financial conditions persist, and securities markets remain energized. [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jun 24, 2023
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jun 17 2023
June 16, 2023: Nietzsche on Bubbles

Remember early in the Fed’s tightening cycle, when Chair Powell would invoke the legacy of Paul Volcker? And there were press conferences where “financial [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jun 17, 2023
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jun 10 2023
June 9, 2023: Q1 ’23 Z1: Shedding Light on Liquidity Dislocation

Not surprisingly, considering the March banking crisis, Non-Financial Debt (NFD) growth was tepid for the second straight quarter. At a 3.50% rate, Q1 NFD [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jun 10, 2023
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