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August 22, 2025: Discounting the Loss of Fed Independence

The Federal Reserve is under assault. Our nation, as we have known, is under assault. Equities, well, they seemingly couldn’t be chippier. Bloomberg: “Wall Street Gets the Rally Signals From Powell It Was Hoping For.” The Friday rally saw the Nasdaq Bank Index jump 4.5%, the Dow Transports 3.3%, the KBW Bank Index 3.2%, the […]

Friday, August 22, 2025

[CNBC] Stocks rise ahead of Powell’s Jackson Hole speech: Live updates [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Bond Market Rate-Cut Bets Face Powell Reckoning at Jackson Hole [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Default Warnings Start to Pile Up in Private Credit Market [Axios] Trump’s pay-me capitalism puts the squeeze on corporate America [AP] Trump’s crackdown in DC leaves residents on edge as federal agents […]

Markets Eye Rate Cuts

This week gold and silver see some small downwards movement following their recent gains. Platinum held steady, while palladium continued its declining slide. The S&P briefly reached a new all-time high before dropping down to 6,400. Meanwhile, the focus shifts to Jackson Hole and what the next Fed meeting will unveil. Let’s take a look […]

Thursday, August 21, 2025

[CNBC] Stocks slip after a 4-day losing streak for S&P 500: Live updates [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Oil Holds Gain After Biggest Drop in US Stockpiles in Two Months [Reuters] US weekly jobless claims rise to highest since June [Reuters] Morning Bid: Jackson Hole to open under Trump’s shadow [Yahoo/Reuters] Fed’s expansive experiment in strategy to get a […]

Wednesday, August 20, 2025

[CNBC] S&P 500 lower as investors await retail earnings, Fed minutes: Live updates [Yahoo/Reuters] Trump calls on Fed Governor Cook to resign [Reuters] Trump again attacks Fed chair, says Powell ‘hurting’ the housing industry [Reuters] Morning Bid: Tech angst on AI doubts [Yahoo/Reuters] Fed minutes could show whether Waller and Bowman had company in favoring […]

Gold & Gold Miners Outperform Stocks & Bitcoin YTD

Could A Breakdown In Bonds Break The Stock Market? Bessent Pressures Bank Of Japan For A Stronger Yen Would Trump Sue The Fed? “We are spending around 600 billion a month, and the US political class has been unwilling to meaningfully cut spending to address our debt issues. Obviously the hope is that we grow […]

Tuesday, August 19, 2025

[CNBC] Stocks ticked down as the market awaits Fed’s Jackson Hole summit, retail earnings: Live updates [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Oil slips as Trump ramps up diplomatic push to end Ukraine war [Yahoo/Reuters] US single-family starts, permits rise in July [Reuters] Morning Bid: Caution on Ukraine, eyes on Jackson Hole [Reuters] US would help assure Ukraine’s security in […]

Things that Change; Things that Stay the Same

Despite the ongoing avalanche of societal, economic, and strategic changes in America and throughout the world, Trump’s priorities—and thus the thrust of events—remain relatively stable. Every week brings a new policy, but not a new priority. America’s economy, military strength, manufacturing health, and citizen welfare remain front and center—the latter being the umbrella category for […]

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