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Credit Bubble Daily • Nov 04 2016
Friday, November 4, 2016

[Bloomberg] Stocks Extend Pre-Vote Selloff as Treasuries Gain; Lira Weakens [Bloomberg] Oil Heads for Weekly Drop After Erasing OPEC Algiers Deal Gains [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Nov 4, 2016
Credit Bubble Daily • Nov 03 2016
Thursday, November 3, 2016

[Reuters] S&P 500 losing streak runs to 8 days as Facebook weighs [Bloomberg] Is China Repeating Japan’s Missteps? [Reuters] Egypt floats pound, eyes IMF [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Nov 3, 2016
Credit Bubble Daily • Nov 02 2016
Wednesday, November 2, 2016

        Evening Links [Bloomberg] Fed Sets Up Possible December Move While Leaving Rates on Hold [Bloomberg] December Fed Hike Odds Approach 80% as Traders [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Nov 2, 2016
Credit Bubble Weekly • Oct 29 2016
Weekly Commentary: Peak Monetary Stimulus

October 28 – Bloomberg (Eliza Ronalds-Hannon and Claire Boston): “After all central bankers have done since the financial crisis to prop up bond prices, it [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Oct 29, 2016
Credit Bubble Weekly • Oct 22 2016
Weekly Commentary: The Latest on China’s Mortgage Finance Bubble

It’s been a full seven days since a CBB focused on China… Important – confirmation of the thesis – data again this week. October 21 – Reuters [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Oct 22, 2016
Credit Bubble Weekly • Oct 15 2016
Weekly Commentary: The Perils of a Resurgent China Credit Boom

There’s this uneasiness – an eeriness – in the markets; in the world (I’m not touching politics). Seemingly out of nowhere, the U.S. dollar index [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Oct 15, 2016
Credit Bubble Weekly • Oct 08 2016
Weekly Commentary: Matthew, Near Misses and Flash Crashes

Clearly, the National Hurricane Center, The Weather Channel, meteorologists and disaster consultants have succumbed to the cult of fear mongering. “Extremely [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Oct 8, 2016
Credit Bubble Weekly • Oct 01 2016
Weekly Commentary: A Take on Deutsche Bank

September 30 – Wall Street Journal (James Mackintosh): “Lehman failed the way all banks fail: It ran out of cash and liquid assets it could quickly sell to [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Oct 1, 2016
Credit Bubble Weekly • Sep 24 2016
Weekly Commentary: Like Old Times: Q2 2016 Flow of Funds

The beginning of the year seems ages ago.  Recall how securities markets fell under significant stress. Global central bankers responded (Pavlovian) with [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Sep 24, 2016
Credit Bubble Weekly • Sep 24 2016
Weekly Commentary: Like Old Times: Q2 2016 Flow of Funds

The beginning of the year seems ages ago.  Recall how securities markets fell under significant stress. Global central bankers responded (Pavlovian) with [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Sep 24, 2016
Credit Bubble Weekly • Sep 17 2016
Weekly Commentary: Risk Off, the BOJ and China

Is a meaningful de-risking/de-leveraging episode possible with global central banks injecting liquidity at the current almost $2.0 TN annualized pace? Thus [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Sep 17, 2016
Credit Bubble Weekly • Sep 10 2016
Weekly Commentary: Reversals

Commenting on Friday’s jump in global bond yields, a fund manager on Bloomberg Television downplayed the move: “Yields are back to where they were last [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Sep 10, 2016
Credit Bubble Weekly • Sep 03 2016
Weekly Commentary: Just the Facts

For the Week: The S&P500 added 0.5% (up 6.7% y-t-d), and the Dow increased 0.5% (up 6.1%). The Utilities gained 0.9% (up 14.7%). The Banks jumped 2.2% [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Sep 3, 2016
Credit Bubble Weekly • Aug 27 2016
Weekly Commentary: Yellen Unveiling, Jackson Hole 2016

“The Global Financial Crisis and Great Recession posed daunting new challenges for central banks around the world and spurred innovations in the design, [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Aug 27, 2016
Credit Bubble Weekly • Aug 20 2016
Weekly Commentary: The “Neutral Rate”

“The neutral (or natural) rate of interest is the rate at which real GDP is growing at its trend rate, and inflation is stable. It is attributed to Swedish [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Aug 20, 2016
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