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Credit Bubble Weekly • Apr 16 2016
Weekly Commentary: Pushing Desperate Measures Too Far

Another unsettled week for global markets. Japan’s Nikkei equities index rallied 6.5%. Italian bank stocks surged 10%, with the Europe STOXX 600 Bank Index [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Apr 16, 2016
Credit Bubble Weekly • Apr 09 2016
Weekly Commentary: Bubble Economy or Not?

“The US economy has made tremendous progress in recovering from the damage from the financial crisis. Slowly but surely the labor market is healing. For [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Apr 9, 2016
Credit Bubble Weekly • Apr 02 2016
Weekly Commentary: Another Coin in the Fuse Box

It’s not as if we’re lacking history as to how this works. Some two decades ago the Greenspan Fed’s “asymmetrical” (baby-step “tightening” [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Apr 2, 2016
Credit Bubble Weekly • Mar 26 2016
Weekly Commentary: All is Not Well

The 1987 stock market crash raised concerns for the dangers associated with mounting U.S. “twin deficits.” Fiscal and trade deficits were reflective of [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Mar 26, 2016
Credit Bubble Weekly • Mar 19 2016
Weekly Commentary: Q4 2015 Flow of Funds

I’d been waiting patiently for the Fed’s Q4 2015 Z.1 “flow of funds” report. The fourth quarter was a period of financial instability and tightened [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Mar 19, 2016
Credit Bubble Weekly • Mar 12 2016
Weekly Commentary: Thesis Update

With global risk markets staging a significant rally, it’s an appropriate time to update my bursting global Bubble thesis. Three weeks ago I titled a CBB [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Mar 12, 2016
Credit Bubble Weekly • Mar 12 2016
Weekly Commentary: Thesis Update

With global risk markets staging a significant rally, it’s an appropriate time to update my bursting global Bubble thesis. Three weeks ago I titled a CBB [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Mar 12, 2016
Credit Bubble Weekly • Mar 05 2016
Weekly Commentary: Just the Facts (back next week)

For another acutely unstable market week: The S&P500 jumped 2.7% (down 2.2% y-t-d), and the Dow rose 2.2% (down 2.4%). The Utilities were up 2.0% (up [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Mar 5, 2016
Credit Bubble Weekly • Feb 27 2016
Weekly Commentary: Just the Facts

For the Week: The S&P500 gained 1.6% (down 4.7% y-t-d), and the Dow rose 1.5% (down 4.5%). The Utilities were little changed (up 6.5%). The Banks increased [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Feb 27, 2016
Credit Bubble Weekly • Feb 20 2016
Weekly Commentary: Crisis Management

The current global backdrop remains alarming and, especially on bad days, darn right frightening. Yet as a macro analyst of Credit, money and the markets, [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Feb 20, 2016
Credit Bubble Weekly • Feb 13 2016
Weekly Commentary: The Global Bubble

Credit is not innately good or bad. Simplistically, productive Credit is constructive, while non-productive Credit is inevitably problematic. This crucial [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Feb 13, 2016
Credit Bubble Weekly • Feb 06 2016
Weekly Commentary: The Adjustment Cycle

Crude has rallied about 5% off of last month’s low. The Brazilian real closed Friday at 3.90, having posted a decent rally from the January closing low of [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Feb 6, 2016
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jan 30 2016
Weekly Commentary: About Resuscitation and Reinstatement

“Shock and awe” is not quite what it used to be. It still carries a punch, especially for traders long the Japanese yen or short EM and stocks. The yen [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jan 30, 2016
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jan 23 2016
Weekly Commentary: Draghi Ready to Fight

A few Friday Bloomberg headlines: “Asian Stocks Jump by Most in Four Months on Stimulus Speculation;” “Japanese Stocks Surge by Most in Four Months as [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jan 23, 2016
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jan 23 2016
Weekly Commentary: Draghi Ready to Fight

A few Friday Bloomberg headlines: “Asian Stocks Jump by Most in Four Months on Stimulus Speculation;” “Japanese Stocks Surge by Most in Four Months as [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jan 23, 2016
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