Credit Bubble Bulletin

Presented by Doug Noland since 2012

Credit Bubble Daily
Wednesday, July 30, 2025
[CNBC] S&P 500 little changed as traders digest strong GDP report, await Fed decision: Live updates [Reuters] Oil pauses rally as markets weigh Trump's ultimatum to Russia [AP] Trump announces 25% tariff on India starting Aug. 1, unspecified penalties for buying Russian energy [AP] Trump’s latest tariff deadline is approaching. Here are the trade deals the US has announced so far [AP] US economy rebounds a surprisingly strong 3% in the second quarter [Yahoo/Reuters] US private payrolls increase in July [Yahoo/Reuters] US economic growth likely rebounded in Q2, but with weak underlying details [CNBC] Mortgage demand drops to lowest level since May, as interest rates stall [Reuters] Fed to hold rates steady despite Trump's push for big cuts [Axios] There's a massive bipartisan housing bill moving forward in Congress [NYT] What to Watch at the Federal Reserve’s July Meeting [Bloomberg] Trump’s ‘Napkin’ Trade Deals Are Worry for SE Asia, Analyst Says [Bloomberg] Microsoft, Meta Face Investor Scrutiny Over AI Spending Binge [Bloomberg] Wall Street’s Big Loans to Emerging Markets Spark Risk Worries [Bloomberg] China Prepares to Unseat US in Fight for $4.8 Trillion AI Market [Bloomberg] Angry Farmers Vow to Fight If Korea Leader Bows to Trump Demands [Bloomberg] ‘Dumb’ AI Bots Collude to Rig Markets, Wharton Research Finds [Bloomberg] Japan Records Highest Temperature Ever as Heat Wave Lingers [WSJ] Fed Governors Could Break Ranks as Trump Intensifies Powell Pressure [WSJ] How China Is Girding for an AI Battle With the U.S. [WSJ] In This Frothy Market, It’s Boom Times for Brokers Like Robinhood [WSJ] China Politburo Holds off on Further Stimulus [FT] What could a Trump appointee do at the Fed? [FT] Will Mark Zuckerberg’s secret, multibillion-dollar AI plan win over Wall Street? [FT] Donald Trump’s tariffs spread alarm among Brazilian farmers and ranchers [FT] ‘Pervasive sense of fear’: China steps up exit bans as US tensions flare
Wednesday, July 30, 2025
[CNBC] S&P 500 little changed as traders digest strong GDP report, await Fed decision: Live updates [Reuters] Oil pauses rally as markets weigh Trump's ultimatum to Russia [AP] Trump announces 25% tariff on India starting Aug. 1, unspecified penalties for buying Russian energy [AP] Trump’s latest tariff deadline is approaching. Here are the trade deals the US has announced so far [AP] US economy rebounds a surprisingly strong 3% in the second quarter [Yahoo/Reuters] US private payrolls increase in July [Yahoo/Reuters] US economic growth likely rebounded in Q2, but with weak underlying details [CNBC] Mortgage demand drops to lowest level since May, as interest rates stall [Reuters] Fed to hold rates steady despite Trump's push for big cuts [Axios] There's a massive bipartisan housing bill moving forward in Congress [NYT] What to Watch at the Federal Reserve’s July Meeting [Bloomberg] Trump’s ‘Napkin’ Trade Deals Are Worry for SE Asia, Analyst Says [Bloomberg] Microsoft, Meta Face Investor Scrutiny Over AI Spending Binge [Bloomberg] Wall Street’s Big Loans to Emerging Markets Spark Risk Worries [Bloomberg] China Prepares to Unseat US in Fight for $4.8 Trillion AI Market [Bloomberg] Angry Farmers Vow to Fight If Korea Leader Bows to Trump Demands [Bloomberg] ‘Dumb’ AI Bots Collude to Rig Markets, Wharton Research Finds [Bloomberg] Japan Records Highest Temperature Ever as Heat Wave Lingers [WSJ] Fed Governors Could Break Ranks as Trump Intensifies Powell Pressure [WSJ] How China Is Girding for an AI Battle With the U.S. [WSJ] In This Frothy Market, It’s Boom Times for Brokers Like Robinhood [WSJ] China Politburo Holds off on Further Stimulus [FT] What could a Trump appointee do at the Fed? [FT] Will Mark Zuckerberg’s secret, multibillion-dollar AI plan win over Wall Street? [FT] Donald Trump’s tariffs spread alarm among Brazilian farmers and ranchers [FT] ‘Pervasive sense of fear’: China steps up exit bans as US tensions flare
Tuesday, July 29, 2025
[CNBC] Stocks move higher after S&P 500 ekes out another closing record: Live updates [Reuters] Explainer: What's at stake for Japan's fragile bond market this week [AP] Federal Reserve likely to stand pat on rates this week, deepening the gulf between Powell and Trump [Reuters] Fed's policy toolkit may be headed for fundamental changes [Reuters] US, China resume talks in Stockholm to ease tariff hostilities [Reuters] What's in Trump's trade deal with Europe? [AP] Trump’s tariffs could squeeze US factories and boost costs by up to 4.5%, a new analysis finds [Politico] Trump got his tariff hike. The rest remains murky. [Axios] Drug prices likely to rise with tariffs on EU [AP] Cheyenne to host massive AI data center using more electricity than all Wyoming homes combined [Yahoo/Reuters] Ex-BOJ deputy chief Nakaso sees 'cracks' in dollar's supremacy [Yahoo/Reuters] UBS orders bankers to scale back sale of complex currency products, FT reports [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Taiwan Leader Calls Off US Stopover as Trump Seeks Xi Summit [Bloomberg] The Boom in AI Is Stressing the Largest US Power Grid [Bloomberg] US Needs More Negotiations With India for Trade Deal, Greer Says [Bloomberg] Lutnick Sees Likely 90-Day Extension of China Trade Truce [Bloomberg] US Credit Conditions Deteriorate Following Tariffs, Moody’s Says [Bloomberg] Japan Ruling Party to Discuss Prime Minister Ishiba’s Fate Soon [Bloomberg] China’s Social Spending Hits Highest Level in Nearly Two Decades [Bloomberg] PBOC Finds Consumer Mood Is Turning Darker Even as Economy Grows [Bloomberg] Taiwan Investors Turn to Europe as US Assets Lose their Allure [Bloomberg] Villain of 2008 Crisis Gets New Life in Europe’s Push for Growth [NYT] Powell Under Siege as Fed Plans to Stand Pat on Rate Cuts [WSJ] A Divided Fed Eyes Future Rate Cuts but Won’t Move This Week [WSJ] The Fed Chair Doesn’t Set Rates by Himself. Here Are the Other Voting Members. [WSJ] Trump’s New Trade Order Is Fragile [WSJ] Trump’s Tariffs: Where He Started, What He Threatened, Where He Ended Up [WSJ] Who Pays? AI Boom Sparks Fight Over Soaring Power Costs [WSJ] AI Is Wrecking an Already Fragile Job Market for College Graduates [FT] Donald Trump’s tariff blitz brings US levies to highest levels since 1930s [FT] China struggles to break its addiction to manufacturing
Monday, July 28, 2025
[CNBC] Stocks show small gain as U.S.- EU trade deal kicks off a hectic week for markets: Live updates [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Bond Traders Await Fed Meeting, Refunding and Jobs Report [Yahoo/Bloomberg] For Bond Dealers, It’s Now All About Bills at Bessent’s Treasury [AP] US and China to talk in Stockholm on trade with eye on Trump-Xi summit later this year [Axios] Trump's tariffs start August 1, no extensions, Lutnick says [Yahoo/Bloomberg] The EU’s $750 Billion Energy Deal With Trump Looks Hard to Reach [Reuters] EU's pledge for $250 billion of US energy imports is delusional [AP] US and China officials meet in Stockholm to discuss how to ease trade tensions [Axios] Tariff revenue is spiking. But who exactly is paying? [Yahoo/Fortune] Meet the ‘masters of the universe’ heading up the private credit explosion [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Trump Says He’ll Shorten 50-Day Deadline He Gave Putin for Truce [Reuters] BOJ may paint less gloomy view, signal rate-hike resumption [Yahoo/Telegraph] Beijing keeps up rare earths pressure on Trump [AP] Thailand and Cambodia agree to “unconditional” ceasefire to end deadly border row, Malaysian PM says [Bloomberg] Japan’s Ishiba to Face Crunch Meeting of LDP Lawmakers Monday [NYT] Making Sense of the E.U. Trade Deal [NYT] U.S. and China Meet as Trade Truce Nears Expiration [WSJ] Trump and Bessent Bring New Style to Managing America’s Debt [WSJ] Companies Welcome EU-U.S. Trade Deal as Least-Bad Outcome [WSJ] Five Signs of a Market Bubble Investors Are Tracking [WSJ] With Individual Home Buyers on the Sidelines, Investors Swoop into the Market [FT] What have the US and EU agreed on trade? [FT] The coming crypto crisis [FT] Donald Trump freezes export controls to secure trade deal with China [FT] Russia runs low on Soviet-era arms as North Korea fills gap
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