Credit Bubble Weekly

Weekly credit market analysis and commentary to stay ahead.

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Credit Bubble Weekly • Mar 29 2025
March 28, 2025: Critical Market Juncture

A disconcerting environment turned notably more so this week, with market instability becoming more serious. If risk aversion gathers momentum from here, [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Mar 29, 2025
Credit Bubble Weekly • Mar 22 2025
March 21, 2025: In Defense of the Constitution

Somehow, it staged a remarkable comeback. “Transitory” was spoken five times during the post-meeting press conference, twice by Chair Powell: “As I’ve [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Mar 22, 2025
Credit Bubble Weekly • Mar 15 2025
March 14, 2025: Q4 2024 Z.1 and the Start of Deleveraging

The thesis holds that a multi-decade super cycle Credit Bubble – over recent years succumbing to “terminal phase excess” – has turned [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Mar 15, 2025
Credit Bubble Weekly • Mar 08 2025
March 7, 2025: Train Wreck

Wikipedia’s definition will suffice: “The term exorbitant privilege refers to the benefits the United States has due to its own currency (the US dollar) [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Mar 8, 2025
Credit Bubble Weekly • Mar 01 2025
February 28, 2025: Oval Office and the World

A challenge to focus on market analysis after viewing the most disturbing Oval Office spectacle of our lifetimes. I was more than ready to disregard another [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Mar 1, 2025
Credit Bubble Weekly • Feb 22 2025
February 21, 2025: Disrupted

“Bubbles are mechanisms of wealth redistribution and destruction – with detrimental consequences for social and geopolitical stability. Boom periods [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Feb 22, 2025
Credit Bubble Weekly • Feb 15 2025
February 14, 2025: Declaring the Reciprocal Tariff Regime

February 13, 2025: For the record, the S&P500 gained 1.04% for the session, and the Nasdaq100 jumped 1.43%. The Semiconductors rose 1.29% and the Russell [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Feb 15, 2025
Credit Bubble Weekly • Feb 08 2025
February 7, 2025: The Dog That Does More Than Bark

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent’s Thursday comment is credible: “The President wants lower rates. He and I are focused on the 10-year Treasury and what is [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Feb 8, 2025
Credit Bubble Weekly • Feb 01 2025
January 31, 2025: Age of Uncertainty

Prioritize, or just go chronologically. The beginning, middle, or end of the week? DeepSeek, the Fed or Trump tariffs? Never a dull moment. We live in an Age [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Feb 1, 2025
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jan 25 2025
January 24, 2025: For Posterity

Please join Doug Noland and David McAlvany this coming Thursday, January 30th, at 4:00 pm Eastern/2:00 pm Mountain Time for the McAlvany Wealth Management [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jan 25, 2025
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jan 18 2025
January 17, 2025: Thoughts Ahead of Day One

Some things are just irresolvable. Religious conflict and abortion are issues that come quickly to mind, along with whether tax cuts spur growth sufficient to [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jan 18, 2025
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jan 11 2025
January 10, 2025: Issues 2025

Year 26. I’ve been posting the CBB for so long I barely remember what a normal Friday evening feels like. I face a dilemma this year. Potentially one of the [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jan 11, 2025
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