Credit Bubble Weekly

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Credit Bubble Weekly • Jan 18 2025
January 17, 2025: Thoughts Ahead of Day One

Some things are just irresolvable. Religious conflict and abortion are issues that come quickly to mind, along with whether tax cuts spur growth sufficient to [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jan 18, 2025
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jan 11 2025
January 10, 2025: Issues 2025

Year 26. I’ve been posting the CBB for so long I barely remember what a normal Friday evening feels like. I face a dilemma this year. Potentially one of the [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jan 11, 2025
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jan 04 2025
January 3, 2025: 2024 Year in Review

“Bubbles are self-reinforcing, but inevitably unsustainable inflations.” “Asset and speculative Bubbles are invariably fueled by underlying Credit [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jan 4, 2025
Credit Bubble Weekly • Dec 28 2024
December 27, 2024: Vigilantism and Deleveraging

Hanging on by the skin of its teeth? Year ends are invariably interesting – on occasion, intriguing. There’s money at stake, especially this year with huge [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Dec 28, 2024
Credit Bubble Weekly • Dec 21 2024
December 20, 2024: Deleveraging Doom Loop

Friday from Bloomberg: “US Stocks Rise After ‘Major Overreaction” to Fed.” There was certainly more to Wednesday’s steep market selloff than a [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Dec 21, 2024
Credit Bubble Weekly • Dec 13 2024
December 13, 2024: Monitoring for Peak Bubble Excess – Q3 2024 Z.1

Non-Financial Debt (NFD) expanded at a seasonally adjusted and annualized rate (SAAR) of $3.642 TN, up from Q2’s SAAR $3.471 TN for the strongest expansion [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Dec 13, 2024
Credit Bubble Weekly • Dec 07 2024
December 6, 2024: Disorder Metastasis

“Stocks Extend Record-Breaking Run After Jobs Data.” “Investors Pour $140bn into US Stock Funds After Trump Election Victory.” “Cash Draws Biggest [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Dec 7, 2024
Credit Bubble Weekly • Nov 30 2024
November 29, 2024: Historic November

November 2024. Future historians will look back in utter amazement. As for equities, strong market gains pushed all major averages further into record highs [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Nov 30, 2024
Credit Bubble Weekly • Nov 23 2024
November 22, 2024: The Rave

Bitcoin traded this week to $99,978, ending the week with 2024 gains of 132%. Since the election, Bitcoin has surged 43%, with Ethereum up 39%, Ripple 215%, [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Nov 23, 2024
Credit Bubble Weekly • Nov 16 2024
November 15, 2024: Power

Chair Powell’s post-meeting press conferences always leave me wanting for some probing questions. It’s as if journalists abide by an unwritten rule to [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Nov 16, 2024
Credit Bubble Weekly • Nov 09 2024
November 8, 2024: Paradigm Shifts

We live in interesting times. A deeply divided nation is today evenly split between jubilation and despair. The earth shakes, as the deep chasm blows wide [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Nov 9, 2024
Credit Bubble Weekly • Nov 01 2024
November 1, 2024: Vigilantes Mobilizing

Tuesday’s pivotal election muddies the analysis. Clearly, however, the Treasury market is under meaningful pressure. Ten-year Treasury yields jumped 14 bps [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Nov 1, 2024
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