Credit Bubble Weekly

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Credit Bubble Weekly • Jun 21 2025
June 20, 2025: Back For a Second Attempt

Chair Powell: “So, what we said was that uncertainty about the economic outlook has diminished but remains elevated. Many, many surveys say that… And [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jun 21, 2025
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jun 14 2025
June 13, 2025: “Real Economy Sphere vs. Financial Sphere” Q1 ’25 Z.1

Marines deployed to Los Angeles. A U.S. Senator wrestled to the ground and handcuffed. Israel executing a surprise decapitation attack on Iran’s military [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jun 14, 2025
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jun 07 2025
June 6, 2025: Uncertainty Squared

When you thought things couldn’t possibly get any weirder… (“Have a nice day, DJT!”) “Uncertainty” is the word of the year, for an environment [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jun 7, 2025
Credit Bubble Weekly • May 31 2025
May 30, 2025: TACO and Dumpling

The S&P500 traded within 3% of February’s record high in Thursday trading. To be sure, the rally off April lows has been nothing short of spectacular. [...]

Doug Noland Posted on May 31, 2025
Credit Bubble Weekly • May 24 2025
May 23, 2025: Don’t Say You Weren’t Warned

Long-bond (30-yr) Treasury yields traded to 5.15% intraday Thursday – the high back to July 2007. This followed on the heels of Wednesday’s spike in [...]

Doug Noland Posted on May 24, 2025
Credit Bubble Weekly • May 17 2025
May 16, 2025: Close to a Melt-Down

Give Credit where Credit is due. Cooler heads prevailed. It was in both the U.S. and China’s interests to end what was effectively a trade embargo between [...]

Doug Noland Posted on May 17, 2025
Credit Bubble Weekly • May 10 2025
May 9, 2025: Asian-Crisis-in-Reverse Feel

Sure got the old neck stuck out this time. Markets have rallied, financial conditions have loosened, and debt markets have reopened. I’m not dissuaded. The [...]

Doug Noland Posted on May 10, 2025
Credit Bubble Weekly • May 03 2025
May 2, 2025: The Typical and Atypical

In a way, it’s all going down as it typically would. “Risk off” gains sufficient momentum to spark destabilizing deleveraging. Markets approach the [...]

Doug Noland Posted on May 3, 2025
Credit Bubble Weekly • Apr 26 2025
April 25, 2025: Hooked on Hedge Fund Leverage

After three decades, I remain as skeptical as ever. Unconstrained Credit is destabilizing. Market-based (as opposed to traditional bank) finance took hold [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Apr 26, 2025
Credit Bubble Weekly • Apr 19 2025
April 18, 2025: Burst Bubble Walking

Ten-year Treasury yields fell 16 bps this week, reversing about a third of last week’s spike. MBS yields dropped 19 bps after last week’s 56 bps surge. The [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Apr 19, 2025
Credit Bubble Weekly • Apr 12 2025
April 11, 2025: Normal Deleveraging and Trade Wars

Please join Doug Noland and David McAlvany this coming Thursday, April 17th, at 4:00 pm Eastern/2:00 pm Mountain Time for the McAlvany Wealth Management [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Apr 12, 2025
Credit Bubble Weekly • Apr 05 2025
April 4, 2025: Worse than the Worst-Case

“Worse than the worst-case scenario.” “Liberation day,” a day that will live in infamy. Financial Times Editorial Board: “America’s Astonishing Act [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Apr 5, 2025
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