Credit Bubble Weekly

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Credit Bubble Weekly • Nov 09 2024
November 8, 2024: Paradigm Shifts

We live in interesting times. A deeply divided nation is today evenly split between jubilation and despair. The earth shakes, as the deep chasm blows wide [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Nov 9, 2024
Credit Bubble Weekly • Nov 01 2024
November 1, 2024: Vigilantes Mobilizing

Tuesday’s pivotal election muddies the analysis. Clearly, however, the Treasury market is under meaningful pressure. Ten-year Treasury yields jumped 14 bps [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Nov 1, 2024
Credit Bubble Weekly • Oct 25 2024
October 25, 2024: Paul Tudor Jones Insight

Please join Doug Noland and David McAlvany this coming Thursday, October 31st, at 4:00 pm Eastern/2:00 pm Mountain Time for the McAlvany Wealth Management [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Oct 25, 2024
Credit Bubble Weekly • Oct 18 2024
October 18, 2024: Accelerating Wall Street and Subprime Booms

For a quarter when Wall Street trumpeted the narrative of mounting economic weakness and the need for aggressive rate cuts, they sure enjoyed quite an earnings [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Oct 18, 2024
Credit Bubble Weekly • Oct 11 2024
October 11, 2024: 45 and Counting

Forty-five basis points. That’s the jump in 10-year yields since September 17th, the day before the FOMC meeting (and 50 bps rate slash). Benchmark MBS [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Oct 11, 2024
Credit Bubble Weekly • Oct 05 2024
October 4, 2024: Reality Check for Bonds

A Friday combo of the annual McAlvany Wealth Management client conference and Oregon Duck football at Autzen Stadium forced me to keep this week’s post [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Oct 5, 2024
Credit Bubble Weekly • Sep 28 2024
September 27, 2024: Neutral Rates and Xi’s Whatever it Takes

September 27 – Bloomberg: “Chinese equities capped their biggest weekly rally since 2008 with a burst of trading that overwhelmed the Shanghai stock [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Sep 28, 2024
Credit Bubble Weekly • Sep 21 2024
September 20, 2024: Fed Goes Big

This period will be analyzed for decades, if not generations. For posterity, it’s worth noting that the Fed chose to slash rates 50 bps this week, with the [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Sep 21, 2024
Credit Bubble Weekly • Sep 14 2024
September 13, 2024: Validating the Bubble Thesis: Q2 2024 Z.1

Up 10.0%, down 12.2%, down 1.3%, up 1.1%, up 9.8%, up 2.2%, down 9.7%, down 3.1% and down 8.8%. The past nine weeks of SOX performance. Nvidia: Up 15.8%, down [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Sep 14, 2024
Credit Bubble Weekly • Sep 07 2024
September 6, 2024: ‘D’ for Dis-Equipoise

Nvidia sank 12.6% this week. The Semiconductor Index (SOX) slumped 12.2%, with the Nasdaq100 (NDX) down 5.9%. The S&P500 dropped 4.2%. The KBW Bank Index [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Sep 7, 2024
Credit Bubble Weekly • Aug 31 2024
August 30, 2024: Money Machines

Money Market Fund Assets (MMFA) rose another $21 billion the past week to a record $6.263 TN, with a notable four-week gain of $128 billion. MMFA expanded $680 [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Aug 31, 2024
Credit Bubble Weekly • Aug 23 2024
August 23, 2024: Something of a Victory Lap

There’s always a summertime buzz heading into the Fed’s Jackson Hole Economic Symposium. What’s topical in the world of economics? What is on these [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Aug 23, 2024
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