Credit Bubble Weekly

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Credit Bubble Weekly • May 07 2022
May 6, 2022: Global Quagmire

The Global Bubble, several decades in the making, is in the process of bursting. A new cycle is emerging, replete with extraordinary uncertainties. Acute [...]

Doug Noland Posted on May 7, 2022
Credit Bubble Weekly • Apr 30 2022
April 29, 2022: Collision Course

The Shanghai Composite sank 5.1% Monday, fell another 1.4% Tuesday, rallied 2.5% Wednesday, increased 0.6% Thursday, and then rose 2.4% Friday – with the [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Apr 30, 2022
Credit Bubble Weekly • Apr 23 2022
April 22, 2022: Losing Capacity to Stabilize

It was an important week – perhaps critical. There was additional support for my macro thesis. The bottom line: increasingly unstable global markets today [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Apr 23, 2022
Credit Bubble Weekly • Apr 15 2022
April 15, 2022: Transitioning to a New Cycle

Something snapped. Ten-year Treasury yields jumped another 12 bps this week, with a two-week gain of 44 bps. At 2.83%, 10-year yields ended the week at the [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Apr 15, 2022
Credit Bubble Weekly • Apr 09 2022
April 8, 2022: Playing with Fire

Please join Doug Noland and David McAlvany this coming Thursday, April 14th, at 4:00 pm Eastern/ 2:00 pm Mountain time for the Tactical Short Q1 recap [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Apr 9, 2022
Credit Bubble Weekly • Apr 02 2022
April 1, 2022: Historic Q1 2022

Historic Q1 2022. Inflation, a Hawkish Fed, Spiking Bond Yields, War, China and Acute Instability. Where to begin? “Inflation Hits a New 40-year High.” [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Apr 2, 2022
Credit Bubble Weekly • Mar 26 2022
March 25, 2022: The Big Test

It’s been some time since the Fed commenced a serious tightening cycle. Previous moves to raise rates progressed gingerly, so as not to risk upsetting the [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Mar 26, 2022
Credit Bubble Weekly • Mar 19 2022
March 18, 2022: Inklings of Secular Change

The S&P500 was about unchanged Wednesday at 2:36 pm ET, six minutes into Chair Powell’s press conference opening statement. “We will need to be nimble [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Mar 19, 2022
Credit Bubble Weekly • Mar 12 2022
March 11, 2022: Ugly – and the Q4 2021 Z.1

March 11 – Reuters (Steve Holland and Susan Heavey): “President Joe Biden… took new steps along with U.S. allies to punish Russia economically over its [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Mar 12, 2022
Credit Bubble Weekly • Mar 05 2022
March 4, 2022: Day Nine

On Day Two, it was pretty clear that Day One developments were history-changing. Here at Day Nine, there’s absolutely no doubt. Between Day Two and Day Nine, [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Mar 5, 2022
Credit Bubble Weekly • Feb 26 2022
February 25, 2022: Honor

February 25 – Associated Press (Yuras Karmanau, Jim Heintz, Vladimir Isachenkov, Dasha Litvinova): “Russian troops stormed toward Ukraine’s capital early [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Feb 26, 2022
Credit Bubble Weekly • Feb 19 2022
February 18, 2022: Made the Decision

Bubbles are sustained only by ever increasing amounts of Credit. The most pernicious Bubbles are those fueled by “money” – perceived safe and liquid [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Feb 19, 2022
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