Credit Bubble Weekly

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Credit Bubble Weekly • Oct 02 2021
October 1, 2021: Inflation Watch

August Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation rose to 4.3% y-o-y, the largest gain in 30 years. The S&P CoreLogic National Composite Home Price [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Oct 2, 2021
Credit Bubble Weekly • Sep 25 2021
September 24, 2021: Bipolar and the Q2 2021 Z.1

It was a rather glaring warning. Yet it was, of course, taken as just another buying opportunity – a rather easy one at that. It seems to only get easier. [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Sep 25, 2021
Credit Bubble Weekly • Sep 18 2021
September 17, 2021: Evergrande Moment

Evergrande owes over $300 billion – to banks and non-bank financial institutions, domestic and international bond holders, suppliers and apartment buyers. It [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Sep 18, 2021
Credit Bubble Weekly • Sep 11 2021
September 10, 2021: Necessarily Aggressive

The Wall Street Journal ran with the headline “What if China’s Property Crackdown Goes Overboard Too?” for its Tuesday’s “Heard of the Street” [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Sep 11, 2021
Credit Bubble Weekly • Sep 04 2021
September 3, 2021: Easy Money Anesthesia

China’s historic Bubble has been integral to CBB analysis for two decades. I’ve on a weekly basis chronicled how interconnected Chinese and the U.S. [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Sep 4, 2021
Credit Bubble Weekly • Aug 28 2021
August 27, 2021: Bigger Mistakes

August 27, 2021: Bloomberg Wall Street Week’s David Westin: “Larry, you saw, you read what Jay Powell said [in his Jackson Hole speech]. What was your [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Aug 28, 2021
Credit Bubble Weekly • Aug 21 2021
August 20, 2021: Weary of Their Capitalism Experiment

Bubbles are self-reinforcing, yet inevitably unsustainable inflation. There are different types of Bubbles – Credit and speculative asset Bubbles being the [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Aug 21, 2021
Credit Bubble Weekly • Aug 14 2021
August 13, 2021: Uncertainty

We shouldn’t read too much into one month of weak Chinese Credit data. July’s growth in Aggregate Financing (system Credit) slumped to $164 billion, [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Aug 14, 2021
Credit Bubble Weekly • Aug 07 2021
August 6, 2021: Ebb and Flow

The U.S. economy created 943,000 jobs in July. With upward revisions, there were 938,000 positions added in June and 614,000 in May – for a notable [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Aug 7, 2021
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jul 31 2021
July 30, 2021: The King of Carry Trades

The Shanghai Composite sank 4.3% this week – and was down as much at 6.7% at intraday Wednesday lows. The Hang Seng China Financials Index was 5.7% lower [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jul 31, 2021
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jul 24 2021
July 23, 2021: Dangerous Addiction

July 20 – Reuters (Karen Pierog): “Risk-off sentiment that drove Monday’s sell-off on Wall Street and rally in U.S. Treasuries widened credit spreads on [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jul 24, 2021
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jul 17 2021
July 16, 2021: Under Fire

The week had an ominous feel. Ten-year Treasury yields dropped another seven bps to 1.29% – completely disregarding much stronger-than-expected reports [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jul 17, 2021
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