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Saturday, January 13, 2024

[Reuters] Taiwan voters rebuff China and give ruling party third presidential term [Reuters] Taiwan’s new president-elect will face China’s ire [Yahoo/Bloomberg] US Launches Fresh Yemen Strike a Day After Broader Attack [Reuters] Yemen’s Houthis vow ‘strong response’ after new US strike [Reuters] Blizzard strikes US Midwest, cancelling flights and disrupting presidential campaign [AP] Speaker Johnson […]

January 12, 2024: Pricing Six Cuts (and Counting)

Monetary disorder played prominently throughout 2023, though most acutely with the fourth quarter upside market dislocation. Speculative leverage went to extremes, exemplified by a $1 TN hedge fund “basis trade.” Derivatives-related leverage was also pivotal in exacerbating liquidity excesses. Options trading boomed, while hedging in-the-money call options provided a key source of marketplace liquidity generation. […]

Friday, January 12, 2024

[Yahoo/Bloomberg] Stocks Extend Drop as Bank Earnings Roll In: Markets Wrap [Reuters] Safe-haven gold gains on escalating Middle East tensions [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Oil Tops $80 as Strikes Against Houthis Raise Middle East Risks [AP] Houthi rebels vow fierce retaliation after American and British strikes against them [Reuters] Oil tankers divert from Red Sea after US, UK […]

Gold Prices In The New Year

This week we look at gold’s movement over the past weeks.  Even with some downward trends, gold looks to still be sitting in a secure position.  Meanwhile silver remains at a critical price point that could open many opportunities soon.  We also take a look at the equities market and the FED’s prediction that inflation […]

Thursday, January 11, 2024

[Yahoo/Bloomberg] Stocks Waver After US Inflation: Markets Wrap [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Oil Climbs as Middle East Unrest Counters Oversupply Worries [Reuters] Japan’s Nikkei breaks 35,000 for first time since Feb 1990 [CNBC] Consumer prices rose 0.3% in December, higher than expected, pushing the annual rate to 3.4% [AP] Iran’s navy seizes oil tanker in Gulf of Oman […]

Wednesday, January 10, 2024

[Yahoo/Bloomberg] Stocks Trade in Narrow Range Before Inflation Data: Markets Wrap [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Oil Extends Volatile Run as Traders Mull US Stockpiles, Red Sea [Reuters] Japan stocks hit 34-year high, markets calm before US inflation data [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Houthis Launch Barrage of Missiles, Drones in New Red Sea Attack [Reuters] US, UK forces shoot down Houthi missiles, […]

Gold Is A Real Asset, Not A Debt

Will 2024 Politics Sway The “Unbiased” Fed? Federal Reserve Leadership Is 10:1 Democrat To Republican I Know, “Let’s Count Debt As An Asset.” “Be careful what you wish for. Economic stimulus may help you get reelected, but it may also trigger a resurgence of inflation. And if you’re overconfident in what the Fed can do […]

Tuesday, January 9, 2024

[Yahoo/Bloomberg] Stocks Slip as Tech-Led Bounce Proves Short-Lived: Markets Wrap [Reuters] US small business sentiment up, but labor, inflation worries persist [Dow Jones] U.S. trade deficit narrows 2% to $63.2 billion as imports retreat [CNN] A brutal winter storm is unleashing blizzard conditions in central US and threatening coastal areas with floods and tornadoes [Reuters] […]

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