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May 16, 2025: Close to a Melt-Down

Give Credit where Credit is due. Cooler heads prevailed. It was in both the U.S. and China’s interests to end what was effectively a trade embargo between the world’s two rival superpowers. Surely tough to swallow, President Trump, Secretary Bessent, and U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer did what had to be done. May 13 – […]

Friday, May 16, 2025

[CNBC] Stocks rise as S&P 500 tries to extend rally to five days: Live updates [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Gold Declines as Traders Book Profits on US-China Trade Optimism [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Oil Swings as Traders Seek Next Clues on Iran Nuclear Deal [Reuters] US single-family housing starts, building permits fell in April [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Trump Says US Will Set Tariff […]

CPI Down, Dollar Up – What’s Next for Gold?

In this week’s Golden Rule Radio, we unpack gold’s recent correction and explain why it might be healthy for the long-term trend. We look at what’s driving the dollar’s bounce, how CPI surprised markets, and why central banks — not retail investors — are still the biggest force behind gold’s rise. Plus: silver’s price action, […]

Thursday, May 15, 2025

[CNBC] Stocks slip after S&P 500 posts third consecutive winning day: Live updates [Yahoo/Reuters] Dollar wavers on uncertainty over trade deals; S.Korean won in focus [Reuters] Oil dives on US-Iran progress as stocks surge stalls [AP] Asian shares are mostly lower after a mixed session on Wall Street [AP] US retail sales barely rose last […]

Wednesday, May 14, 2025

[CNBC] S&P 500 rises after benchmark turns positive for 2025: Live updates [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Trump’s Pause on China Tariffs Is Still a ‘Huge Nightmare’ for Small Businesses [AP] Chinese businesses view tariff pause with caution and uncertainty [CNBC] Mortgage demand from homebuyers continues to recover, even with higher interest rates [Yahoo/Reuters] Fed’s Goolsbee: Data still noisy […]

Tariff Song That Never Ends: On, Off, On, Repeat

Chinese Admitted To Bessent, They Knew Biden Was Weak “Strong Dollar” Policy Being Reversed By Trump Administration Dollar Recycling Shifting To Gold Recycling “Gold has been interesting. For the month of April, 70 tons, roughly 7.4 billion in gold, was purchased via ETFs in China. That’s double the previous month’s record. I think tariff uncertainty […]

Tuesday, May 13, 2025

[CNBC] S&P 500 gains after light inflation data as stocks look to extend Monday’s rally: Live updates [AP] Asian shares gain after Wall Street’s rally, but hopes are tempered by trade war uncertainties [Yahoo/Reuters] Oil falls as concerns over rising supplies overshadow US-China trade relief [CNBC] Annual inflation rate hit 2.3% in April, less than […]

A Rough Transition

The analysts at the McAlvany Financial Group focus this week on the turbulence being caused by the remaking of the world economy and trade system. As investors worldwide attempt to separate real threat from perceived threat during the transition, trends emerge and cause changes in international policy and investment decisions. Will those changes result in […]

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