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Credit Bubble Weekly • Mar 12 2016
Weekly Commentary: Thesis Update

With global risk markets staging a significant rally, it’s an appropriate time to update my bursting global Bubble thesis. Three weeks ago I titled a CBB [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Mar 12, 2016
Credit Bubble Weekly • Mar 05 2016
Weekly Commentary: Just the Facts (back next week)

For another acutely unstable market week: The S&P500 jumped 2.7% (down 2.2% y-t-d), and the Dow rose 2.2% (down 2.4%). The Utilities were up 2.0% (up [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Mar 5, 2016
Credit Bubble Weekly • Feb 27 2016
Weekly Commentary: Just the Facts

For the Week: The S&P500 gained 1.6% (down 4.7% y-t-d), and the Dow rose 1.5% (down 4.5%). The Utilities were little changed (up 6.5%). The Banks increased [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Feb 27, 2016
Credit Bubble Weekly • Feb 20 2016
Weekly Commentary: Crisis Management

The current global backdrop remains alarming and, especially on bad days, darn right frightening. Yet as a macro analyst of Credit, money and the markets, [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Feb 20, 2016
Credit Bubble Weekly • Feb 13 2016
Weekly Commentary: The Global Bubble

Credit is not innately good or bad. Simplistically, productive Credit is constructive, while non-productive Credit is inevitably problematic. This crucial [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Feb 13, 2016
Credit Bubble Weekly • Feb 06 2016
Weekly Commentary: The Adjustment Cycle

Crude has rallied about 5% off of last month’s low. The Brazilian real closed Friday at 3.90, having posted a decent rally from the January closing low of [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Feb 6, 2016
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jan 30 2016
Weekly Commentary: About Resuscitation and Reinstatement

“Shock and awe” is not quite what it used to be. It still carries a punch, especially for traders long the Japanese yen or short EM and stocks. The yen [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jan 30, 2016
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jan 23 2016
Weekly Commentary: Draghi Ready to Fight

A few Friday Bloomberg headlines: “Asian Stocks Jump by Most in Four Months on Stimulus Speculation;” “Japanese Stocks Surge by Most in Four Months as [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jan 23, 2016
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jan 23 2016
Weekly Commentary: Draghi Ready to Fight

A few Friday Bloomberg headlines: “Asian Stocks Jump by Most in Four Months on Stimulus Speculation;” “Japanese Stocks Surge by Most in Four Months as [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jan 23, 2016
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jan 16 2016
Weekly Commentary: Cracks at the Core of the Core

January 15 – Bloomberg (Matthew Boesler): “The U.S. economy should continue to grow faster than its potential this year, supporting further interest-rate [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jan 16, 2016
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jan 09 2016
Weekly Commentary: Issues 2016

January 8 – CNBC (Ritika Shah): “Billionaire investor Mark Cuban is ‘doing nothing’ about the market sell-off. In his latest note to his [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jan 9, 2016
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jan 02 2016
Weekly Commentary: 2015 Year in Review

The year 2015 was extraordinary. Incredibly, despite powerful confirmation of the bursting global Bubble thesis, market optimism remained deeply entrenched. [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jan 2, 2016
Credit Bubble Weekly • Dec 19 2015
Weekly Commentary: Plausible Bubbles Abound

They finally did it – 25 bps, for the first rate increase since 2004. Surely it’s the most dovish Fed “tightening” ever. Indeed, it was really no [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Dec 19, 2015
Credit Bubble Weekly • Dec 12 2015
Weekly Commentary: The Precipice

Global markets have found themselves again at the precipice. My sense is that everyone’s numb – literally dazed and confused from prolonged Monetary [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Dec 12, 2015
Credit Bubble Weekly • Dec 05 2015
Weekly Commentary: The Cult of Draghi

Friday’s 370-point surge in the DJIA quickly erased memories of the rough session throughout global financial markets the previous day. It’s worth noting, [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Dec 5, 2015
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