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Credit Bubble Weekly • Jul 18 2015
Weekly Commentary: Lessons of 2004

I’ve had similar feelings before, though I recall being less apprehensive.  The years 1999 and 2007 are etched upon my mind.  The bustling of [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jul 18, 2015
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jul 11 2015
Weekly Commentary: Broken

The Shanghai Composite rallied 10% this week, enjoying the “biggest two-day rebound since 2008.” Friday saw Germany’s DAX surge 2.9%. French, Spanish and [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jul 11, 2015
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jul 11 2015
Weekly Commentary: Broken

The Shanghai Composite rallied 10% this week, enjoying the “biggest two-day rebound since 2008.” Friday saw Germany’s DAX surge 2.9%. French, Spanish and [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jul 11, 2015
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jul 04 2015
Weekly Commentary: The Triad

So how big of a deal is the Triad of Turmoil unfolding in Greece, China and Puerto Rico? Thus far, general contagion has been minimal. Bullish sentiment [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jul 4, 2015
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jun 20 2015
My Weekly Commentary: Coming Home

My Mac is on a moving truck somewhere between Pittsburgh and Eugene.  Moving cross-country entails some work.  But it’s exciting to be returning [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jun 20, 2015
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jun 06 2015
My Weekly Commentary: Just the Facts

My apologies.  I had commitments today and was unable to find the time to write. For the Week: The S&P500 declined 0.7% (up 1.6% y-t-d), and the Dow [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jun 6, 2015
Credit Bubble Weekly • May 30 2015
My Weekly Commentary: Out of Thin Air

In its basic form, Credit is someone’s promise to pay “money” at some point in the future. Credit instruments are an “IOU.” Importantly, new [...]

Doug Noland Posted on May 30, 2015
Credit Bubble Weekly • May 23 2015
My Weekly Commentary: Paying for the Past: Insight from Lindsey, Fisher and Greenspan

The Peterson Institute for International Economics this week held it’s sixth annual “Fiscal Summit,” a wide-ranging and critical discussion of issues [...]

Doug Noland Posted on May 23, 2015
Credit Bubble Weekly • May 16 2015
My Weekly Commentary: Today’s New Paradigm

As an analyst of Bubbles, I’ve grown convinced of some things: First, it’s vital to recognize Bubble distortions early before they become deeply ingrained [...]

Doug Noland Posted on May 16, 2015
Credit Bubble Weekly • May 09 2015
My Weekly Commentary: “The End is Near!”

Bill Gross penned another interesting commentary, “A Sense of an Ending.” The title comes from a Julian Barnes novel, of which Gross pulls the following [...]

Doug Noland Posted on May 9, 2015
Credit Bubble Weekly • May 02 2015
My Weekly Commentary: Quasi-Capitalism and Crowded Trades

May 1 – Reuters (Jamie McGeever): “The calm on global financial markets masks a growing threat to their smooth functioning should shrinking liquidity morph [...]

Doug Noland Posted on May 2, 2015
Credit Bubble Weekly • Apr 25 2015
My Weekly Commentary: Pro-Bubble

The lesson should have been learned by 1994. After a period of extraordinarily loose monetary policy, bloody market chaos was unleashed when the Fed bumped up [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Apr 25, 2015
Credit Bubble Weekly • Apr 18 2015
My Weekly Commentary: Horrible Risk Versus Reward

I found myself this week reflecting back to this past May, shortly after Ben Bernanke began his (reportedly) $250,000 dinner meetings. May 6 – Bloomberg: [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Apr 18, 2015
Credit Bubble Weekly • Apr 18 2015
My Weekly Commentary: Horrible Risk Versus Reward

I found myself this week reflecting back to this past May, shortly after Ben Bernanke began his (reportedly) $250,000 dinner meetings. May 6 – Bloomberg: [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Apr 18, 2015
Credit Bubble Weekly • Apr 11 2015
My Weekly Commentary: A Tale of Two Entangled Super Bubbles

“This past month may be remembered as the moment the United States lost its role as the underwriter of the global economic system. True, there have been any [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Apr 11, 2015
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