Minsky Moments and the Butterfly Effect Three weeks ago, on July 16th, the S&P 500 closed at an all-time high within spitting distance of a truly [...]
Piercing the Veil In November of 1943, speaking to Joseph Stalin during the Tehran conference, Winston Churchill remarked that, “In wartime, truth [...]
Man of Steel? With many thanks to Danielle DiMartino Booth for last week’s interview, lets pick up where she left off and address some of the [...]
A Chat with Danielle DiMartino Booth HAI has a rare treat for readers this week. Danielle DiMartino Booth may be the closest thing to a rock star the [...]
Still Dancing In July of 2007, Citigroup CEO Chuck Prince laid out his strategy for running Citigroup amid a growing recognition of risks on the eve [...]
Inflection Point This week, HAI wishes a happy 4th of July to all, and a very happy birthday to the land of the free and the home of the brave! While [...]
A New Era Writing of the period just before the Great Depression’s guillotine dropped in the late 1920s, Dr. Benjamin Anderson, in his tour de [...]
An Unnerving Feeling On Friday, Goldman Sachs’ head of execution services, Bobby Molavi, summed up the current market zeitgeist nicely. As Molavi [...]
A New Paradigm It’s been an eventful stretch of late for both markets and the economy. Last Friday we had a seemingly blowout May nonfarm payrolls [...]
Some Time Off for Family This week HAI is just prices. This author is receiving a most welcome visit from family, and time is tight. HAI will be back [...]
It Hasn’t Hit Yet Two weeks ago, HAI referenced comments from Western financial behemoth BlackRock managing Director Rick Rieder as evidence that [...]
Loyalty to Country With our MWM quarterly client call yesterday and this author’s in-laws visiting for the long Memorial Day holiday weekend, this [...]
The Debt’s Too Darn Big Strength in precious metals was notable this week. Gold is retesting recent highs, silver broke out to new post-Covid [...]
Do the Right Thing This week, International Monetary Fund Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva observed a critical change in the global fiscal [...]
Stagflationary Winds Last week, HAI noted this author’s suspicion that inflation will not be the dominant driver of Fed policy. Instead, signs of a [...]