Credit Bubble Bulletin

Presented by Doug Noland since 2012

Credit Bubble Daily
Thursday, June 19, 2025
[Yahoo/Bloomberg] Stocks Slide as Mideast Escalation Risk Mounts: Markets Wrap [Yahoo/Reuters] Stocks tumble, dollar up as Middle East war lights safe-haven trade [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Oil Slips as Investors Watch for Trump’s Plan on Iran Conflict [BBC Live Updates] Iran's leader 'cannot continue to exist', Israeli defence minister says after hospital strike [AP] Israel threatens Iran’s top leader after missiles damage hospital and wound more than 200 [Axios] Trump presses aides on whether bunker-buster plan to bomb Iran will work [Yahoo/Bloomberg] US Officials Plan for Possible Strike on Iran in Coming Days [Reuters] Iran, Israel trade fresh air attacks as Trump weighs US involvement [Reuters] Putin and Xi condemn Israel over its Iran strikes in phone call, Kremlin says [France24] Russia warns US against 'military intervention' in Iran-Israel war [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Shell CEO Warns of ‘Huge Impact’ If Strait of Hormuz Blocked [Yahoo/Telegraph] Israel-Iran war is jamming ship signals, Shell warns [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Xi Shows No Sign of Rescuing Iran as Trump Ramps Up Pressure [AP] ICE raids and their uncertainty scare off workers and baffle businesses [Reuters] Exclusive: Japan plans to cut super-long bond sales by 10% to ease market concerns, draft shows [Yahoo/Reuters] BOJ's gloomy projections suggest no rate hike this year, ex-top economist says [Reuters] Putin says he does not want to discuss the possible Israeli-U.S. killing of Iran's supreme leader [Reuters] Global uncertainty puts big central banks in a tight spot [Bloomberg] US Officials Prepare for Possible Strike on Iran in Coming Days [Bloomberg] Trump’s Envoy to China Calls Out Threat of Foreign Supply Chains [Bloomberg] Auto Tariffs Seen Hiking Car Prices by Nearly $2,000 Per Vehicle [Bloomberg] Vietnamese Dong Drops to Record Low as Asian Currencies Weaken [WSJ] The Fed Waits Out the Tariff Economy [WSJ] Why Iran’s ‘Axis of Resistance’ Is Missing in Action [WSJ] Americans Are Side Hustling Like We’re in a Recession [FT] Tanker rates double as shipowners steer clear of Strait of Hormuz [FT] Why Big Tech cannot agree on artificial general intelligence [FT] Should we worry about Trump undermining the dollar? [FT] Solar bankruptcies mount as Congress slashes green energy funds [FT] Bank of England holds rates at 4.25% amid Middle East uncertainty
Wednesday, June 18, 2025
[CNBC] Stocks little changed ahead of the Federal Reserve’s rate decision: Live updates [Bloomberg] Oil Swings in Volatile Market as Trump Spurs War Escalation Fear [Axios] Khamenei to Trump: Iran will not surrender [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Trump Weighs Iran Options as Israel Ratchets Up Air Strikes [AP] Iran’s leader rejects call to surrender, saying US intervention would cause ‘irreparable damage’ [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Iran’s Leader Shows Defiance With US Weighing War Intervention [AP] Israel says it killed a top Iranian general as Trump warns people to flee Iran’s capital [Reuters] Oil tankers near Iran appear to be in rural Russia as signals jammed [AP] Trump tax bill would widen deficits by $2.8T after factoring in economic impacts, CBO says [AP] US unemployment claims dipped to 245,000 last week, hovering at historically low levels [Yahoo/Reuters] US single-family housing starts rise in May; permits slump [AP] Borrowers looking for lower costs will have to wait as the Fed is unlikely to cut rates [Yahoo/Reuters] Fed set to hold rates steady as Middle East crisis, tariffs cloud outlook [Yahoo/Reuters] Analysis-Early Fed chair nomination could rattle markets [The Hill] Senate GOP leader faces pushback after members blindsided by Trump bill [Reuters] Japan PM Ishiba says disagreements remain with U.S. on tariff talks [Politico] China’s got the world in a rare earth choke hold [Yahoo/LAT] California's economy will contract due to immigration raids and tariffs, UCLA forecast predicts [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Private equity sits on $1 trillion amid uncertainties, M&A stalls, PwC says [Yahoo/Reuters] US added over 1,000 new millionaires a day last year, UBS report says [Yahoo/Bloomberg] China’s Rare Earth Exports Slump in May as Magnet Sales Curbed [Yahoo/Bloomberg] US-China Tech Fight Widens After Taiwan Blacklists Huawei [Yahoo/Bloomberg] PBOC Head Imagines New World Currency Order After Dollar Era [BBC] Russia fears another loss in Middle East from Iran's conflict with Israel [Bloomberg] Japan to Protect Trade Interests And Not Rush Deal, Ishiba Says [Bloomberg] US Plans to Ease Capital Rule Limiting Banks’ Treasury Trades [Bloomberg] Trump Is Driving Off Investors and Threatening the Dollar’s Reign [Bloomberg] US Lawmakers’ Talks With Top Taiwan Official Risks Irking China [Bloomberg] Trump Deploys 2,000 More National Guard Troops to Los Angeles [Bloomberg] Stavridis: The US Is Making the World a More Dangerous Place [NYT] Trump Calls for Iran’s ‘Unconditional Surrender’ and Threatens Its Supreme Leader [NYT] Aiming at the Dollar, China Makes a Pitch for Its Currency [WSJ] Trump Calls for Iran to ‘Surrender’ as He Weighs Military Action [WSJ] Israel Is Running Low on Defensive Interceptors, Official Says [WSJ] The Problem With Wall Street’s Fixation on the Fed Dot Plot [WSJ] The Biggest Companies Across America Are Cutting Their Workforces [FT] Donald Trump calls for Iran’s ‘unconditional surrender’ [FT] Can an American bunker-buster destroy Iran’s nuclear mountain? [FT] Donald Trump’s abrupt G7 exit causes disquiet among other leaders [FT] China’s property market recovery stalls as falling prices hit sentiment [FT] Insurance prices jump for Strait of Hormuz sailings as conflict threatens shipping
Tuesday, June 17, 2025
[CNBC] Stocks fall on escalating Israel-Iran conflict, weak retail sales: Live updates [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Oil Fluctuates as Traders Watch for Israel-Iran War Escalation [Yahoo/Bloomberg] More Central Banks Than Ever Plan to Build Up Their Gold Hoards [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Wall Street Turns Wary as Mideast Risk Caps Stocks Near Record [Axios] Regime change emerges as unstated goal of Israel's war in Iran [Axios] Trump team proposes Iran talks this week on nuclear deal, ceasefire [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Trump Plays Down Iran-Israel Truce as He Leaves G-7 Early [CNBC] G7 leaders urge de-escalation in Middle East, blame Iran for ‘instability and terror’ [CNBC] Retail sales fell 0.9% in May, worse than expected as consumers pulled back [AP] ‘Purgatory:' Fed officials left in limbo as tariffs complicate this week’s rate decision [Yahoo/Reuters] Fed policymakers gather amid rising geopolitical risks, unclear tariff impact [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Trump’s Latest Attack on the Fed Zooms In on Surging Debt Costs [Yahoo/Bloomberg] US Spending on Climate Damage Nears $1 Trillion Per Year [Yahoo/Reuters] BOJ decides to slow bond taper, keeps rates steady [Yahoo/Bloomberg] BOJ to Slow Bond Market Withdrawal After Standing Pat on Rates [Yahoo/Reuters] China's new homes demand to remain well short of 2017 peak, says Goldman Sachs [Yahoo/Bloomberg] China’s Oil Demand Will Peak Earlier Than Expected, IEA Says [Bloomberg] China Warns Iran-Israel Conflict May Spiral, Calls for Peace [Bloomberg] Russia Watches Israel-Iran Crisis With Few Tools to Intervene [Bloomberg] What’s New in the Senate Version of Trump’s Tax and Spending Bill [Bloomberg] Fannie and Freddie Can Never Be Truly Privatized [Bloomberg] BlackRock Says Super-Rich Want Private Credit as PE Returns Lag [Bloomberg] China Housing Demand to Stay at 75% Below Peak, Goldman Says [Bloomberg] Turkey Accelerates Missile Production Amid Fears of Wider War [NYT] China Is Unleashing a New Export Shock on the World [WSJ] Why the Fed Isn’t Cutting Rates Despite Cool Inflation [WSJ] Oil Tankers on Fire After Collision Off Coast of United Arab Emirates [WSJ] Trump Officials Weighed Broader China Tech Restrictions Ahead of Trade Talks [WSJ] Bank of Japan Stands Pat on Rates, Plans to Slow Bond-Buying Tapering After April 2026 [FT] The era of sudden shocks — revisited [FT] Central banks plan to boost gold reserves and trim dollar holdings
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