Credit Bubble Bulletin

Presented by Doug Noland since 2012

Credit Bubble Daily
Monday, September 1, 2025
[Yahoo/WSJ] Gold Futures Rise to Record High on Fed Concerns, Rate-Cut Expectations [Reuters] Europe stocks steady, bonds struggle ahead of crucial US data this week [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Indonesian Stocks Slide After Weekend of Protests and Looting [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Oil Steadies as Putin and Modi Huddle in China After US Tariff [Yahoo/Reuters] Back to school: markets brace for September risks [Yahoo/Reuters] ECB's Lagarde warns of risk to world economy via Trump interference on Fed [Yahoo/Telegraph] Lagarde warns of ‘worrying’ risk of French government collapse [AP] 1.2M immigrants are gone from the US labor force under Trump, preliminary data shows [AP] A downturn in international travel to the US may last beyond summer, experts warn [Axios] How AI can kill you [Reuters] China's Xi pushes a new global order, flanked by leaders of Russia and India [Reuters] Modi says Russia and India stand together even in difficult times [Politico] China’s Xi slams ‘bullying practices’ in thinly veiled snipe at Trump [Politico] Marine Le Pen seizes her moment to shake France [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Asia factory activity shrinks as US tariffs bite, China bucks trend [AP] A look at the world leaders attending China’s SCO summit and military parade [Bloomberg] What Are Trump’s Options If His Tariffs Are Ruled Unlawful? [Bloomberg] Silver Climbs Past $40 as US Rate-Cut Bets Fuel Investor Demand [Bloomberg] China Banks Pressured by Rising Loan Losses, Low Margins [Bloomberg] Bond Market Watchers Expect India’s Central Bank to Step In as Yields Spike [Bloomberg] Hedge Funds Are Betting Yen Is About to Make a Bullish Breakout [NYT] Trump’s Plan to Pack the Fed With Loyalists [NYT] Smiles and Clasped Hands as Xi, Putin and Modi Try to Signal Unity [WSJ] Threats to Fed Independence Are ‘Very Worrying,’ ECB’s Lagarde Says [WSJ] Data Centers That Don’t Exist Yet Are Already Haunting the Grid [WSJ] Black Americans Are Losing Jobs in a Warning for the Economy [WSJ] With Another Government on the Brink of Collapse, Is France the New Italy? [WSJ] Chinese, Russian, Indian Leaders Pledge Cooperation, in a Message to Trump [WSJ] China Ups Surveillance of Troubled People to Quell Rising Unrest [FT] Trump’s fawning cabinet and the threat to US democracy [FT] Investors underestimate Donald Trump’s threat to the Federal Reserve, economists warn [FT] Ursula von der Leyen’s plane hit by suspected Russian GPS interference [FT] How the Trump administration gutted America’s disaster relief agency [FT] French business warns of recession risk as political turmoil deepens
Monday, September 1, 2025
[Yahoo/WSJ] Gold Futures Rise to Record High on Fed Concerns, Rate-Cut Expectations [Reuters] Europe stocks steady, bonds struggle ahead of crucial US data this week [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Indonesian Stocks Slide After Weekend of Protests and Looting [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Oil Steadies as Putin and Modi Huddle in China After US Tariff [Yahoo/Reuters] Back to school: markets brace for September risks [Yahoo/Reuters] ECB's Lagarde warns of risk to world economy via Trump interference on Fed [Yahoo/Telegraph] Lagarde warns of ‘worrying’ risk of French government collapse [AP] 1.2M immigrants are gone from the US labor force under Trump, preliminary data shows [AP] A downturn in international travel to the US may last beyond summer, experts warn [Axios] How AI can kill you [Reuters] China's Xi pushes a new global order, flanked by leaders of Russia and India [Reuters] Modi says Russia and India stand together even in difficult times [Politico] China’s Xi slams ‘bullying practices’ in thinly veiled snipe at Trump [Politico] Marine Le Pen seizes her moment to shake France [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Asia factory activity shrinks as US tariffs bite, China bucks trend [AP] A look at the world leaders attending China’s SCO summit and military parade [Bloomberg] What Are Trump’s Options If His Tariffs Are Ruled Unlawful? [Bloomberg] Silver Climbs Past $40 as US Rate-Cut Bets Fuel Investor Demand [Bloomberg] China Banks Pressured by Rising Loan Losses, Low Margins [Bloomberg] Bond Market Watchers Expect India’s Central Bank to Step In as Yields Spike [Bloomberg] Hedge Funds Are Betting Yen Is About to Make a Bullish Breakout [NYT] Trump’s Plan to Pack the Fed With Loyalists [NYT] Smiles and Clasped Hands as Xi, Putin and Modi Try to Signal Unity [WSJ] Threats to Fed Independence Are ‘Very Worrying,’ ECB’s Lagarde Says [WSJ] Data Centers That Don’t Exist Yet Are Already Haunting the Grid [WSJ] Black Americans Are Losing Jobs in a Warning for the Economy [WSJ] With Another Government on the Brink of Collapse, Is France the New Italy? [WSJ] Chinese, Russian, Indian Leaders Pledge Cooperation, in a Message to Trump [WSJ] China Ups Surveillance of Troubled People to Quell Rising Unrest [FT] Trump’s fawning cabinet and the threat to US democracy [FT] Investors underestimate Donald Trump’s threat to the Federal Reserve, economists warn [FT] Ursula von der Leyen’s plane hit by suspected Russian GPS interference [FT] How the Trump administration gutted America’s disaster relief agency [FT] French business warns of recession risk as political turmoil deepens
Sunday, August 31, 2025
[Yahoo/Bloomberg] Tame US Job Growth Expected in Approach to Fed Meeting [Yahoo Finance] Trump's trade war just got more chaotic than ever [Yahoo/Reuters] US still working on trade deals despite court ruling, USTR says [Yahoo/Bloomberg] US Corporate Leverage Poised to Rise With $1 Trillion Deals Deluge [Reuters] Chicago mayor says police will not aid federal troops or agents [Politico] China’s Xi welcomes Putin and Modi as Trump roils global order [Bloomberg] US Trading Partners ‘Dazed and Confused’ After Tariff Court Loss [Bloomberg] Stock Market’s Fate Comes Down to the Next 14 Trading Sessions [Bloomberg] Emerging Markets’ Trump Rally at Risk as Tariff Reality Kicks In [Bloomberg] China’s Home Sales Slump Extends as Prices Continue to Decline [Bloomberg] Xi, Modi Vow to Rebuild Ties as US Trade War Adds Pressure [NYT] How Trump Could Overhaul the Fed [NYT] America Closed Malls, but China Kept Building Them. Now It Has Too Many. [WSJ] Fed Upheaval Sows New Uncertainty About Path of Rates [WSJ] China Has a Different Vision for AI. It Might Be Smarter. [WSJ] Mortgage Refinancing Starts to Thaw as Rates Trend Down [WSJ] Trump Turns to Small Group of Advisers, Shrinks National Security Council [FT] Wealthy Americans pour record sums into private credit funds [FT] Is Trump’s mission in Venezuela to fight drugs or to topple its leader? [FT] Indonesian finance minister’s home looted as unrest spreads [FT] Xi and Modi say they are ‘partners not rivals’ in bid to repair China-India ties [FT] Bitcoin boom spurs newly wealthy to splurge on luxury travel
Saturday, August 30, 2025
[AP] What happens to Trump’s tariffs now that a federal appeals court has knocked them down? [BBC] What happens next after Trump tariffs ruled illegal? [Axios] What to know about Trump's tariff plan post-court strike down [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Japan’s Akazawa Canceled US Trip Over Rice, Nikkei Says [AP] Colleges face financial struggles as Trump policies send international enrollment plummeting [Axios] Bonfire of expertise: Trump drives scientists, spies and soldiers out of government [Axios] Scoop: White House believes Europe secretly undoing Ukraine war's end [Bloomberg] Trump’s Revenge Summer Heats Up With Fed Ouster, Bolton Raid [Bloomberg] Ukraine Strikes Russian Refineries as It Faces Missile Barrage [NYT] Trump’s Sweeping Tariffs Invalidated by Appeals Court [WSJ] Risk-Taking Is Back in Debt Markets Too [WSJ] Six Months Into Tariffs, Businesses Have No Idea How to Price Anything [WSJ] The Properties at the Heart of the Allegations Against Lisa Cook [WSJ] Cutting-Edge AI Was Supposed to Get Cheaper. It’s More Expensive Than Ever. [WSJ] Bipartisan Proposal Would Ban Stock Trading by Lawmakers [WSJ] Trump’s Venezuelan War Games [WSJ] While Trump Rattles the World, China Basks in the Limelight [FT] Donald Trump’s tariffs ruled illegal by US appeals court but stay in place [FT] The calculated silence of America’s business and finance leaders [FT] Trump’s Fed meddling pushes investors closer to their red line [FT] François Bayrou, France’s isolated PM with his job on the line [FT] Xi Jinping to host Vladimir Putin and Narendra Modi as China presents rival front to US
Friday, August 29, 2025
[CNBC] S&P 500 retreats from record as traders assess new inflation data into long weekend: Live updates [CNBC] Core inflation rate rose to 2.9% in July, as expected, key Fed measure shows [Axios] America's power bills surge as AI strains an aging grid [Yahoo/Bloomberg] RBA Warns of Financial Stability Risks From Private Market Boom [CBS] Trump preparing major immigration enforcement operations in Chicago next week similar to LA, DHS sources say [AP] CDC gets new acting director as leadership turmoil leaves agency reeling [CNBC] German inflation rises to hotter-than-expected 2.1% in August [Yahoo/Bloomberg] China Warns Against Excess Competition in Booming AI Race [Yahoo/Bloomberg] China Monthly Stock Turnover Set for Record as Bull Run Extends [Yahoo/Reuters] South Korea to boost budget spending in bid to spur AI-led growth [Axios] Inside Trump's gunboat diplomacy with Venezuela [AP] Peace efforts in limbo as Ukraine’s capital mourns 23 dead after Russian attack [Reuters] Powerful U.S. senator arrives in Taiwan to discuss security [Bloomberg] Bond Market’s Inflation Gauge Touches Six-Month High on Fed Risk [Bloomberg] Pulte Ups Cook Scrutiny With Criminal Referral on Third Mortgage [Bloomberg] ChatGPT’s Drive for Engagement Has a Dark Side [Bloomberg] Lula Authorizes Retaliation Process Against Trump’s Tariffs [WSJ] Higher Prices Are Coming for Household Staples [WSJ] Trump Leans on National Security to Justify Next Wave of Tariffs [WSJ] A Troubled Man, His Chatbot and a Murder-Suicide in Old Greenwich [FT] America’s new ‘patriotic’ capitalism [FT] China’s ‘big five’ banks pressured by consumer woes
Thursday, August 28, 2025
[CNBC] S&P 500 rises as Nvidia shares pare premarket losses: Live updates [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Oil Drops as US Berates India and Surplus Concerns Flare Again [AP] US applications for jobless benefits fell last week as layoffs remain low [AP] US economy grows 3.3% in second quarter, government says, in second estimate of April-June growth [CNBC] Nvidia beats on top and bottom lines. Here’s why the stock is falling [Yahoo/Reuters] Reactions to Nvidia's mixed outlook, China uncertainty [AP] Nvidia’s AI chip sales surged again in latest quarter, but worries about a tech bubble persist [Yahoo/Bloomberg] BOJ Board Member Reaffirms Stance on Raising Interest Rates [Yahoo/Bloomberg] China Banks Warn on Using Credit Cards to Fund Stock Trading [Reuters] Russia eyes China trade revival as Putin prepares for Xi summit, sources say [Reuters] Russia launches mass night-time attack on Kyiv, kills 4, injures 20, Ukraine says [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Russian Air Strikes on Kyiv Kill 15 as Putin Snubs US on War [Axios] Exclusive: Electromagnetic weapon zaps drone swarm in seconds [Bloomberg] Bond Market Bonanza Leaves Investors With Razor-Thin Safety Net [Bloomberg] Dudley: One Way the Fed Can Bolster Its Defenses [Bloomberg] ‘Hell No’: Shock $934 Bill Shows Tariff Pain to Hit US Shoppers [Bloomberg] Climate Change Made Turkey, Greece Wildfires 10 Times More Likely [Bloomberg] Kim Jong Un to Join Putin at Xi’s Military Parade in Beijing [Bloomberg] Trump’s US Fossil Fuel Revival Nudges Global Emissions Higher [WSJ] In Trump’s Second Term, a Bolder President Charges Ahead Unchecked [WSJ] Trump Fires Board Member of Regulator Weighing Rail Merger [WSJ] Chinese Money Launderers Are Moving Billions Through U.S. Banks [FT] Emmanuel Macron’s options narrow as his prime minister is on the brink [FT] Hedge funds’ insurance binge threatens catastrophe cover, warns Munich Re [FT] US naval build-up near Venezuela stokes tensions in Latin America
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