Credit Bubble Bulletin

Presented by Doug Noland since 2012

Credit Bubble Daily
[Axios] Congress returned after seven weeks and everything blew up [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Trump White House prepares tariff fallback ahead of court ruling [AP] Ukraine’s allies push back on a US peace plan seen as favoring Moscow [Politico] Ukraine’s allies rush to counter Trump’s ‘non-starter’ peace plan [AP] IPO market’s red-hot year has been cooled by the shutdown and more caution among investors [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Macron, Who Called NATO Brain Dead, Warns of End to G-20 [Yahoo/Reuters] Fed's Collins: Monetary policy currently in right place, hesitant about cutting rates [Bloomberg] Fannie, Freddie Shares Mimic Meme-Stock Mania With Wild Swings [Bloomberg] Japan’s Takaichi Faces Market Tests From Yen to Stocks and Bonds [Bloomberg] Five Charts Show Pressure Ramping Up on Japan’s Bonds and Yen [Bloomberg] ECB’s Lagarde Says Monetary Policy Can’t Solve Debt Problems [NYT] The A.I. Boom Is Driving the Economy. What Happens if It Falters? [WSJ] Fed Divisions Show Powell Isn’t the Biggest Hurdle to a Rate Cut [WSJ] Investors Clamor for a Peek Behind the Private Markets Curtain [WSJ] A Wild Week in Markets Leaves Wall Street Bracing for More [WSJ] Boston Fed President Susan Collins Sees No ‘Urgency’ for December Rate Cut [WSJ] Latest Push for Peace Is Zelensky’s Toughest Moment Since Start of War [FT] Kyiv’s allies insist more work is needed on US-Russian peace plan [FT] The warning signal from bitcoin’s fall [FT] China’s risky challenge to Japan — and the US
[Axios] Congress returned after seven weeks and everything blew up [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Trump White House prepares tariff fallback ahead of court ruling [AP] Ukraine’s allies push back on a US peace plan seen as favoring Moscow [Politico] Ukraine’s allies rush to counter Trump’s ‘non-starter’ peace plan [AP] IPO market’s red-hot year has been cooled by the shutdown and more caution among investors [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Macron, Who Called NATO Brain Dead, Warns of End to G-20 [Yahoo/Reuters] Fed's Collins: Monetary policy currently in right place, hesitant about cutting rates [Bloomberg] Fannie, Freddie Shares Mimic Meme-Stock Mania With Wild Swings [Bloomberg] Japan’s Takaichi Faces Market Tests From Yen to Stocks and Bonds [Bloomberg] Five Charts Show Pressure Ramping Up on Japan’s Bonds and Yen [Bloomberg] ECB’s Lagarde Says Monetary Policy Can’t Solve Debt Problems [NYT] The A.I. Boom Is Driving the Economy. What Happens if It Falters? [WSJ] Fed Divisions Show Powell Isn’t the Biggest Hurdle to a Rate Cut [WSJ] Investors Clamor for a Peek Behind the Private Markets Curtain [WSJ] A Wild Week in Markets Leaves Wall Street Bracing for More [WSJ] Boston Fed President Susan Collins Sees No ‘Urgency’ for December Rate Cut [WSJ] Latest Push for Peace Is Zelensky’s Toughest Moment Since Start of War [FT] Kyiv’s allies insist more work is needed on US-Russian peace plan [FT] The warning signal from bitcoin’s fall [FT] China’s risky challenge to Japan — and the US
[CNBC] Stocks rebound after Fed’s Williams revives December rate cut hopes: Live updates [AP] Asian stocks track Wall Street’s drop, erasing previous day’s gains [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Wildest Trading Day Since Tariff Shock to Test Dip Buyers’ Nerve [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Big Tech’s Debt Binge Raises Risk in Race to Create an AI World [CNBC] New York Fed President Williams sees room for ‘further adjustment’ to rates [Yahoo/Fortune] Private credit deals see a rise in ‘Bad PIKs’ showing ‘cracks’ in the market for corporate debt [CNBC] Japan announces $135 billion stimulus package, NHK reports, as Takaichi seeks to boost economy [Yahoo/Reuters] Japan exports rise in October as slump in U.S. sales eases [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Ukraine, European Allies Reject Key Parts of US-Russia Plan [Axios] Trump's full 28-point Ukraine-Russia peace plan [AP] European leaders assure Ukraine of their support after US peace plan leaves them sidelined [Bloomberg] Why So Much Is Riding on the Data Center Boom [Bloomberg] US Inflation-Adjusted Earnings Growth Stalls as Job Market Cools [Bloomberg] Key Takeaways From Bloomberg’s Look at Private Equity-Backed Life Insurers [Bloomberg] Japan’s Takaichi Rejects China Demand to Retract Taiwan Remarks [NYT] Anxiety Over A.I. Spending Returns to Global Markets [NYT] Three Potential Factors Behind the Market Turmoil [NYT] The A.I. Boom Has Found Another Gear. Why Can’t People Shake Their Worries? [WSJ] Nvidia’s Best Wasn’t Enough to Prop Up a Wobbly Stock Market [WSJ] The Middle Class Is Buckling Under Almost Five Years of Persistent Inflation [WSJ] The Race to Refinance Makes Mortgages More Expensive for Everyone Else [WSJ] Japan Approves $135 Billion Stimulus Shot to Help Households, Economy [WSJ] Trump Peace Plan Demands Major Concessions From Ukraine [FT] Tett: Behind the AI bubble, another tech revolution could be brewing [FT] Europe races to respond to US-Russian Ukraine peace plan
[CNBC] Stocks rise with Nvidia earnings ahead, S&P 500 and Dow try to snap 4-day losing streak: Live updates [Yahoo/Reuters] Investors pull record $523 million from BlackRock's flagship bitcoin ETF [Reuters] What Fed cut? US repo rates still high as liquidity tightens into year-end [CNBC] Mortgage rates hit highest level in a month, pushing loan demand down 5% [CNN] AI is about to face an enormous test. The market is already nervous [Yahoo Finance] Nvidia’s $24B AI deal blitz has Wall Street asking questions about ‘murky’ circular investments [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Tense Japan-China Talks Stoke Concerns Over Economic Fallout [Reuters] Europe's banks face 'unprecedentedly high' risk of shocks, ECB warns [AP] Russian barrage kills 20 in Ukraine city as Zelenskyy holds talks with Turkish leader [Bloomberg] Bond Dealers Rebuff NY Fed Tool as Strains in Repo Market Build [Bloomberg] Hedge Fund Leverage Needs Kid-Glove Handling by Regulators [Bloomberg] JPMorgan’s Super-Sized Checks Are Blowing Away All Other Lenders [Bloomberg] Japan’s 20-Year Bond Sale Reflects Concerns About Stimulus Plan [Bloomberg] BOJ’s Ueda to Meet With Finance, Growth Strategy Ministers [Bloomberg] House Prices Crash Across London’s Wealthiest Neighborhoods [WSJ] The Crypto Trades That Amplified Gains Are Now Turbocharging Losses [WSJ] Nvidia Results and Delayed Jobs Data Set Up Critical Test for Wall Street [WSJ] Trump Sends Pentagon Officials to Ukraine in Effort to Restart Peace Talks [WSJ] Netherlands Hands Back Control of Chip Maker Nexperia to Chinese Owner [FT] Japan’s borrowing costs at highest in decades on fears of public spending surge [FT] Hedge funds’ bets on Argentina pay off after US bailout [FT] High-stakes budget in store for edgy UK markets
[CNBC] S&P 500 drops for a fourth day as tech shares slump, bitcoin breaks below $90,000: Live updates [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Japan Bond Rout Deepens on Fears Over Takaichi’s Fiscal Package [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Crypto Plunge Adds to Angst as Markets Extend Broad Retreat [CNBC] Bitcoin briefly falls below $90,000 to lowest since April as cryptocurrency gives up 2025 gain [Reuters] Morning Bid: Fear and caution grip markets [Bloomberg] ‘Sell Japan’ Trade Emerges as Fiscal Worry, China Tensions Weigh [Yahoo/Reuters] Bitcoin drops below $90,000 in sign of souring mood [Yahoo/Reuters] Bubble or breakout? Nvidia earnings put AI boom under the microscope [Yahoo/Reuters] No company is immune if AI bubble bursts, Google CEO Sundar Pichai says [Reuters] As data flow revives, Fed still faces a deep policy divide [Yahoo/WSJ] Higher Tariffs Take Toll on Global Growth, and Impact Is Set to Linger [AP] US has warned others to avoid loans from Chinese state banks. But it’s the biggest recipient of all [Yahoo/Bloomberg] Klarna Revenue Surges as Longer-Term Loan Book More Than Doubles [Yahoo/Reuters] BOJ chief to hold first bilateral meeting with PM Takaichi [Reuters] Japan warns citizens in China about safety as diplomatic crisis deepens [Bloomberg] Japan’s Bond Rout Deepens as Fears Grow Over Takaichi’s Package [Bloomberg] Takaichi Faces Pressure Before Ueda Meeting as Yen, Bonds Slide [Bloomberg] US Companies Shed 2,500 Jobs as October Drew to a Close [Bloomberg] China’s Grip on American Medicine Cabinets Grows More Entrenched [Bloomberg] Ueda Signals BOJ Remains on Rate Hike Path After PM Meet [Bloomberg] China Accuses Takaichi of Reviving Japan’s ‘Militarist Demons’ [Bloomberg] Russia’s Oil Flows and Prices Deepen Slide in Hit to War Funding [NYT] The Fed Is Cutting Bank Oversight. Critics See Risks. [NYT] High Hamburger Prices? White House Blames Biden and Migrants. [WSJ] The ‘JPMorgan Boys’ Behind the U.S. Bailout for Argentina [FT] Crypto market sheds $1.2tn as traders shun speculative assets [FT] Oracle’s astonishing $300bn OpenAI deal is now valued at minus $60bn [FT] Fund managers warn AI investment boom has gone too far [FT] The growing problem with China’s unreliable numbers
Tactical Short 4th Quarter 2022 Recap
Q4 Review - 2023 Preview

Thursday, January 19, 2023 – 4:00pm Eastern / 2:00pm Mountain

David McAlvany
Doug Noland
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