Credit Bubble Weekly

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Credit Bubble Weekly • Jan 20 2024
January 19, 2024: Cold and Hot

Please join Doug Noland and David McAlvany this coming Thursday, January 25th, at 3:00 pm Eastern/ 1:00 pm Mountain Time (one hour earlier than normal) for the [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jan 20, 2024
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jan 13 2024
January 12, 2024: Pricing Six Cuts (and Counting)

Monetary disorder played prominently throughout 2023, though most acutely with the fourth quarter upside market dislocation. Speculative leverage went to [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jan 13, 2024
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jan 06 2024
January 5, 2024: Issues 2024

As my thoughts turned this week to “Issues 2024,” my mind returned to the great American economist Hyman Minsky (1919-1996). The dynamic evolution of [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jan 6, 2024
Credit Bubble Weekly • Dec 30 2023
December 29, 2023: 2023 Year in Review

I’ll be frank. This “Year in Review” piece just lacks the pizzazz of other publications. For example, the New York Times’ “A Look Back at the Top [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Dec 30, 2023
Credit Bubble Weekly • Dec 23 2023
December 22, 2023: Bubble Kings

From an analytical perspective, it’s fascinating how things can turn wild at the end of cycles. While mortgage Credit expanded at double-digit annual rates [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Dec 23, 2023
Credit Bubble Weekly • Dec 16 2023
December 15, 2023: Guard Down, Towel Tossed

History will be the judge. This period will be examined, analyzed, discussed, and debated for at least the next century. My task after a week like this is to [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Dec 16, 2023
Credit Bubble Weekly • Dec 09 2023
December 8, 2023: Repo Madness: Q3 2023 Z.1

Setting the stage for analysis of the Fed’s new Z.1, Q3 was not your typical quarter. For starters, GDP posted a 5.2% growth rate, more than doubling Q2’s [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Dec 9, 2023
Credit Bubble Weekly • Dec 02 2023
December 1, 2023: Rule of Thumb

Let’s get November documented, starting with notable headlines: “Biggest Blowout in Bonds Since the 1980s Sparks Everything Rally.” “S&P 500 Has [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Dec 2, 2023
Credit Bubble Weekly • Nov 25 2023
November 24, 2023: Really BIG

Notable developments for two key facets of the global government finance Bubble this week. November 21 – Financial Times (George Steer): “Hedge funds [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Nov 25, 2023
Credit Bubble Weekly • Nov 17 2023
November 17, 2023: A Wolf in Panda’s Clothing

Good to see U.S./China tensions ease. It’s clearly in both countries’ interest. Especially with war raging in Gaza, President Biden could sure use a [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Nov 17, 2023
Credit Bubble Weekly • Nov 11 2023
November 10, 2023: A Most Critical Stage

I prefer not to refer to old CBBs. I’m making an exception this week, extracting from the February 6, 2009, edition. In “Government Finance Bubble,” I [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Nov 11, 2023
Credit Bubble Weekly • Nov 04 2023
November 3, 2023: Back to Squeezeville

An extraordinary week. How extraordinary, you ask? Bloomberg: “Best Run for Bonds Since 2020 as Traders Bet on Fed-Hike Finale.” Ten-year Treasury yields [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Nov 4, 2023
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