Credit Bubble Weekly

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Credit Bubble Weekly • Jul 27 2024
July 26, 2024: In a Jumble

“Bubbles go to unimaginable extremes, and then double (quadruple for this cycle).” “Call a Bubble’s demise at your own peril.” Maxims [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jul 27, 2024
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jul 20 2024
July 19, 2024: Election on the Brink

“At the Trump Rally, It Was Evening Sun, Songs and Blue Sky. Then Came Bullets, Screams and Blood.” “Biden, Trump Call for Unity in Aftermath of Trump [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jul 20, 2024
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jul 13 2024
July 12, 2024: Houston, We Have a Bubble Problem

Aged. Unhealthy and deeply unsound. Worryingly unstable. Many voice serious concerns in private, with only a few willing to publicly broach the subject. But [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jul 13, 2024
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jul 05 2024
July 5, 2024: Nothing Matters

The CBB will be back to “normal” next Friday. Two-year Treasury yields dropped 14 bps this week, to the low (4.60%) since March 27th. Ten-year yields fell [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jul 5, 2024
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jun 30 2024
June 30, 2024: Just the Facts

For the Week: The S&P500 (up 14.5% y-t-d) and the Dow (up 3.8%) were little changed. The Utilities fell 1.3% (up 8.2%). The Banks rallied 2.5% (up 8.8%), [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jun 30, 2024
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jun 22 2024
June 21, 2024: Greatest Threat

Let’s get started with domestic. Ten-year Treasury yields traded this week at the lowest level since March. Markets have taken this as confirmation of [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jun 22, 2024
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jun 15 2024
June 14, 2024: Potential Catalyst and Q1 2024 Z.1

Ominous. Global risk off is gathering momentum, and there’s now a clear and present potential de-risking/deleveraging catalyst. The NASDAQ100 gained 3.5% to [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jun 15, 2024
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jun 08 2024
June 7, 2024: Summer of Discontent and Instability

It was another important week – and I’m not referring to Nvidia’s market cap surpassing Apple’s to reach $3.0 TN (or Roaring Kitty’s podcast touting [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jun 8, 2024
Credit Bubble Weekly • Jun 01 2024
May 31, 2024: Thesis Corroboration

It was an eventful week worthy of some dissection. Markets for the most part corroborated the “higher for longer” and rising global yields thesis. Ample [...]

Doug Noland Posted on Jun 1, 2024
Credit Bubble Weekly • May 24 2024
May 24, 2024: Speculative Bubble Hype

May 24 – Bloomberg (David Ingles): “Nvidia’s 110% gain this year is enough to slingshot the company’s value above the entire market capitalization of [...]

Doug Noland Posted on May 24, 2024
Credit Bubble Weekly • May 18 2024
May 17, 2024: Zhang Zhan

An audience question during the annual meeting of the Foreign Bankers’ Association of Amsterdam, May 14, 2024: “Do you entertain the possibility that [...]

Doug Noland Posted on May 18, 2024
Credit Bubble Weekly • May 11 2024
May 10, 2024: Citadel Securities vs. Jane Street

A week after Chair Powell encouraged the markets to keep running, run they did. The KBW Bank Index jumped 2.7% this week, the DJIA 2.2%, the S&P400 Midcaps [...]

Doug Noland Posted on May 11, 2024
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